Game log · Week-by-week
2026 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 53-20vs Portland State | 18 | 58 | 3.2 | 3 | 13 | 3 rushing TDs |
| Wk 2 | L 10-28@ UCLA | 19 | 81 | 4.3 | 0 | 14 | Season-high 81 yds |
| Total | 37 | 139 | 3.8 | 3 | 14 |
#7
Lucky Sutton
Take Lucky Sutton off San Diego State's roster and the first thing you'd miss is 1,292 rush YDS, 1,200-yd club.
6′1″ · 210 lb · San Diego, CA · Cathedral Catholic High
CFB Index 74 · #30 of 326 RBsHigh confidenceReturning to San Diego State for 2026
CFB Index
A single number blending on-field production (an EPA-based value lane) with box-score output for this player's position.
0-100, scaled within each position's own cohort — not directly comparable across positions.
The numbers
139
rushing yards · 2026
3 TD · 3.8 per carry
2 games into 2026 so far -- Backed by 18 car · 58 yds · 3 TD -- top 1% rushing TDs game. -- Best game: 58 rush yds, 3 TD, vs Portland State
Swing playSwung San Diego State from 49% to 70% to win.San Diego State at Fresno State · 23-0
His career numbers, season by seasonThe story
4 running back for San Diego State. 2026: 2 games with a box-score line.
- Signed as a 3-star recruit to San Diego State in 2022.
Lucky Sutton
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-09-15
Lucky Sutton is a cornerstone for San Diego State — measured against the line he joined.
139RUSH YDS3RUSH TD37CARRIES
RUSH YDS · 1,200-YD CLUB
1,292
1292 rushing yards — clears the 1,200-RB volume bar.
Read the story so far
AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-09-15
His career
Nobody recruited him. He earned the honors anyway.
2022
- Signed with San Diego State3-star out of Cathedral Catholic
202513 games
The role got bigger.
- All-Mountain Westfirst
Career arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
San Diego State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Trophy case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🥈
ALL-MOUNTAIN WEST · 1ST TEAM
All-Mountain West 1st team (2025)
Coaching lineage · 2022–2026
2 coaches2022–2023
San Diego State
Coaching transition mid-career: Brady Hoke → Sean Lewis. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
2026 snapshot
Season context · Team result + system
2022San Diego State7-6HC: Brady Hoke · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023San Diego State4-8HC: Brady Hoke · Run-leaning
2024San Diego State3-9HC: Sean Lewis · Run-leaning
2025San Diego State9-4HC: Sean Lewis · Run-heavy
2026San Diego State1-1HC: Sean Lewis · Run-heavy
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Box-score percentiles
High confidence
Elite: rush tds (80th percentile). Concern: rush yards (0th percentile).
Box-score rates (5)
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Splits & context
Splits
Per-game splits
Through 2 games: 69.5 YDS/g, 3.8 YPC, 1.5 TD/g — splits start at 3 games.
Supporting cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sean Lewis
Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.
Awards
Player standing · 2026
Backup
On the two-deep and pushing for snaps.
Recognition
Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
2026 outlook
In the mix for All-Pac-12
Based on 2025: #2 of 34 Mountain West RBs — his program moves to the Pac-12 for 2026
How the All-Pac-12 estimate is computed
49% estimated, 95% confidence interval 43–54%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player. The base rate was measured on players who stayed in the same conference; this estimate is not adjusted for the move to the Pac-12.
Career stats
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | San Diego State | 37 | 139 | 3.8 | 3 | -- |
| 2025 | San Diego State | 253 | 1,292 | 5.1 | 10 | -- |
| 2024 | San Diego State | 5 | 35 | 7.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | San Diego State | 30 | 157 | 5.2 | 2 | -- |
| 2022 | San Diego State | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 327 | 1,631 | 5.0 | 15 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | San Diego State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2025 | San Diego State | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | San Diego State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | San Diego State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2022 | San Diego State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | 0 | -- |
Signature game
SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2026
W 53–20
58 rush yds (18 car) · 3 TD
Dominant 33-point win at home against Portland State.
With J. Hawkins — 1 TD · 47 AVG · 100 LONG · J. Denegal — 137 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT · 21 rush yds (3 car)
Signature plays
Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|
The plays that mattered most
- Week 1 · Portland State · 3&6 · Q2 · EPA +2.96(02:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush right for 13 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:37, 1ST DOWN #96 C.DiLeva kick attempt good (H: #89 T.Dorje, LS: #64 C.Poulson)
- Week 1 · Portland State · 2&5 · Q3 · EPA +2.44(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush left for 5 yards gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:16 #96 C.DiLeva kick attempt good (H: #89 T.Dorje, LS: #64 C.Poulson)
- Week 1 · Portland State · 3&2 · Q1 · EPA +1.42(05:44) Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SDSU43 (#13 L.Stephens), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Portland State · 1&2 · Q3 · EPA -1.23(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 3 yards loss to the PSU05 (#94 A.Ducsik)
- Week 2 · UCLA · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA +1.15(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 14 yards gain to the UCLA44 (#12 M.Hartford), 1ST DOWN
- Week 1 · Portland State · 1&1 · Q2 · EPA +0.94(14:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the PSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:04 #96 C.DiLeva kick attempt good (H: #89 T.Dorje, LS: #64 C.Poulson)
- Week 2 · UCLA · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA -0.85(09:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SDSU37 (#12 M.Hartford; #9 J.Woods)
- Week 1 · Portland State · 3&1 · Q1 · EPA -0.80(12:58) No Huddle #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 2 yards loss to the SDSU30 (#31 L.Lisherness)
- Week 1 · Portland State · 2&13 · Q3 · EPA +0.78(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 10 yards gain to the PSU23 (#30 L.Solomon)
- Week 2 · UCLA · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA -0.70(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 L.Sutton rush middle for 0 yards to the SDSU25 (#9 J.Woods; #10 S.Omosigho)
Game log
How he plays
Play style
Does a little of everything without one standout trait.
CFB Index positional classification
2026 Outlook
San Diego State
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · San Diego State
Returning around him
- 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 1 San Diego State player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +0 net (26 in / 26 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
San Diego State · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #89 · 2026 recruiting class #83
DNA match
Player DNA
Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Samuel Brown V’s 2022 season.
72%match
Matches Samuel on
Rush TD rate
Class year
Weight
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Demetric Felton’s path through UCLA.
94%match
All-Pac-12NFL Rd 6
Matches Demetric on
Yards per carry
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Brennan Armstrong's senior season at NC State (2023).
65%match
All-ACC
Matches Brennan on
Yards / carry
Rush TD rate
Height
Differs from Brennan on
Class year (lower)
Heisman trajectory
Heisman Trajectory · 2026
Peak #223
Peaked at #223 this season.
The backfield · San Diego State
- #7Lucky Sutton1,292 rushing yards · 2025
- #20Christian Washington560 rushing yards · 2025
- #21Byron Cardwell267 rushing yards · 2025
- #21Javion Kinnard56 rushing yards · 2025
- #29Jordin Thomas2 games · 2026
1 more on the roster · San Diego State team page
Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology