Ta'Quan Roberson

Senior quarterback for Buffalo. 2025: 2,520 passing yards, 17 TD, 12 INT.

QB · Buffalo · Sr. · #2

6′0″ · 200 lb · Orange, NJ

CFB Index 34 · #112 of 146 QBsHigh confidenceReturning to Buffalo for 2026

The numbers

2,520

passing yards · 2025

17 TD · 12 INT · 7.1 per attempt

The play that turned itSwung Buffalo from 27% to 58% to win.Buffalo at Central Michigan · 38-19

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 quarterback for Buffalo. 2025: 2,520 passing yards, 17 TD, 12 INT.

Signed as a 4-star recruit to Penn State in 2019.
Transferred from Kansas State to Buffalo in 2025.

His career, year by year

How he plays

Operates within the system without forcing anything.

Sack rate: 52nd percentile.

The full scouting read

Ta'Quan Roberson

QB · Buffalo · Sr · #2

Operates within the system without forcing anything. Five head coaches in six seasons, at four different programs. In 2025 the league put his name on paper for the first time: MAC Offensive Player of the Week. One game to point at: 403 pass yds, 2 pass TD against Massachusetts — Week 8, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
head-coach lineage
recognition record
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2019Penn State11-2HC: James Franklin · Run-leaning

2021Penn State1-11HC: Lou Spanos · Balanced

2022UConn6-7HC: Jim Mora · Run-heavy, slow tempo

2023UConn3-9HC: Jim Mora · Balanced

2024Kansas State9-4HC: Chris Klieman · Run-leaning

2025Buffalo5-7HC: Pete Lembo · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

34Below cohort / limited sample #112 of 146?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: success rate (29th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Sack rate#88 / 183 · 52nd pct

4.9%

Explosive rate#101 / 183 · 45th pct

8.8%

EPA / dropback#107 / 183 · 42nd pct

0.15

Interception rate#126 / 183 · 31st pct

2.8%

Success rate#129 / 183 · 29th pct

37.0%

Box-score rates (8)

Pass yards#59 / 183 · 68th pct

2520

Pass TDs#57 / 183 · 68th pct

Rush yards#93 / 183 · 49th pct

125

Rush TDs#86 / 183 · 49th pct

Yards / att#92 / 183 · 49th pct

7.1

Completion %#144 / 183 · 22nd pct

57.9%

Fumbles lost#154 / 174 · 8th pct

Interceptions#171 / 183 · 5th pct

Season trend

EPA / dropback— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Sack rate— first qualifying season

Interception rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

200/353 (56.7%) · 17 TD · 12 INT

353 of 356 attempts matched to play-by-play

164 of 353 attempts charted for true throw depth

Adjusted ANY/A

5.91115 of 206 QBs

Sack rate

4.8%107 of 206 QBs

Sacked on 4.8% of dropbacks (107 of 206) and Adjusted ANY/A trails the field (115 of 206).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

7% of attempts (11)

91%comp

Air -2.7 · YAC 10.3 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

53% of attempts (87)

60%comp2 INT

Air 4.7 · YAC 2.3 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

23% of attempts (37)

41%comp4 INT

Air 13.1 · YAC 1.9 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

18% of attempts (29)

41%comp2 INT

Air 31.3 · YAC 4.2 avg

Overall 56.7% completion on 353 attempts · 41% completion on 29 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2025 baseline

No situation moves him more than 43 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-13 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 8/159 (5.0%) · league sack rate 4.2% · ~our read

Down 2

-19 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 3/110 (2.7%) · league sack rate 4.5% · ~our read

Down 3+

+43 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 5/96 (5.2%) · league sack rate 7.8% · ~our read

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home6g	225	1.5	7.4	1.3
Road5g	234	1.6	6.5	0.8

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-75g	187	1.6	6.8	0.4
Weeks 8+6g	264	1.5	7.2	1.7

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Pete Lembo

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

Impact starter

Producing measurably more than a replacement-level starter.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

34 · #112 of 146 QBs

Former four-star. Now #112 at the position.

2026 outlook

In the mix for All-MAC

Based on 2025: #8 of 12 Mid-American QBs

How the All-MAC estimate is computed

35% estimated, 95% confidence interval 31–38%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Buffalo	206	356	57.9%	2,520	7.1	17	12	126.3	40	--	--
2024	Kansas State	3	7	42.9%	18	2.6	0	0	64.5	--	--	--
2023	UConn	197	338	58.3%	2,075	6.1	12	6	118.0	39	--	--
2022	UConn	1	2	50.0%	10	5.0	0	0	92.0	--	--	--
2021	UConn	11	28	39.3%	85	3.0	1	2	62.3	--	--	--
2019	Penn State	--	1	0.0%	--	0.0	0	0	0.0	--	--	--
Career		418	732	57.1%	4,708	6.4	30	20	119.2	39	--	--

Season	Team
2025	Buffalo	83	125	1.5	3	--
2024	Kansas State	1	7	7.0	0	--
2023	UConn	46	120	2.6	2	--
2022	UConn	3	8	2.7	1	--
2021	UConn	12	24	2.0	0	--
2019	Penn State	1	-1	-1.0	0	--
Career		146	283	1.9	6	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 2 · 2025

W 45–6

vs Saint Francis

133 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT · QBR 73.0 · 88 rush yds (9 car) · 2 TD

Dominant 39-point win at home against Saint Francis.

With V. Snow — 3 rec · 67 yds · 1 TD · A. Henderson — 98 rush yds (24 car) · 2 TD

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 6 · Eastern Michigan · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +6.08Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Victor Snow for 75 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)
Week 2 · Saint Francis · 4&2 · Q3 · EPA +5.09Ta'Quan Roberson run for 40 yds for a TD (Jack Howes KICK)
Week 12 · Central Michigan · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +4.28(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Roberson pass complete short right to #3 N.McMillan caught at UB44, for 55 yards to the CMU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:22, 1ST DOWN #91 J.Howes kick attempt good (H: #42 D.Drennan, LS: #57 C.Selee)
Week 13 · Miami (OH) · 3&9 · Q1 · EPA +4.07(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Roberson pass complete deep right to #3 N.McMillan caught at MIA43, for 41 yards to the MIA38 (#17 K.Martin), 1ST DOWN
Week 13 · Miami (OH) · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA -3.91(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Roberson pass intercepted by #6 A.Walker Jr. at MIA36 #6 A.Walker Jr. return 0 yards to the MIA36 (#3 N.McMillan)
Week 14 · Ohio · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +3.74No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Roberson pass complete deep left to #0 V.Snow caught at OHI47, for 58 yards to the OHI22, out of bounds at OHI22, 1ST DOWN
Week 14 · Ohio · 2&15 · Q4 · EPA +3.74Jasaiah Gathings 29 Yd pass from Ta'Quan Roberson (Jack Howes Kick)
Week 8 · Massachusetts · 2&10 · Q2 · EPA +3.69Ta'Quan Roberson pass complete to Victor Snow for 37 yds to the MASS 38 for a 1ST down
Week 13 · Miami (OH) · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA -3.64(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Roberson rush middle for 22 yards loss to the MIA37, End Of Play
Week 10 · Bowling Green · 3&5 · Q3 · EPA -3.63(06:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Roberson pass intercepted by #15 P.EstoEsta at BGSU14 broken up by #10 J.Johnson, End Of Play

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	L 10-23@ Minnesota	12/20	107	1	0	5.4	37.9
Wk 2	W 45-6vs Saint Francis	10/20	133	1	1	6.7	73.0
Wk 3	W 31-28@ Kent State	28/40	318	3	1	8.0	66.7	3 TD passes
Wk 4	L 17-21vs Troy	9/15	104	0	0	6.9	32.7
Wk 6	W 31-30vs Eastern Michigan	19/38	272	3	0	7.2	36.6	3 TD passes
Wk 8	W 28-21@ Massachusetts	36/55	403	2	1	7.3	55.7	Season-high 403 yds
Wk 9	L 16-24vs Akron	23/36	266	1	4	7.4	16.5	4 INTs — rough day
Wk 10	W 28-3@ Bowling Green	13/24	136	1	1	5.7	44.9
Wk 12	L 19-38@ Central Michigan	16/33	208	1	1	6.3	16.0
Wk 13	L 20-37vs Miami (OH)	24/48	303	2	2	6.3	34.2
Wk 14	L 26-31vs Ohio	16/27	270	2	1	10.0	47.1
Total		206/356	2520	17	12	7.0	41.9

How he plays

Play style

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

CFB Index positional classification

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

fact

56.1%Completion %

23.7%Conversion/dropback

56.2%Land short of sticks

2INTs

56.1% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 23.7% conversion-per-dropback — 56.2% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. ~ our read: checkdown by design

2026 Outlook

Buffalo

Preseason read · May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Buffalo

Returning around him

-1% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
1 Buffalo player drafted to NFL
Transfer portal: +0 net (16 in / 16 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Buffalo · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #120 · 2026 recruiting class #101

DNA match

Player DNA

Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile.

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Brett Gabbert’s 2024 season.

Brett Gabbert

74%match

Miami (OH) · 2024

All-MAC

Layne Hatcher

Arkansas State · 2021

73%

Dylan Morris

Washington · 2021

71%

Spencer Sanders

Oklahoma State · 2022

69%

Preston Stone

Northwestern · 2025

68%

Matches Brett on

INT rate

Yards / attempt

Weight

Differs from Brett on

Recruiting rating (higher)

Rush yards / carry (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

Player DNA

Players who play like Ta'Quan Roberson

Jaylen Raynor

Arkansas State · 2024

74%

Keyone Jenkins

Florida International · 2025

72%

Tucker Kilcrease

Troy · 2025

67%

Nick Vattiato

Middle Tennessee · 2025

66%

E.J. Warner

Rice · 2024

66%

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

Ta'Quan Roberson

2019

2022

20244 games

202511 games

2025 snapshot

Passing profile

Situational

Splits & context

Awards

Impact starter

Career stats

Signature game

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Pocket Passer

Players who play like Ta'Quan Roberson