Minnesota 27-24 Washington (Sep 26, 2026) Final Score

Team pages: Minnesota · Washington

Minnesota3-127

Washington3-124Final

Sat, Sep 26 · Husky Stadium, Seattle, Wash. · Crowd 63,323

Minnesota beat No. 23 Washington 27-24 as a 12.5-point underdog.

We had Washington favored. Minnesota won.

Next: Minnesota beat Michigan 20-14, Sat Oct 3

Next: Washington lost to USC 25-21, Sat Oct 3

Top comment in the game thread

That was an egregious push off and they’re just not going to give us a replay lmao okay whatever

Q4 11:03 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 26

How it swung

The turning point: 43-yd punt (Q4, 0:03). Minnesota went from 66% to 92% to win. Fans right then: “Was the all out block not like only hope ???” r/CFB game thread

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Minnesota a 34% chance, and the closing betting line (Minnesota was a 12.5-point underdog) put it at 16%.

FinalMinnesota 27-24 WashingtonMinnesota wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.

The two plays that swung it

1Q1 1:57Lindsey 9-yd TD pass to Smith, Minnesota leads 14-0Minnesota 43% → 61% (+18)
2Q4 0:0343-yd puntMinnesota 66% → 92% (+26)

The two plays that swung it

1Q1 1:57Lindsey 9-yd TD pass to Smith, Minnesota leads 14-0Washington 57% → 39% (−18)
2Q4 0:0343-yd puntWashington 34% → 8% (−26)

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

Q3 0:46Washington fans turn on Demond Williams after his interceptionCan I say it yet? Can I say the line? Fire Demond Williams into the sun.r/CFB game threadFans are turning on Demond. This season could get ugly lol.r/CFB game thread
Q4 11:03Fans argue officials missed an offensive pass interference call on Washington's touchdownQuoted at the top of the page.Nice conveniently timed cuts in that replay to avoid showing the blatant push off lolr/CFB game thread
Q4 7:28Drzewiecki kicks 51-yard field goal as fans criticize Minnesota's play callDamn. What a kick. Would have been good from 60.r/CFB game thread
Q4 0:51Weston punts to seal Minnesota's win as Washington fans rage at FischJedd fisch and demond both suckr/CFB game threadWas the all out block not like only hope ???r/CFB game thread

Minnesota’s chance to win after every play.

How to read this chart

Starts from the pregame line (Washington -12.5), at 15% for Minnesota (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Washington or Minnesota flair (1,092 and 734); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Minnesota’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

Every drive

Minnesota scored on 5 of its 13 drives; Washington on 4 of its 13.

Minnesota’s drives are teal, Washington’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

From Washington’s side

Washington’s best moment: Williams 13-yd TD run, cuts it to 27-24 (Q4 1:53). It lifted Washington’s win chance by 17 points.

How Washington fans took it: “Was the all out block not like only hope ???” r/CFB game thread

“Special teams has been just perfect”

A Minnesota fan

How fans reacted

Quiet

Fans peaked in the fourth quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was quiet; the crowd was busy.

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

Minnesota fans

fleck“Classic Fleck move to not even try to score with 2 min and two timeouts. Really hope it doesn't come back to bite the Gophers”

Washington fans

fisch“Tie Jedd Fisch up, tape his mouth shut, and shove him in a locker in the back room whenever we have the ball.”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: now, run, ball, back.

The winner fell to 12%.

What it cost

Washington’s chance to make the playoff fell from 5% to 2%.

Make the playoff

Minnesota · won1% → ▲2%

Washington · lost5% → ▼2%

Before the game (September 25, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Minnesota 27, Washington 24

Minnesota covered +12.5 by 15.5. The total, 51, went over 44.5.

Team totals	Minnesota	Washington
Total yards	329	279
Passing	21 of 29, 204 yds	18 of 28, 239 yds
Rushing	33 for 125 yds	27 for 40 yds
First downs	18	16
Third down	4 of 14	1 of 10
Fourth down	0 of 0	2 of 2
Turnovers	1	2
Penalties	8 for 70 yds	5 for 40 yds
Time of possession	36:01	23:59

Minnesota leaders

Passing Drake Lindsey 21 of 29, 204 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
Rushing TJ Thomas Jr. 11 for 78 yds; Darius Taylor 19 for 36 yds
Receiving Noah Jennings 4 for 58 yds; Javon Tracy 7 for 41 yds, 1 TD

Washington leaders

Passing Demond Williams Jr. 18 of 28, 239 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT
Rushing Brian Bonner Jr. 7 for 23 yds; Demond Williams Jr. 15 for 15 yds, 1 TD
Receiving Dezmen Roebuck 7 for 87 yds, 1 TD; Chris Lawson 4 for 77 yds

No rain and calm

58° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 3 mph from the north, gusts to 10

The usual here around this date is 62°, with about 7 in 10 games between 56° and 70°.

September game-day temperatures at Husky Stadium

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Fourth quarter, 0:03 left11:23 p.m.

Minnesota 27, Washington 24 · Washington 8% to win

no rain · wind 4 mph from the north-northwest, gusts to 10 · 54°

43-yd punt

Measured at Seattle/boeing Fld airport, 8.3 miles away, and Renton Municipal airport, 12 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Minnesota · 2-1

Rated 29th in our preseason ratings, 45th now, down 16 spots.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 41-7 vs Akron #67 of 668

won by 34 as a 22.5-point favorite

L 13-38 vs Mississippi StateTop 25 #106 of 668

lost by 25 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 59-7 vs Eastern Illinois #200 of 668

won by 52 as a 42.5-point favorite

Last three games

Washington · 3-0

Rated 26th in our preseason ratings, 30th now.

Three straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.

W 48-16 vs Eastern Washington #168 of 668

won by 32 as a 42.5-point favorite

W 16-14 vs Utah State #57 of 668

won by 2 as a 28.5-point favorite

W 24-10 vs Washington State #41 of 668

won by 14 as a 23.5-point favorite

Week by week

Washington

Wk 1Wvs Washington State24-10
Wk 2Wvs Utah State16-14
Wk 3Wvs Eastern Washington48-16

Minnesota

Wk 1Wvs Eastern Illinois59-7
Wk 2Lvs Mississippi State13-38
Wk 3Wvs Akron41-7

Power rating by week

Washington is rated 2.1 points ahead as of week 3. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Minnesota’s rushing EPA against Washington, 80 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

Minnesota’s rushing EPA against Washington’s defense
Minnesota offense, 3rd percentile · Washington defense, 83rd
Minnesota’s EPA/play against Washington’s defense
Minnesota offense, 21st percentile · Washington defense, 71st
Minnesota’s explosive plays against Washington’s defense
Minnesota offense, 26th percentile · Washington defense, 49th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

MinnesotaWashington

EPA/play, offense

EPA/play, defense

Success rate, offense

Success rate, defense

Explosive-play rate, offense

Explosive-play rate, defense

Rush EPA, offense

Rush EPA, defense

Pass EPA, offense

Pass EPA, defense

The series

Minnesota leads the series 10-7

17 meetings since 1936 · Minnesota won the last meeting

1977Minnesota 19-17
1976Washington 38-7
1960 · neutral siteWashington 17-7
1958Washington 24-21
1957Minnesota 46-7

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Washington fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (15th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

Washington favored by 12.5 · Total 44.5

How games like this usually go

Washington by 12.5, on the usual path until Q1 6:36

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 3 points toward Washington.

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Cool and dry. Feels like 56° at kickoff.

Minnesota at Washington · Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026 · Husky Stadium, Seattle

56°feels like at kickoff
Dryno rain at kickoff
99weather score, Comfortable

At kickoff, Sept. 26, 2026.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 4 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed. At Husky Stadium that day, a 4:30 pm or 6 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 99 at 8 pm.

4:30 pm: 100, Ideal
6 pm: 100, Ideal
7:30 pm: 99, Comfortable
8 pm: 99, Comfortable (this game)

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

At kickoff, Sept. 26, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.

Home field

Washington is worth +3.9 points (±3.4) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 46th percentile.

76% at home, 54% on the road against FBS opponents (37-12 home, 20-17 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.3 at home vs. away over 92 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 1,392 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Washington10th0-0
Minnesota9th0-0

Full Big Ten standings

Minnesota upsets No. 23 Washington 27-24