Bethune-Cookman upsets Jackson State 24-21

Jackson State6-221
Bethune-Cookman5-324Final
Sat, Oct 24 · Municipal Stadium, Daytona Beach, Fla. · Crowd 4,732

Bethune-Cookman beat Jackson State 24-21 as an 8.5-point underdog.

We had Jackson State favored. Bethune-Cookman won.

Next: Jackson State vs Mississippi Valley State, Sat Nov 7 · 3:00 PM ET

Next: Bethune-Cookman at Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Sat Oct 31 · 3:00 PM ET

How it swung

The turning point: Pryor 1-yd TD run, Jackson State goes ahead 21-17 (Q4, 2:56). Bethune-Cookman went from 82% to 30% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Bethune-Cookman a 30% chance, and the closing betting line (Bethune-Cookman was a 8.5-point underdog) put it at 25%.

FinalBethune-Cookman 24-21 Jackson StateBethune-Cookman wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%25%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q469% at halfLowest 24%Won24-21Scores
50%25%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q469% at halfLowest 24%Won24-21Scores
50%10%25%75%Q1Q2Q3Q431% at halfHigh 76%Lost21-24Scores
50%10%25%75%Q1Q2Q3Q431% at halfHigh 76%Lost21-24Scores

The four plays that swung it

  1. 1Q4 2:56Pryor 1-yd TD run, Jackson State goes ahead 21-17Bethune-Cookman 82% → 30% (−52)
  2. 2Q4 0:40Jefferson 19-yd TD pass to Shaw, Bethune-Cookman goes ahead 24-21Bethune-Cookman 41% → 78% (+37)
  3. 3Q4 0:154th and 10J.Lockhart pass complete short right to N.Rembert for 13 yards to the B-CU32, out of bounds at…Bethune-Cookman 78% → 54% (−24)
  4. 4Q4 0:06Ivaniciuc 49-yd field goal no goodBethune-Cookman 70% → 100% (+30)

The four plays that swung it

  1. 1Q4 2:56Pryor 1-yd TD run, Jackson State goes ahead 21-17Jackson State 18% → 70% (+52)
  2. 2Q4 0:40Jefferson 19-yd TD pass to Shaw, Bethune-Cookman goes ahead 24-21Jackson State 59% → 22% (−37)
  3. 3Q4 0:154th and 10J.Lockhart pass complete short right to N.Rembert for 13 yards to the B-CU32, out of bounds at…Jackson State 22% → 46% (+24)
  4. 4Q4 0:06Ivaniciuc 49-yd field goal no goodJackson State 30% → 0% (−30)
Bethune-Cookman’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Jackson State -8.5), at 32% for Bethune-Cookman (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Bethune-Cookman scored on 4 of its 13 drives; Jackson State on 3 of its 14.

Bethune-Cookman’s drives are teal, Jackson State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Bethune-Cookman: Punt, from 79 yards out to 76PuntJackson State: Missed field goal, from 69 yards out to 24Missed FGBethune-Cookman: Punt, from 76 yards out to 70PuntJackson State: Turned over on downs, from 76 yards out to 79DownsBethune-Cookman: Touchdown, from 21 yards out to 0TouchdownJackson State: Punt, from 65 yards out to 77PuntBethune-Cookman: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownJackson State: Fumble, from 82 yards out to 64FumbleQ2Bethune-Cookman: Punt, from 36 yards out to 45PuntJackson State: Punt, from 87 yards out to 67PuntBethune-Cookman: Punt, from 55 yards out to 53PuntJackson State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownBethune-Cookman: Field goal, from 53 yards out to 5Field goalJackson State: End of half, from 75 yards out to 76End of halfQ3Jackson State: Punt, from 69 yards out to 51PuntBethune-Cookman: Punt, from 99 yards out to 90PuntJackson State: Touchdown, from 47 yards out to 0TouchdownBethune-Cookman: Punt, from 83 yards out to 84PuntJackson State: Punt, from 72 yards out to 70PuntBethune-Cookman: Turned over on downs, from 67 yards out to 16DownsJackson State: Punt, from 84 yards out to 83PuntQ4Bethune-Cookman: Punt, from 62 yards out to 20PuntJackson State: Punt, from 80 yards out to 46PuntBethune-Cookman: Turned over on downs, from 88 yards out to 100DownsJackson State: Touchdown, from 1 yards out to 0TouchdownBethune-Cookman: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownJackson State: Missed field goal, from 66 yards out to 32Missed FG

From Jackson State’s side

Jackson State’s best moment: Pryor 1-yd TD run, Jackson State goes ahead 21-17 (Q4 2:56). It lifted Jackson State’s win chance by 52 points.

The winner fell to 10%.

Box score

Bethune-Cookman 24, Jackson State 21

Bethune-Cookman covered +8.5 by 11.5. The total, 45, stayed under 53.5.

Jackson State leaders

  • Passing Jared Lockhart 13 of 27, 211 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Li'Darius Pryor 23 for 61 yds, 1 TD; Nate Blount IV 3 for 13 yds
  • Receiving Nathan Rembert 5 for 118 yds, 1 TD; Jabari Jones 2 for 51 yds, 1 TD

Bethune-Cookman leaders

  • Passing Tyler Jefferson 8 of 14, 113 yds, 3 TD
  • Rushing Deanwar Johnson 9 for 81 yds; Tyler Jefferson 19 for 68 yds
  • Receiving Rickie Shaw II 3 for 41 yds, 1 TD; Rashon Brown 2 for 35 yds, 1 TD

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Jackson State · 6-1

Rated 110th in our preseason ratings, 125th now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 27-17 vs Florida A&M No. 206 of 668 teams

won by 10 as a 15.5-point favorite

Jackson State won 27-17 vs Florida A&M. Chance to win started at 90%, low 52%, high 99%.

Last three games

Bethune-Cookman · 4-3

Rated 174th in our preseason ratings, 192nd now.

2-1 in its last three, including a 6-point win over Alabama State as a 7-point underdog.

W 34-14 @ Mississippi Valley State No. 262 of 668 teams

won by 20 as a 6.5-point favorite

Bethune-Cookman won 34-14 at Mississippi Valley State. Chance to win started at 67%, low 30%, high better than 99%.

L 21-31 vs South Carolina State No. 116 of 668 teams

lost by 10 as a 17.5-point underdog

Bethune-Cookman lost 21-31 vs South Carolina State. Chance to win started at 14%, low under 1%, high 27%.

W 62-3 vs Virginia Lynchburg

Bethune-Cookman won 62-3 vs Virginia Lynchburg. Chance to win started at 63%, low 48%, high better than 99%.

W 43-18 vs Stetson No. 259 of 668 teams

won by 25 as a 14.5-point favorite

Bethune-Cookman won 43-18 vs Stetson. Chance to win started at 88%, low 83%, high better than 99%.

L 6-73 @ UCF No. 103 of 668 teams

lost by 67 as a 43.5-point underdog

Bethune-Cookman lost 6-73 at UCF. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 1%.

Week by week

Bethune-Cookman

Wk 3: W 62-3 vs Virginia Lynchburg▲59Virginia…Wk 4: L 21-31 vs South Carolina State▼10S. Carol…Wk 5: W 16-10 vs Alabama State▲6Alabama…Wk 6: L 17-55 at Alabama A&M▼38Alabama…Wk 7: W 34-14 at Mississippi Valley State▲20Mississi…
  • Wk 3Wvs Virginia Lynchburg62-3
  • Wk 4Lvs South Carolina State21-31
  • Wk 5Wvs Alabama State16-10
  • Wk 6Lat Alabama A&M17-55
  • Wk 7Wat Mississippi Valley State34-14

Jackson State

Wk 3: W 41-7 vs Tuskegee▲34TuskegeeWk 4: W 35-17 vs Southern▲18SouthernWk 5: W 31-28 vs Alabama A&M▲3Alabama…Wk 6: L 38-45 at Grambling▼7GramblingWk 7: W 27-17 vs Florida A&M▲10F. A&M
  • Wk 3Wvs Tuskegee41-7
  • Wk 4Wvs Southern35-17
  • Wk 5Wvs Alabama A&M31-28
  • Wk 6Lat Grambling38-45
  • Wk 7Wvs Florida A&M27-17

Power rating by week

Jackson State is rated 4.6 points ahead as of week 7. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-3-6-9Wk 0Wk 4Wk 7Bethune-CookmanJackson State

The series

Jackson State leads the series 5-2

7 meetings since 1977 · Jackson State has won the last 5

Bethune-Cookman wonJackson State won1977: Bethune-Cookman by 72019: Bethune-Cookman by 212021: Jackson State by 302022: Jackson State by 402023: Jackson State by 62024: Jackson State by 202025: Jackson State by 1519772025
  • 2025Jackson State 28-13
  • 2024Jackson State 37-17
  • 2023Jackson State 22-16
  • 2022Jackson State 48-8
  • 2021Jackson State 42-12

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Bethune-Cookman’s chances here.

50-50Model 30% · Line 25%Jackson StateBethune-Cookman

Jackson State favored by 8.5 · Total 53.5

How games like this usually go

Jackson State by 8.5, on the usual path until Q1 13:17

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 415 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 1.5 points toward Jackson State.

opened +7now +8.5

The total rose 3 points.

opened 50.5now 53.5

Spread: +7 → +8.5 · Total: 50.5 → 53.5

The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Home-field advantage: Bottom third of FBS.

0% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (0-0 home, 0-13 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +5.4 at home vs. away over 48 games — inside the ±7.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 580 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.