Next game: at Illinois
Nebraska’s best edge on Illinois is running
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Nebraska offense against Illinois defense
Illinois offense against Nebraska defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scrambler · +0.27 EPA/play | 10 | 8 | 161 / 263 | 61.2 | 1824 #40 FBS | 6.9 | 15 #27 FBS | 7 | 133.0 | 42 | 63.2 | 6.3 | 4.4 | |
Yards by week → ScramblerMakes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise. Impact starter — 263 pass attempts and 75 carries in 8 games, more passes and runs a game than nearly every FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Colandrea extends plays on the move until something opens up. Lonergan is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Rush usage22.2% 52th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Plays like View Anthony Colandrea's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| 14 | 2 | 8 / 11 | 72.7 | 82 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 165.3 | — | 51.7 | — | — | ||
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speed Merchant · +0.45 EPA/play | 25 | 7 | 73 | 463 | 6.3 | 5 | 59 | 11.1 | 18.1 | |
Yards by week → Speed merchantCuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line. 73 carries and 4 catches in 7 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Rule hits the crease and outruns the angle. Thevenin is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry7.3 96th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Receiving share5.2% bottom 16th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Jamal Rule's full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · +0.17 EPA/play | 35 | 8 | 77 | 333 | 4.3 | 4 | 29 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 77 carries and 11 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Nelson does a little of everything without one standout trait. Thevenin is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry4.6 bottom 26th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception14.6 99th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Mekhi Nelson's full player page | ||||||||||
| Satellite Back · +0.04 EPA/play | 22 | 8 | 46 | 229 | 5.0 | 1 | 26 | — | — | |
Yards by week → Satellite backDeployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles. 46 carries and 11 catches in 8 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. This week's matchup — RB Mozee wins in space out of the backfield. Thevenin is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Receiving share19.3% 94th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate2.2% bottom 19th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Isaiah Mozee's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.41 EPA/play | 17 | 8 | 42 | 545 #58 FBS | 13.0 | 7 #17 FBS | 44 | |
Yards by week → Slot technicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Starter — 42 catches in 8 games, more catches a game than most FBS receivers who play every week. This week's matchup — WR Gilmer wins underneath on volume and route precision. Duff is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Reception volume42 92th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions TD rate16.7% 88th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Kwazi Gilmer's full player page | ||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.64 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 35 | 443 | 12.7 | 2 | 35 | |
Yards by week → Slot technicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Starter — 35 catches and 4 carries in 8 games, about as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Jr. wins underneath on volume and route precision. Duff is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Reception volume35 79th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Plays like View Jacory Barney Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.32 EPA/play | 44 | 8 | 27 | 247 | 9.1 | 1 | 33 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. Impact starter — 27 catches in 8 games, more catches a game than most FBS tight ends who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 126 of 166 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Luke Lindenmeyer's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.02 EPA/play | 13 | 8 | 22 | 173 | 7.9 | 0 | 24 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 22 catches and 5 carries in 8 games. Fewer catches a game than most FBS receivers who play every week. This week's matchup — WR Hunter moves the chains on third down. Duff is the one who beats you over the top. Season receipt Yards / reception8.2 bottom 7th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.0 bottom 7th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Nyziah Hunter's full player page | ||||||||
| -0.03 EPA/play | 18 | 4 | 6 | 63 | 10.5 | 1 | 25 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two-Gap Base | 15 | 6 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 19 tackles in 6 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Anthony Jones's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 44 | 8 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 4.5 #60 FBS | 4 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate31.2% 93th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jahsear Whittington's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 34 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1.5 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate14.3% bottom 47th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Owen Stoudmire's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 11 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | 4 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate20.8% 69th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Cameron Lenhardt's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 5 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 2.5 | 1 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate54.5% 100th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Riley Van Poppel's full player page | |||||||
| 96 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| 93 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 80 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 90 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 33 | 7 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 4 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 53 tackles in 7 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Owen Chambliss's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 9 | 8 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Vincent Shavers Jr.'s full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 24 | 8 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 3.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume23 bottom 20th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles TFL rate15.2% 84th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dexter Foster's full player page | |||||||||
| 40 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 42 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 26 | 8 | 49 | 2 | 2 #51 FBS | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Impact starter — 49 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate4.1% bottom 31th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Dwayne McDougle's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 37 | 8 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 2 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 36 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate11.1% 67th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Donovan Jones's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 13 | 6 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. 26 tackles in 6 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume26 bottom 34th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Jamir Conn's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 28 | 5 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 5 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Caleb Benning's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 22 | 8 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate20.8% 96th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Victor Evans III's full player page | |||||||
| Centerfielder | 10 | 8 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
CenterfielderSingle-high range who erases the deep middle of the field. 116 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate21.7% 97th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Andrew Marshall's full player page | |||||||
| 16 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 21 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 8 | 4/9 | 44.4 | 34/35 | 46 | 40 | |
| 90 | 1 | 1/1 | 100 | 0/0 | 3 | 42 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinner | 83 | 7 | 31 | 1397 | 45.1 | 68 | 14 | 2 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Possession Receiver · +0.02 EPA/play | 13 | 8 | 10 | 176 | 17.6 | 0 | 33 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.64 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 19 | 122 | 6.4 | 0 | 22 |
Biggest plays from Nebraska’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Nebraska’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 0:28 · Oregon down 5, takes the leadDylan Raiola finds Jamari Johnson for a 4-yard touchdownNebraska at Oregon, week 7Q4, 0:28 · Oregon 17, Nebraska 140:28Go-ahead touchdown for Oregon with 0:28 left0:28Go-ahead touchdown for Oregon with 0:28 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Oregon with 0:28 leftD.Raiola pass complete short middle to J.Johnson caught at NEB00, for 4 yards to the NEB00 touchdown H.Lewis pass attempt Successful▶Watch from this play
Q4, 7:13 · Indiana down 4, takes the leadJosh Hoover finds Nick Marsh for a 44-yard touchdownIndiana at Nebraska, week 6Q4, 7:13 · Indiana 20, Nebraska 17▲33%Indiana’s chance to win, 41% to 74%▲33%Indiana’s chance to win, 41% to 74%J.Hoover pass complete short left to N.Marsh caught at NEB31, for 44 yards to the NEB00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this playBig Ten Football
Q4, 1:30 · Washington down 4, takes the leadDemond Williams Jr. finds Chris Lawson for a 25-yard touchdownWashington at Nebraska, week 9Q4, 1:30 · Washington 10, Nebraska 71:30Go-ahead touchdown for Washington with 1:30 left1:30Go-ahead touchdown for Washington with 1:30 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Washington with 1:30 leftD.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to C.Lawson caught at NEB22, for 25 yards to the NEB00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play- Q4, 11:51 · Indiana down 11Josh Hoover finds Nick Marsh for a 75-yard touchdownIndiana at Nebraska, week 6Q4, 11:51 · Indiana 13, Nebraska 177575-yard touchdown pass7575-yard touchdown pass75-yard touchdown passJ.Hoover pass complete short middle to N.Marsh caught at IND39, for 75 yards to the NEB00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this playBig Ten Football
- Q4, 1:15 · Washington up 3Alex McLaughlin takes an interception 48 yards for a pick-sixWashington at Nebraska, week 9Q4, 1:15 · Washington 17, Nebraska 748Pick-six48Pick-sixPick-sixA.Colandrea pass intercepted by A.McLaughlin at NEB48 A.McLaughlin return 48 yards to the NEB00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q2, 2:41 · Nebraska down 9Dwayne McDougle takes an interception 81 yards for a pick-sixMaryland at Nebraska, week 5Q2, 2:41 · Nebraska 21, Maryland 2381Pick-six81Pick-sixPick-sixM.Washington pass intercepted by D.McDougle III at NEB19 D.McDougle III return 81 yards to the UMD00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this playBig Ten Football
How scary each game got
Nebraska lost to Indiana after being 94% to win; the closest win was against Maryland, down to 18%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Nebraska during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Nebraska
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · NebraskaOwen Chambliss leads Nebraska with 53 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+16 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Nebraska fields a strong explosive, big-play offense behind an elite defense, though it gives up the big play.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Nebraska reads strongest in rushing EPA (top 4%) and success rate allowed (top 8%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where Nebraska sits at the 19th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Nebraska is worth +5.1 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 66th percentile of 133 programs
46% at home, 28% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (24-28 home, 11-29 away). Interval ±3.9.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Nebraska has beaten the number by −0.4 more at home than away over 98 games. That is inside the ±5.8 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) seats 85,458 and has averaged 101% full (86,558, 34 games reported). Visitors cover a median 550 miles to get here since 2018 — 38th-longest of 135 FBS venues, inside the ordinary range. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 25% of the 2026 roster (28 of 111 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 58 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Money downDane Key is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- Money downJacory Barney Jr. is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- UnderdogJacory Barney Jr. produces at a notably lower rate when his team is an underdog than when favored: he fades when the pressure is on, and his per-target value drops too.
- Deep threatJacory Barney Jr. is a real deep-ball threat: a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.
- Deep threatNyziah Hunter is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Jamal Rule and Isaiah Mozee split the carries (72/117 vs 45/117) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Isaiah Mozee owns the receiving work.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Jacory Barney Jr. (WR) and Luke Lindenmeyer (TE) split the targets (50/75 vs 25/75) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Nebraska actually scores
59th percentile quality, 32nd percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Nebraska’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 89th percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 56th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Nebraska hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
46th percentile success on standard downs, 85th on passing downs — a 39-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Nebraska by half
1st-half offense ranks 64th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 62nd — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Nebraska’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.21; 60th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.05. The widest gap came in week 3: 0.54 raw vs. 0.07 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Nebraska’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Nebraska’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (67.0% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 230-play sample) — mid-pack, 59 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Nebraska’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (63.6% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 197-play sample) — mid-pack, 15 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
43% recovery rate on the fumbles they've forced — below the ~48% league baseline.
3 of 7 forced fumbles recovered, 2026 only.
Takeaways
21% of tipped/broken-up passes have turned into picks — about the ~18% league average.
7 interceptions of 33 disrupted passes (26 deflected, 7 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
64 penalties committed, 43 drawn on opponents — ceding 182 yards of field position.
555 penalty yards committed vs. 373 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Nebraska
Most similar programs · NebraskaReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE), Lincoln, NE
Usual during the game around Nov 20: 42°, between 26° and 56° in about 7 in 10 games (27 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 52°, and 8 in 10 ran between 36° and 75° (48 road games).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.