Robby Ashford

Senior quarterback for Wake Forest. 2025: 2,472 passing yards, 12 TD, 8 INT.

QB · Wake Forest · Sr. · #2

6′2″ · 220 lb · Hoover, AL

CFB Index 53 · #57 of 146 QBsHigh confidenceReturning to Wake Forest for 2026

The numbers

2,472

passing yards · 2025

12 TD · 8 INT · 7.7 per attempt

Backed by 9 car · 51 yds · 3 TD -- top 1% rushing TDs game.

The play that turned itSwung Wake Forest from 54% to 85% to win.Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · 30-29

His career numbers, season by season

The story

4 quarterback for Wake Forest. 2025: 2,472 passing yards, 12 TD, 8 INT.

Signed as a 4-star recruit to Oregon in 2020.
Transferred from South Carolina to Wake Forest in 2025.

The full story, with sources

How he plays

Extends plays with his feet until something opens up.

Sack rate: 84th percentile.

The full scouting read

Robby Ashford

QB · Wake Forest · Sr · #2

Extends plays with his feet until something opens up. Robby Ashford has played for four head coaches across four seasons and three programs. The receipt: 342 pass yds, 44 rush yds against Duke — Week 14, 2025.

Low coverage — composed from the verified record.

positional archetype classification
head-coach lineage
game log

2025 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2022Auburn5-7HC: Cadillac Williams · Run-heavy

2023Auburn6-7HC: Hugh Freeze · Run-heavy

2024South Carolina9-4HC: Shane Beamer · Run-heavy

2025Wake Forest9-4HC: Jake Dickert · Balanced

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

53Rotational starter #57 of 146?

High confidenceAscending13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sack rate (84th percentile). Strength: rush tds (86th percentile). Concern: success rate (25th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Sack rate#29 / 183 · 84th pct

3.4%

Explosive rate#68 / 183 · 63rd pct

9.7%

EPA / dropback#96 / 183 · 48th pct

0.17

Interception rate#96 / 183 · 47th pct

2.3%

Success rate#137 / 183 · 25th pct

36.5%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush TDs#21 / 183 · 86th pct

Rush yards#28 / 183 · 85th pct

554

Yards / att#54 / 183 · 70th pct

7.7

Pass yards#65 / 183 · 65th pct

2472

Pass TDs#88 / 183 · 49th pct

Fumbles lost#87 / 174 · 38th pct

Interceptions#115 / 183 · 32nd pct

Completion %#125 / 183 · 32nd pct

59.3%

Season trend

EPA / dropback— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Sack rate— first qualifying season

Interception rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

180/308 (58.4%) · 12 TD · 8 INT

308 of 322 attempts matched to play-by-play

136 of 308 attempts charted for true throw depth

Adjusted ANY/A

6.8972 of 206 QBs

Sack rate

3.3%39 of 206 QBs

Rarely sacked (39 of 206 QBs) and still 72 of 206 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

27% of attempts (37)

81%comp

Air -3.6 · YAC 9.4 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

40% of attempts (55)

58%comp

Air 3.7 · YAC 5.7 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

18% of attempts (25)

48%comp1 INT

Air 13.3 · YAC 5.4 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

14% of attempts (19)

26%comp2 INT

Air 29.3 · YAC 9.0 avg

Overall 58.4% completion on 308 attempts · 26% completion on 19 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2025 baseline

No situation moves him more than 57 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-11 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 4/112 (3.6%) · league sack rate 4.2% · ~our read

Down 2

-37 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 1/106 (0.9%) · league sack rate 4.5% · ~our read

Down 3+

+57 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 5/92 (5.4%) · league sack rate 7.8% · ~our read

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home7g	205	0.9	8.2	0.6
Road5g	208	1.2	6.2	0.8

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	246	0.8	8.2	0.8
Weeks 8+6g	166	1.2	6.6	0.5

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Jake Dickert

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2025

Impact starter

Producing measurably more than a replacement-level starter.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

53 · #57 of 146 QBs

Former four-star. Now #57 at the position.

2026 outlook

In the mix for All-ACC

Based on 2025: #9 of 17 ACC QBs

How the All-ACC estimate is computed

35% estimated, 95% confidence interval 31–38%. Base rate measured from players who finished at a comparable rank in their conference and came back the next season. It is an estimate from a small sample, not a forecast of this player.

Career stats

Season	Team
2025	Wake Forest	191	322	59.3%	2,472	7.7	12	8	131.1	42	--	--
2024	South Carolina	23	32	71.9%	324	10.1	2	0	177.6	--	--	--
2023	Auburn	14	27	51.9%	145	5.4	2	2	106.6	--	--	--
2022	Auburn	123	250	49.2%	1,613	6.5	7	7	107.0	30	--	--
Career		351	631	55.6%	4,554	7.2	23	17	122.9	37	--	--

Season	Team
2025	Wake Forest	130	554	4.3	9	--
2024	South Carolina	41	227	5.5	2	--
2023	Auburn	46	217	4.7	5	--
2022	Auburn	153	710	4.6	7	--
Career		370	1,708	4.6	23	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 9 · 2025

W 13–12

vs SMU

33 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT · QBR 26.4 · -5 rush yds (2 car)

A wire-to-wire battle — won by 1 at home.

With C. Joseph — 39 AVG · 5 IN 20 · 55 LONG · D. Purdie — 183 yds · 0 TD · 2 INT · QBR 11.4 · 3 rush yds (5 car)

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 3 · NC State · 2&10 · Q1 · EPA -8.20Robby Ashford pass intercepted Isaiah Shirley return for 41 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)
Week 13 · Delaware · 2&11 · Q3 · EPA +7.21Carlos Hernandez 93 Yd pass from Robby Ashford (Matthew Dennis Kick)
Week 1 · Mississippi State · 3&7 · Q4 · EPA +6.52Ty Clark III 62 Yd pass from Robby Ashford (Connor Calvert Kick)
Week 13 · Delaware · 1&10 · Q2 · EPA +6.33No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete deep right to #8 C.Hernandez caught at Delawa40, for 79 yards to the Delawa00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:19, 1ST DOWN #90 C.Calvert kick attempt good (H: #9 S.Racanelli, LS: #32 W.Cobb) #99 M.Dennis kick attempt good (H: #9 S.Racanelli, LS: #32 W.Cobb)
Week 1 · Mississippi State · 2&10 · Q3 · EPA +6.19Shotgun #2 R.Ashford pass complete deep middle to #89 J.Foley caught at MSU19, for 64 yards to the MSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:06, 1ST DOWN
Week 12 · North Carolina · 2&5 · Q3 · EPA +5.98Carlos Hernandez 70 Yd pass from Robby Ashford (Connor Calvert Kick)
Week 6 · Virginia Tech · 3&12 · Q3 · EPA +4.65Robby Ashford pass complete to Sawyer Racanelli for 62 yds to the VT 15 for a 1ST down
Week 3 · NC State · 1&10 · Q1 · EPA +4.58Robby Ashford pass complete to Chris Barnes for 70 yds to the NCSU 8 for a 1ST down NC State Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Brody Barnhardt) to the NCSU 4 for a 1ST down
Week 13 · Delaware · 3&9 · Q2 · EPA +4.23No Huddle-Shotgun #2 R.Ashford rush left for 43 yards gain to the Delawa31 (#1 N.Evans), 1ST DOWN
Week 2 · Western Carolina · 2&10 · Q1 · EPA +4.12Robby Ashford run for 41 yds for a TD (Connor Calvert KICK)

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	Note
Wk 1	W 10-9vs Kennesaw State	20/28	218	0	0	7.8	29.2	3 TD passes
Wk 2	W 42-10vs Western Carolina	13/22	227	1	1	10.3	62.6
Wk 3	L 24-34vs NC State	21/35	252	0	2	7.2	24.3
Wk 5	L 29-30vs Georgia Tech	13/28	219	0	0	7.8	55.8
Wk 6	W 30-23@ Virginia Tech	24/39	256	1	1	6.6	53.0
Wk 9	W 13-12vs SMU	4/10	33	1	0	3.3	26.4
Wk 10	L 7-42@ Florida State	12/21	93	0	1	4.4	41.8
Wk 11	W 16-9@ Virginia	7/16	46	0	0	2.9	50.4
Wk 12	W 28-12vs North Carolina	15/25	191	1	0	7.6	65.7
Wk 13	W 52-14vs Delaware	15/22	292	3	1	13.3	83.5	3 TD passes
Wk 14	L 32-49@ Duke	27/43	342	2	1	8.0	57.6	Season-high 342 yds
Bowl	W 43-29@ Mississippi State	20/33	303	3	1	9.2	76.4
Total		191/322	2472	12	8	7.4	52.2

How he plays

Play style

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

CFB Index positional classification

Checkdown vs gunslinger · 3rd-and-long

Where the completions actually land

fact

47.4%Completion %

17.1%Conversion/dropback

61.1%Land short of sticks

1INTs

47.4% completion on 3rd-and-8+, but only 17.1% conversion-per-dropback — 61.1% of completions land short of the sticks.

Where completions land is fact — whether incompletions were aimed deep is intent, not recorded here, so this card counts completions only. ~ our read: checkdown by design

Short-yardage / goal-line · enumeration

Who gets the tough yard

fact

9/123rd/4th & short

7/18Inside-5 share

9 of 12 on 3rd/4th-and-2-or-less (75.0%). 7 of the team's 18 inside-the-5 carries (38.9%).

2026 Outlook

Wake Forest

Preseason read · May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Quarterback · Wake Forest

Returning around him

14% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
2 Wake Forest players drafted to NFL
Transfer portal: +1 net (24 in / 23 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Wake Forest · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #63 · 2026 recruiting class #39

DNA match

Player DNA

Scrambler

Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Bryson Barnes’s 2025 season.

Bryson Barnes

73%match

Utah State · 2025

All-Mountain West

Jase Bauer

Central Michigan · 2023

72%

Anthony Brown

Oregon · 2021

71%

Rocky Lombardi

Northern Illinois · 2021

71%

Ashton Daniels

Stanford · 2023

70%

Matches Bryson on

Yards / attempt

Rush usage

Differs from Bryson on

INT rate (higher)

TD rate (lower)

Weight (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Zach Smith’s path through Tulsa.

Zach Smith

98%match

Tulsa · 2020

Nick Starkel

San José State · 2021

All-Mountain West

87%

Roman Gagliano

Middle Tennessee · 2025

85%

Rocky Lombardi

Northern Illinois · 2023

84%

Braxton Burmeister

San Diego State · 2022

77%

Matches Zach on

Completion %

Yards per attempt

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Brennan Armstrong's senior season at NC State (2023).

Brennan Armstrong

71%match

NC State · 2023

All-ACC

Bryson Barnes

Utah State · 2025

All-Mountain West

69%

Ashton Daniels

Auburn · 2025

63%

Cole Snyder

Eastern Michigan · 2024

63%

Hudson Card

Purdue · 2023

63%

Matches Brennan on

Total pass EPA (college ability)

Completion %

Weight

Differs from Brennan on

Yards / attempt (higher)

Rush usage (lower)

Player DNA

Players who play like Robby Ashford

Bryson Barnes

Utah State · 2025

73%

Aveon Smith

Miami (OH) · 2023

70%

Gavin Wimsatt

Rutgers · 2023

69%

Brennan Armstrong

Virginia · 2022

69%

Zion Webb

Jacksonville State · 2023

68%

Heisman trajectory

Heisman Trajectory · 2025

Peak #59

Final rank

#68

Avg #78.0

Finalist prob 0%

Peaked at #59 this season.

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology

Robby Ashford

2020

202212 games

20248 games

202512 games

2025 snapshot

Passing profile

Situational

Splits & context

Awards

Impact starter

Career stats

Signature game

Signature plays

Game log

How he plays

DNA match

Scrambler

Players who play like Robby Ashford

Heisman trajectory

Peak #59