Luke Weaver

#3 · QB · R-Sr. · San José State6′3″ · 210 lb · Manteca, CA · East Union

ZPR4280th of 119 QBsLast gameL 16–21vs New Mexico · Oct 31
Nextvs Northern IllinoisSat Nov 7 · 4 pm ET

Started again vs New Mexico, the first start since Wyoming, week 6.

L 16-21 vs New Mexico, Oct 31: 16 of 23 for 190 yards, 2 interceptions · 8 carries for -22 yards.

San José State’s next game: vs Northern Illinois, Sat Nov 7, 4:00 p.m. ET

San José State has lost three straight in the games played. A balanced passer.

Weakest: an interception on 3.7% of throws, 25th highest of 158 starters.

Passing yards

1,810

154 of 242, 64%

TD–INT

11–8

7.5 per throw

NCAA rating

134.9

75th of 119

ZPR

42

80th of 119

How ZPR works

Solid or better in 5 of 7 graded games.

Best by our grade: New Mexico. Lowest: Fresno State, with 4 interceptions and sacked 5 times. Biggest game: at USC, No. 14. Best play: Completion for 40 yards, touchdown, at Eastern Michigan, Q4 11:19. Win chance 29% to 57%. Costliest play: Fumble, at Eastern Michigan, Q3 0:53. Win chance 53% to 24%.

Tap a game for its plays

Q1Q2Q3Q4

at UTEP

W 24–11·Unranked

Did not play

Season

Fades after halftime

How to read this

Each column is a quarter. Blue and up is a good stretch for the quarterback, red and down a bad one, hatched means the game was already decided. A red cross is a turnover and a black dot a touchdown. The word on the right grades the whole game. A gold line means the r/CFB game thread kept naming the quarterback. Tap a game to open its plays: each bar is one of the quarterback’s plays, up helped the team’s chance of winning and down hurt it, and the grey line is that chance.

The word grades the game against every FBS quarterback start, from Rough to Great, using the same throws as the season Zeitgeist Passer Rating and adjusting for the defense faced. Bars are points added per throw in that quarter. The Season row leaves out quarters after a game was decided.

Style of play

Balanced

Why this word
Runs4.8 a gameRarelyA lot
Throws9.8 yards past the lineShortDeep
Completes62% by play-by-playFewerMore
Takes sacks6% of dropbacksRarelyOften

The dot is this quarterback, among this season’s starters; the tick is the middle.

Throws at a middling depth and runs some. 4.8 carries a game. Closest matches: Curtis, Roberson ’25, Becht ’25, Roggow.

Where the throws go

Behind the line10%typical 17%
Short53%typical 47%
Middle23%typical 22%
Deep15%typical 14%

Runs 4.8 times a game; 58% of starters run less.

Closest in style

CurtisRoberson ’25Becht ’25RoggowThis QB

Nearer the middle means more alike.

  • Curtis Vanderbilt · Mobile passer
    1,489 yards, 8 TD, 8 INT so far. Both throw interceptions.
  • Roberson ’25 Buffalo 2025 · Vertical passer
    2,520 yards, 17 TD, 12 INT. Both rarely throw behind the line and throw deep.
  • Becht ’25 Iowa State 2025 · Balanced
    2,565 yards, 16 TD, 9 INT. Both rarely throw behind the line.
  • Roggow Akron · Balanced
    1,343 yards, 7 TD, 10 INT so far. Both throw interceptions and throw deep.

Compared with the 158 FBS starters this season for throws and running, and with 219 quarterbacks across 2 seasons for the matches, on how they play and how they have done.

This week

  • RecordSan José State is 4-5.
  • Fans after New Mexico

    Didn't expect to be this close but I'm here for the Luke Weaver redemption arc!

    San José State fan

What’s being said

6 stories in the last 60 days, from 11 outlets.

Sep 10 to Sep 16: 1Sep 17 to Sep 23: 1Oct 1 to Oct 7: 3Oct 15 to Oct 21: 1W 30-20 vs Cal PolyWL 10-26 vs Fresno StateLW 20-16 at Hawai'iWL 13-16 vs WyomingLW 24-11 at UTEPWL 13-28 at NevadaLL 16-21 vs New MexicoLSep 10Nov 4Most in a week: 3
Sep 10 to Sep 16: 1Sep 17 to Sep 23: 1Oct 1 to Oct 7: 3Oct 15 to Oct 21: 1W 30-20 vs Cal PolyWL 10-26 vs Fresno StateLW 20-16 at Hawai'iWL 13-16 vs WyomingLW 24-11 at UTEPWL 13-28 at NevadaLL 16-21 vs New MexicoLSep 10Nov 4Most in a week: 3
Stories per week. W and L: the team’s results.

All 12 stories this season

Worth knowing

  • Luke Weaver spent one season at Hawai'i before this one.

His most important play this season

  1. Q4, 11:19 · San José State down 4, takes the leadLuke Weaver finds Cooper Hoch for a 40-yard touchdownSan José State at Eastern Michigan, week 1Q4, 11:19 · San José State 24, Eastern Michigan 21▲28%San José State’s chance to win, 29% to 57%▲28%San José State’s chance to win, 29% to 57%L.Weaver pass complete deep middle to C.Hoch caught at EMU16, for 40 yards to the EMU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playESPN College Football

All 3 of his plays on video

Luke Weaver

QB · San José State · #3

Filling the Shoesas of Nov 4

Luke Weaver takes over from Walker Eget at San José State.

1,810passing yards11passing TD96rushing yards

Passing value per play

+0.29

our model · 2026 · 198 plays

Read the story so far

Luke Weaver arrived as a 3-star prospect, the No.123 recruit nationally. Luke Weaver lines up at QB for San José State.

On the field, the headline is 1,810 pass yds, with 11 pass td.

Luke Weaver inherited the QB job from Walker Eget (3-star).

The number to watch: +0.29 — passing value per play.

QB successionleap of faith
  • Inherited fromWalker Eget 3★

AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-11-04