Ball State beats Stony Brook 41-17
Team pages: Stony Brook · Ball State
Ball State beat Stony Brook 41-17. Share this game
We had Ball State favored. It won.
Next: Stony Brook beat Rhode Island 56-24, Sat Sep 19
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Ball State a 64% chance, and the closing betting line (Ball State was a 13.5-point favorite) put it at 86%.
Favored the whole way: Ball State never fell below 81%.
Stony Brook never had better than a 19% chance.
Ball State 41-17 Stony Brook
Ball State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Stony Brook 17-41 Ball StateStony Brook lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Ball State -13.5), at 86% for Ball State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Ball State scored on 7 of its 13 drives; Stony Brook on 3 of its 12.
Ball State’s drives are teal, Stony Brook’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Ball State 41, Stony Brook 17
Ball State covered −13.5 by 10.5. The total, 58, went over 52.5.
Stony Brook leaders
- Passing Quinn Boyd 22 of 35, 147 yds, 2 INT
- Rushing Jeremiah Coney 9 for 89 yds, 2 TD; C.J. Hester 10 for 85 yds
- Receiving Seth Sweitzer 7 for 50 yds; DJ Linkins 3 for 29 yds
Ball State leaders
- Passing Keldric Luster 27 of 32, 256 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing TJ Horton 9 for 125 yds, 1 TD; Jalen Bonds 6 for 77 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Jabari Smith 6 for 72 yds, 1 TD; Jamarion McDougle 4 for 52 yds
No rain and calm
73° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 5 mph from the west-southwest, gusts to 10
September game-day temperatures at Scheumann Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Muncie airport, 2.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last two games
Stony Brook · 1-1
Rated 168th in our preseason ratings, 175th now.
1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 36-32 vs Lindenwood #170 of 668
won by 4 as a 4-point favorite
L 34-41 @ Delaware State #187 of 668
lost by 7 as a 4.5-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
Ball State · 4-8
Rated 161st in our preseason ratings, 144th now, up 17 spots.
Three straight losses.
L 24-45 @ Miami (OH) #82 of 667
lost by 21 as a 16.5-point underdog
L 9-38 @ Toledo #28 of 667
lost by 29 as a 28.5-point underdog
L 9-24 vs Eastern Michigan #133 of 667
lost by 15 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 17-13 vs Kent State #211 of 667
won by 4 as a 3.5-point favorite
L 7-21 @ Northern Illinois #172 of 667
lost by 14 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 42-28 vs Akron #180 of 667
won by 14 as a 2.5-point underdog
L 0-42 @ Western Michigan #85 of 667
lost by 42 as a 9.5-point underdog
W 20-14 vs Ohio #76 of 667
won by 6 as a 14.5-point underdog
L 25-31 @ UConn #74 of 667
lost by 6 as a 20.5-point underdog
W 34-29 vs New Hampshire #160 of 667
won by 5 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 3-42 @ AuburnTop 25 #13 of 667
lost by 39 as a 42.5-point underdog
L 0-31 @ Purdue #89 of 667
lost by 31 as a 16.5-point underdog
Week by week
Ball State
- Wk 1Lat Ohio State3-56
Stony Brook
- Wk 1Lat Delaware State34-41
- Wk 1Wvs Lindenwood36-32
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Ball State’s chances here.
Ball State favored by 13.5 · Total 52.5
How games like this usually go
Ball State by 13.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 1 point toward Stony Brook.
The total fell 5 points.
Spread: −14.5 → −13.5 · Total: 57.5 → 52.5
The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff
Warm and dry. Feels like 79° at kickoff.
Stony Brook at Ball State · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Scheumann Stadium, Muncie
- 79°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 91weather score, Comfortable
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed. At Scheumann Stadium that day, a 7:30 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 91 at 2 pm.
- noon: 87, Mixed
- 1 pm: 86, Mixed
- 2 pm: 91, Comfortable (this game)
- 3:30 pm: 85, Mixed
- 6 pm: 93, Comfortable
- 7 pm: 98, Comfortable
- 7:30 pm: 100, Ideal
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
Ball State is worth +7.2 points (±3.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 94th percentile.
47% at home, 25% on the road against FBS opponents (18-20 home, 13-38 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +4.1 at home vs. away over 96 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 646 miles to get here.