CFB Zeitgeist Score
72
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 78th percentile.
Jekail Middlebrook
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
752 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 140 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Middle Tennessee for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Middle Tennessee
Returning around him
- 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- 1 Middle Tennessee player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +1 net (19 in / 18 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Middle Tennessee · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #110 · 2026 recruiting class #98
RB · MIDDLE TENNESSEE · CONFERENCE USA
Jekail Middlebrook
- 2
- #9
- 5-10 | 196 lb
- Fayetteville, GA
Heisman Heat
#4514
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025+785%
Up 785% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Middle Tennessee
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (412).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jekail Middlebrook
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jekail Middlebrook
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving TDs
3
count
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #222 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 58th
Why it matters
#222 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 3 TDs on 40 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 3 (58th)
HIGH · n=40 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#292 / 531
- Yards per reception#405 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 10 vs Jacksonville State — 1 receiving_tds
Result L 21-24
The week the volume broke through — stacked 1 td vs Jacksonville State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 11g
752Rush yards
140Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
68.4Rush yards
13Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
888.7Rush yards
165Carries
5Rush TDs
✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 752.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 752): needs 124/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 752): needs 374/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 3/game over remaining 2.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 5.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 8/game over remaining 2.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jekail Middlebrook is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 752 rushing yards, 40 catches, and 64 return yards for Middle Tennessee. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
140 89th
YDS
752 90th
YPC
5.4 72nd
TD
4 79th
Receiving
REC
40 99th
YDS
412 99th
YPR
10.3 79th
TD
3 99th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 14-34vs Austin Peay | 11 | 48 | 4.4 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 2 | L 10-42@ Wisconsin | 12 | 27 | 2.3 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 3 | W 14-13@ Nevada | 10 | 67 | 6.7 | 0 | 42 | |
| Wk 4 | L 28-42vs Marshall | 6 | 89 | 14.8 | 0 | 72 | |
| Wk 5 | L 16-24@ Kennesaw State | 20 | 109 | 5.5 | 2 | 12 | Season-high 109 yds |
| Wk 7 | L 20-22vs Missouri State | 17 | 93 | 5.5 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 9 | L 28-31@ Delaware | 11 | 68 | 6.2 | 1 | 27 | |
| Wk 10 | L 21-24vs Jacksonville State | 10 | 20 | 2.0 | 1 | 13 | |
| Wk 11 | L 30-56vs Florida International | 8 | 30 | 3.8 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 13 | W 31-17vs Sam Houston | 15 | 106 | 7.1 | 0 | 32 | |
| Wk 14 | W 31-24@ New Mexico State | 20 | 95 | 4.8 | 0 | 28 | |
| Total | 140 | 752 | 5.7 | 4 | 72 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Middle Tennessee4-8HC: Rick Stockstill · Balanced
2025Middle Tennessee3-9HC: Derek Mason · Pass-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Middle Tennessee | 140 | 752 | 5.4 | 4 | -- |
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | 18 | 85 | 4.7 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 158 | 837 | 5.3 | 6 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Middle Tennessee | 40 | 412 | 10.3 | 3 | -- |
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 44 | 443 | 10.1 | 3 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 752 | #76/735 | 90th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #154/739 | 79th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.4 | #206/735 | 72nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 40 | #5/552 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 412 | #4/548 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.12 | #173/362 | 52nd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 134 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 26.3% | #36/738 | 95th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 140 | #81/739 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 72 | #52/733 | 93rd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 48 | #52/540 | 91st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 10.3 | #114/548 | 79th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #5/552 | 99th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 64 | #11/27 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 8.0 | #16/27 | 44th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt returns | 8 | #6/29 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 51.8% | #10/738 | 99th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 28.5% | #48/738 | 94th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 27.8% | #52/738 | 93rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 26.3% | #39/738 | 95th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 23.2% | #10/738 | 99th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 20.8% | #22/738 | 97th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 11.4% | #13/738 | 98th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #205/256 | 20th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 64.3 | 6.3 | 0.2 |
| Road5g | 73.2 | 5.1 | 0.6 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 89.3 | 6.2 | 0.0 |
| Losses8g | 60.5 | 5.6 | 0.5 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 72.2 | 6.5 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 63.8 | 4.8 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
72Solid starter
Elite: rec yards (99th). Strength: receptions (98th). Concern: fumbles lost (13th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.12Low (p25–p50) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jekail MiddlebrookMiddle TennesseeDaylan SmothersNC State· 87% simRaleek BrownArizona State· 83% simMichael WashingtonArkansas· 82% sim
Rec yards
Receptions
Long run
Rush yards
Carries
Yards / carry
Rush TDs
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Satellite Back
Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Quincy Craig’s 2025 season.
Quincy Craig
77%match
#2
Blake Watson
76%
#3
Marion Lukes
75%
#4
Jahmyr Gibbs
All-ACCNFL Rd 1 · Pk 12
74%
#5
Austin Jones
73%
Matches Quincy on
Yards / carry
EPA / carry (adj)
Differs from Quincy on
Class year (lower)
Receiving share (higher)
Yards / reception (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Quincy Craig's junior season at Arizona (2025).
Quincy Craig
76%match
#2
Joseph Himon II
71%
#3
Daylan Smothers
69%
#4
Jahmyr Gibbs
All-SECNFL Rd 1 · Pk 12
67%
#5
Jaydon Blue
NFL Rd 5
66%
Matches Quincy on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
EPA / carry (adj)
Differs from Quincy on
Class year (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)
Receiving share (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Derek Mason
Pass share
61.3%
495 pass / 313 run
Plays / game
67.3
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.6%
373 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Rick Stockstill
Middle Tennessee
2025era →
Derek Mason
Middle Tennessee
Coaching transition mid-career: Rick Stockstill → Derek Mason. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownFayetteville, GA
Height5'10"
Weight196 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey9
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMiddle Tennessee
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2024)
All-Conference USA
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | All-Conference USA | all_conference | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | RB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Middle Tennessee | RB2 | #4514 | #5192 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | RB2 | #2061 | #2486 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Conference USA |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | RB | 2 | No. 9 | 5-10 | 196 lb | Fayetteville, GA |
| 2024 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | RB | 2 | No. 9 | 5-10 | 196 lb | Fayetteville, GA |
| 2023 | Middle Tennessee | Conference USA | RB | 2 | No. 9 | 5-10 | 196 lb | Fayetteville, GA |