Keldric Luster

#6 · QB · 4th-year · Ball State5′10″ · 250 lb · McKinney, TX

ZPR4866th of 119 QBs Last gameW 34–17vs Sacramento State · Oct 24

Nextat MassachusettsWed Nov 4 · 7 pm ET

Graded Solid or better in each of the last two games.

Last game: W 34-17 vs Sacramento State, Oct 24 · 14 of 27 for 234 yards, 2 touchdowns, 2 interceptions · 10 carries for 68 yards, a rushing touchdown

Ball State is 3-4 in the seven games played. A mobile passer.

Weakest: 6.2 yards an attempt, 18th lowest of 158 starters.

Plays most like Eckhaus ’25, Washington State 2025.

Passing yards

1,300

133 of 211, 63%

TD–INT

9–6

6.2 per throw

NCAA rating

123.2

98th of 119

ZPR

66th of 119

How ZPR works

Getting better, from rough early to solid lately.

Best by our grade: Toledo. Lowest: at Ohio State, with 1 interception. Biggest game: at Ohio State, No. 1.

Tap a game for its plays

Q1Q2Q3Q4

at Ohio State

L 3–56·Ranked #1

Rough

89 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT · Rush 9 for 10 · Sacked 0

None of the quarterback’s own plays moved the team's chance of winning by more than a few points.

Full game page

Stony Brook

W 41–17·FCS

Shaky

Carried by the second quarter · 256 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT · Rush 11 for 14 · Sacked 4

Biggest swing: a Q2 incompletion cost the team 14 points of win chance. Win chance: 97% to 83%.

Full game page

at Liberty

L 15–51·Unranked

Solid

93 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · Rush 10 for 42 · Lost a fumble · Sacked 0

None of the quarterback’s own plays moved the team's chance of winning by more than a few points.

Full game page

at Kent State

L 13–26·Unranked

Did not play

Toledo

L 24–39·Unranked

Great

224 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT · Rush 4 for -12 · Lost a fumble · Sacked 0

Biggest swing: a Q1 sack cost the team 17 points of win chance. Win chance: 76% to 59%.

Full game page

at Northwestern

L 14–45·Unranked

Solid

Steady all game · 209 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · Rush 7 for 10 · Sacked 1

None of the quarterback’s own plays moved the team's chance of winning by more than a few points.

Full game page

at Bowling Green

W 32–31·Unranked

Solid

Passing grade only · Carried by the first quarter · 195 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT · Rush 17 for 125, 1 TD · Lost a fumble · Sacked 0

Biggest swing: a Q4 completion added 76 points of win chance. It flipped the game for the team: 10% to 86%.

Full game page

Sacramento State

W 34–17·Unranked

Solid

Strong start, faded late · 234 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT · Rush 10 for 68, 1 TD · Interceptions cost about 17 points of win chance · Sacked 1

Biggest swing: a Q2 completion added 23 points of win chance. Win chance: 54% to 77%.

Full game page

Season

Fades after halftime

How to read this

Each column is a quarter. Blue and up is a good stretch for the quarterback, red and down a bad one, hatched means the game was already decided. A red cross is a turnover and a black dot a touchdown. The word on the right grades the whole game; on games with a lot of running it grades the passing only. A gold line means the r/CFB game thread kept naming the quarterback. Tap a game to open its plays: each bar is one of the quarterback’s plays, up helped the team’s chance of winning and down hurt it, and the grey line is that chance.

The word grades the game against every FBS quarterback start, from Rough to Great, using the same throws as the season Zeitgeist Passer Rating and adjusting for the defense faced. Bars are points added per throw in that quarter. The Season row leaves out quarters after a game was decided.

Style of play

Mobile passer

Why this word

Runs6.0 a gameRarelyA lot

Throws8.0 yards past the lineShortDeep

Completes64% by play-by-playFewerMore

Takes sacks4% of dropbacksRarelyOften

The dot is this quarterback, among this season’s starters; the tick is the middle.

Throws at a middling depth and runs some. 6.0 carries a game. Closest matches: Eckhaus ’25, Veltkamp ’25, Colandrea, Sellers.

Where the throws go

Behind the line19%typical 17%

Short49%typical 47%

Middle16%typical 22%

Deep15%typical 14%

Runs 6.0 times a game; 70% of starters run less.

Closest in style

Nearer the middle means more alike.

Eckhaus ’25 Washington State 2025 · Mobile passer
2,092 yards, 15 TD, 12 INT. Both throw interceptions.
Veltkamp ’25 Florida Atlantic 2025 · Precision passer
3,652 yards, 24 TD, 17 INT. Both avoid sacks and throw interceptions.
Colandrea Nebraska · Dual-threat
1,824 yards, 15 TD, 7 INT so far. Both throw interceptions.
Sellers South Carolina · Dual-threat
1,849 yards, 16 TD, 7 INT so far. Both throw interceptions.

Compared with the 158 FBS starters this season for throws and running, and with 219 quarterbacks across 2 seasons for the matches, on how they play and how they have done.

This week

RecordBall State is 3-5.

What’s being said

3 stories in the last 30 days, from 4 outlets.

Stories per day. W and L: the team’s results.

Ball State QB Keldric Luster named MAC Offensive Player of the Week for second time

Cardinal Media +1 Oct 19

All 16 stories this season

Worth knowing

Keldric Luster played at SMU and Texas State before joining Ball State.

Keldric Luster

QB · Ball State · #6

Filling the Shoesas of Nov 4

Keldric Luster takes over from Kiael Kelly at Ball State.

1,300passing yards9passing TD257rushing yards

Passing value per play

+0.29

our model · 2026 · 186 plays

Read the story so far

Keldric Luster arrived as a 3-star prospect. Keldric Luster lines up at QB for Ball State.

On the field, the headline is 1,300 pass yds, with 9 pass td.

Keldric Luster inherited the QB job from Kiael Kelly (3-star).

The number to watch: +0.29 — passing value per play.

QB successionleap of faith

Inherited fromKiael Kelly 3★

AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-11-04

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2026	Ball State	133	211	63.0%	1,300	6.2	9	6	123.2	48
2025	Texas State	1	3	33.3%	14	4.7	0	0	72.5	--
2024	SMU	1	3	33.3%	--	0.0	0	0	33.3	--
2023	SMU	2	6	33.3%	23	3.8	0	0	65.5	--
Career		137	223	61.4%	1,337	6.0	9	6	119.7	48

Season	Team
2026	Ball State	68	257	3.8	2	28
2025	Texas State	3	14	4.7	0	10
2024	SMU	11	50	4.5	0	17
2023	SMU	3	18	6.0	0	10
Career		85	339	4.0	2	28

Last game (Wk 8): 234 passing yards, 2 passing TD, 2 interceptions.

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2026 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	Grade	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	SK	RUSH	Note
Wk 1	L 3-56@ No. 1 Ohio State	Rough	18/33	89	0	1	2.7	—	0	10
Wk 2	W 41-17vs Stony Brook	Shaky	27/32	256	3	1	8.0	48.4	4	14	Season-high 256 yds
Wk 3	L 15-51@ Liberty	Solid	10/21	93	0	0	4.4	20.0	0	42
Wk 5	L 24-39vs Toledo	Great	21/33	224	2	1	6.8	28.7	0	-12
Wk 6	L 14-45@ Northwestern	Solid	27/41	209	1	1	5.1	62.7	1	10
Wk 7	W 32-31@ Bowling Green	Solid	16/24	195	1	0	8.1	71.2	0	125
Wk 8	W 34-17vs Sacramento State	Solid	14/27	234	2	2	8.7	43.6	1	68
Total			133/211	1300	9	6	6.2	—	6	257

The latest game

Oct. 24 · W 34-17 vs Sacramento State

14 of 27 for 234 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

His season, game by game

The season, game by game

W 34-17 vs Sacramento StateOct. 24234 yds14 of 27, 2 TD, 2 INTPlay by play just above

W 32-31 at Bowling GreenOct. 17195 yds16 of 24, 1 TD

Play by playOn the field

16 of 24 for 195 yards and a touchdown. He ran 16 times for 115 yards, after 37 runs in his other six games combined.

5 of 10 of his drives scored
7 of 13 on 3rd and 4th down
16 runs for 115 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
Punt1 of 1, 5 yds1
FG2 of 2, 37 yds23
Second quarterbegan up 3-0
Punt1 of 1, 2 yds
TD2 of 4, 37 yds4
Punt0 of 1, 0 yds
Half2 of 3, 30 yds
Third quarterbegan tied 10-10
TD2 of 2, 26 yds
Fourth quarterbegan up 17-10
Punt3 of 5, 24 yds
TD3 of 4, 34 yds
Ot quarterbegan tied 24-24
TD0 of 1, 0 yds
FinalW 32-31

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
1-yard run on 3rd and 2. First quarter, tied 0-0.
2
15-yard completion to Jalen Bonds on 3rd and 11. First quarter, tied 0-0. Converted.
3
No gain on 3rd and 1. First quarter, tied 0-0.
4
29-yard completion to Isaiah Thacker on 3rd and 4. Second quarter, up 3-0. Converted.

1020304050

leftmiddlerightno spot

a completionincompleteinterceptedsacked, below the line

Each pass sits where it was caught or thrown to, in yards past the line. The play text only says left, middle or right, so inside a lane marks are sorted, not placed.

5 more games, with the play by play

L 14-45 at NorthwesternOct. 10209 yds27 of 41, 1 TD, 1 INTBox score only

27 of 41 for 209 yards, a touchdown and an interception.

Not drawn: the play-by-play doesn’t add up to the box score.

L 24-39 vs ToledoOct. 3224 yds21 of 33, 2 TD, 1 INTBox score only

21 of 33 for 224 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception.

Not drawn: the play-by-play doesn’t add up to the box score.

L 15-51 at LibertySept. 1993 yds10 of 21

Play by playOn the field

10 of 21 for 93 yards. He was 1 of 8 on third and fourth down.

2 of 9 of his drives scored
1 of 8 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked once
8 runs for 41 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
Punt0 of 2, 0 yds1
TD3 of 4, 36 yds2
Punt2 of 4, 19 yds3
Second quarterbegan down 13-7
Missed FG1 of 3, 1 yds
Punt1 of 1, 11 yds
Third quarterbegan down 23-7
Punt0 of 1, 0 yds
TD2 of 2, 19 yds
Punt1 of 3, 7 yds4
Fourth quarterbegan down 37-15
Fumble0 of 1, 0 yds
FinalL 15-51

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
Incomplete to Jamarion McDougle on 3rd and 8. First quarter, tied 0-0.
2
14-yard completion to Isaiah Thacker. First quarter, down 6-0.
3
Incomplete to Donovan Hamilton on 3rd and 3. First quarter, down 13-7. Broken up by Liberty’s D. Farrar.
4
7-yard completion to Jalen Bonds on 4th and 4. Third quarter, down 37-15. Converted.

1020304050

leftmiddlerightno spot

a completionincompleteinterceptedsacked, below the line

Each pass sits where it was caught or thrown to, in yards past the line. The play text only says left, middle or right, so inside a lane marks are sorted, not placed.

W 41-17 vs Stony BrookSept. 12256 yds27 of 32, 3 TD, 1 INTBox score only

27 of 32 for 256 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception.

Not drawn: the play-by-play doesn’t add up to the box score.

L 3-56 at Ohio StateSept. 589 yds18 of 33, 1 INT

Play by playOn the field

18 of 33 for 89 yards and an interception. He was 2 of 13 on third and fourth down.

1 of 11 of his drives scored
2 of 13 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked once
8 runs for 12 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
Punt3 of 4, 18 yds12
Punt1 of 2, 8 yds
Int2 of 3, 8 yds3
Second quarterbegan down 14-0
Punt1 of 4, 0 yds
FG3 of 6, 21 yds
Third quarterbegan down 28-3
Punt1 of 3, 0 yds
Punt1 of 2, 2 yds
Punt0 of 2, 0 yds
Punt0 of 1, 0 yds
Fourth quarterbegan down 42-3
Downs5 of 5, 32 yds4
Punt1 of 1, 0 yds
FinalL 3-56

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
12-yard completion to Jamarion McDougle. First quarter, tied 0-0.
2
Incomplete to Jamarion McDougle on 3rd and 4. First quarter, tied 0-0.
3
Intercepted on 3rd and 7. Second quarter, down 14-0. Picked off by Ohio State’s Tarvos Alford.
4
7-yard completion to J. Thompson on 4th and 8. Fourth quarter, down 49-3. Turnover on downs.

1020304050

leftmiddlerightno spot

a completionincompleteinterceptedsacked, below the line

Each pass sits where it was caught or thrown to, in yards past the line. The play text only says left, middle or right, so inside a lane marks are sorted, not placed.

Highs and lows

Only games with 20 or more plays count for best and lowest.
Best by our grade	Toledo	L 24-39 · Graded great · 224 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT · Rush 4 for -12 · Lost a fumble · Sacked 0
Lowest by our grade	at Ohio State	L 3-56 · Graded rough · 89 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT · Rush 9 for 10 · Sacked 0
Biggest game	at Ohio State	No. 1 at kickoff · L 3-56 · Graded rough · 89 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT · Rush 9 for 10 · Sacked 0

Where he ranks

Stat	His	Nation	Mid-American
Passing yards	1,300	97th of 370	8th of 34
Yards an attempt	6.2	T-134th of 152	T-9th of 14
Touchdown passes	9	T-79th of 370	T-5th of 34
Passer rating	123.2	T-119th of 152	8th of 14
Completion percentage	63.0	T-83rd of 152	6th of 14
Rushing yards	257	42nd of 370	4th of 34
Rushing touchdowns	2	T-71st of 370	T-9th of 34

Counting stats rank all FBS quarterbacks with a pass attempt; the rates rank those with at least 10 attempts a game.

All Mid-American quarterbacks

Rk	Quarterback	Yards	TD	INT	Att	Y/A
1	John Alan Richter	2,244	17	2	259	8.7
2	Noah Kim	1,678	11	4	285	5.9
3	Dru DeShields	1,624	9	7	251	6.5
4	Jay Kastantin	1,567	11	8	225	7.0
5	Broc Lowry	1,397	11	3	194	7.2
6	Jason Wright	1,345	9	6	231	5.8
7	Brayden Roggow	1,343	7	10	192	7.0
8	Keldric Luster	1,300	9	6	211	6.2
9	David McComb	1,120	7	1	103	10.9
10	William Watson III	1,025	8	2	138	7.4
11	Nick Poulos	966	7	0	117	8.3
12	Caleb Heavner	769	4	4	125	6.2
13	Cibastian Broughton	612	4	1	100	6.1
14	Angel H Flores	475	2	2	92	5.2
15	Jadyn Glasser	463	2	3	74	6.3
16	Logan Inagawa	296	1	1	37	8.0
17	Tyler Mizzell	260	1	0	38	6.8
18	Elijah Holmes	253	3	0	61	4.1
19	Carson Conklin	222	0	1	46	4.8
20	Brogan McCaughey	215	1	1	43	5.0
21	Levi Davis	203	2	0	27	7.5
22	Aedan McCarthy	182	0	0	33	5.5
23	Brian Salazar	99	1	0	10	9.9
24	Trey Petty	59	1	0	8	7.4
25	Marcus Beamon	40	0	0	8	5.0
26	Walter Moses	40	1	0	1	40.0
27	Jace Stuckey	24	0	0	5	4.8
28	Nolan Good	24	0	2	14	1.7
29	Khamoni Robinson	21	0	1	6	3.5
30	Austin Novosad	20	0	0	7	2.9
31	Ethan Thanthanavong	16	0	0	2	8.0
32	Mason Atkins	10	0	0	1	10.0
33	Semaj Beals	0	0	0	1	0.0
34	Deante Ruffin	-1	0	0	3	-0.3

Sorted by passing yards. Gray: under 10 attempts a game, so not ranked on yards an attempt.

Passing yards1,3009th in the Mid-American this season.

Touchdown passes9tied for 5th in the Mid-American this season.

Conference ranks count every player in the conference with a row in that stat, any position. Career ranks count current FBS players, from the games in our log.

Opponents faced, by strength

Ratings of the games shown run from -29 to +29 points against an average team (SP+ rating of each opponent).

Pass targets

McDougle and Hamilton saw 69 of the 211 charted throws.

Receiver	Targets	Catches	Yards	Throw depth	After catch
Jamarion McDougle	40	23	264	11.2	2.7
Donovan Hamilton	29	17	216	10.3	2.9
Jabari Smith	26	21	212	5.6	4.3
Isaiah Thacker	19	13	191	8.2	10.2
CJ Nelson	18	12	90	9.1	1.4
10 others	69	47	327	3.0	6.2
No receiver charted	10	All six interceptions are among these

Play by play: 211 passes, 133 caught, 1,300 yards. Throw depth: average air yards per target. After catch: average yards after the catch per catch. Bar: targets; the blue part was caught.

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

133/211 (63.0%) · 9 TD · 6 INT

211 of 211 attempts matched to play-by-play

209 of 211 attempts charted for true throw depth

Adjusted ANY/A

5.20146 of 185 QBs

Sack rate

4.5%67 of 185 QBs

Rarely sacked (67 of 185), but Adjusted ANY/A hasn't followed (146 of 185).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

21% of attempts (43)

91%comp

Air -3.6 · YAC 7.7 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

48% of attempts (101)

66%comp3 INT

Air 4.7 · YAC 3.8 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

18% of attempts (38)

37%comp1 INT

Air 12.7 · YAC 3.5 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

13% of attempts (27)

41%comp2 INT

Air 27.9 · YAC 2.4 avg

Overall 63.0% completion on 211 attempts · 41% completion on 27 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Teams and coaches

2023SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning

2024SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning

2025Texas State7-6HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy

2026Ball State3-5HC: Mike Uremovich · Balanced

Our ratings

CFB Zeitgeist Score 41 (#96 of 145). Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

41Rotational starter #96 of 145 · through 7 games?

13 metrics · season cumulative

through 7 games score: the 2026 sample is not big enough yet. The rows below are 2026 so far. Concern: interception rate (26th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Sack rate#52 / 157 · 67th pct

4.5%

EPA / dropback#91 / 157 · 42nd pct

0.13

Explosive rate#106 / 157 · 33rd pct

9.0%

Success rate#112 / 157 · 29th pct

39.0%

Interception rate#117 / 157 · 26th pct

2.8%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush yards#36 / 159 · 78th pct

257

Rush TDs#57 / 159 · 52nd pct

Completion %#86 / 159 · 46th pct

63.0%

Pass TDs#81 / 159 · 45th pct

Pass yards#100 / 159 · 37th pct

1300

Interceptions#114 / 159 · 23rd pct

Yards / att#138 / 159 · 13th pct

6.2

Fumbles lost#114 / 142 · 12th pct

Season trend

EPA / dropback— first qualifying season

Success rate— first qualifying season

Explosive rate— first qualifying season

Sack rate— first qualifying season

Interception rate— first qualifying season

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Zeitgeist Passer Rating

2026 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.

After 183 dropbacks

48Zeitgeist Passer Rating66th of 119 FBS QBs

NCAA passer rating 123.2 98th of 119 FBS QBs

ZPR ranks this quarterback 32 places higher than passer rating does: passer rating charges 200 points per interception and the season ZPR does not count the six picks (each game's grade word does).

Positive-play rate weight 24%

48.3%61st pct of FBS QBs

share of dropbacks that gained expected points · +0.2% schedule adj.

Yards per attempt weight 56%

7.0630th pct of FBS QBs

sacks excluded

Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)

4.5%71st pct of FBS QBs

the input passer rating cannot see · +1.2% schedule adj.

Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (35 of 218 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. How ZPR is built.

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2026 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home3g	238	2.3	7.8	1.3
Road4g	146	0.5	5.1	0.5

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	178	1.2	5.9	0.7
Weeks 8+1g	234	2.0	8.7	2.0

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Mike Uremovich

Pass share

49.2%

250 pass / 258 run

Plays / game

63.5

8 games

Scheme: Balanced.

Ball State’s quarterbacks

Keldric Luster	Threw in 7 of 8 games · 133 of 211, 1,300 yds, 9 TD, 6 INT · 6.2 yards an attempt on 211 attempts · ran for 257 yds, 2 TD
Tyler Mizzell	Threw in 4 of 8 games · 23 of 38, 260 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT · 6.8 yards an attempt on 38 attempts · ran for 28 yds, 0 TD
Mason Atkins	Threw in 1 of 8 games · 1 of 1, 10 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · 10.0 yards an attempt on 1 attempt

Box score. Every quarterback on the team who has thrown a pass this season.

Who threw, quarter by quarter

Who threw in each quarter. Blue: Keldric Luster. Gray: Tyler Mizzell, Mason Atkins. From the play by play.

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT@ Ohio StateStony Brook@ Liberty@ Kent StateToledo@ Northwestern@ Bowling GreenSacramento State

Awards

Player standing · 2026

Starter

211 pass attempts and 68 carries in 7 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score

41 · #96 of 145 QBs · through 7 games

Three-star recruit. Now #96 at the position.

Starter

The No. 1,579 recruit in the country is starting at quarterback in the Mid-American.

Keldric Luster

Style of play

This week

What’s being said

Worth knowing

In the news in the last 30 days

In the news this season

What they’re talking about

Week by week

What was said at each stop

What fans said

In the game threads

Named in

Where to follow

Career stats

Game log

The latest game

The season, game by game

Highs and lows

Where he ranks

Pass targets

Passing profile

Teams and coaches

Our ratings

Splits

Ball State’s quarterbacks

Who threw, quarter by quarter

Awards

Starter

Starter

Four seasons, three schools

Moves

2023 3 games

2025

2026 7 games