No. 10 LSU routs No. 23 Texas A&M 35-6

No. 23 Texas A&M2-26
No. 10 LSU3-135Final
Sat, Sep 26 · Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, La. · Crowd 102,321ABC

No. 10 LSU routed No. 23 Texas A&M 35-6.

We had LSU favored. It won.

Next: Texas A&M beat Arkansas 34-7, Sat Oct 3

Next: LSU beat McNeese 63-14, Sat Oct 3

Top comment in the game thread

That’s a brilliant play call

Q3 10:57 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 26

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave LSU a 56% chance, and the closing betting line (LSU was a 8.5-point favorite) put it at 75%.

FinalLSU 35-6 Texas A&MLSU wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
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No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q3 10:57LSU made a brilliant play call on a touchdown.Quoted at the top of the page.
  2. Q3 6:10Texas A&M fans demand benching Reed after his 17-yard sackYou have to bench him Miker/CFB game thread
LSU’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (LSU -8.5), at 79% for LSU (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a LSU or Texas A&M flair (1,121 and 2,661); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Every drive

LSU scored on 5 of its 13 drives; Texas A&M on 2 of its 14.

LSU’s drives are teal, Texas A&M’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1LSU: Punt, from 75 yards out to 69PuntTexas A&M: Punt, from 70 yards out to 55PuntLSU: Touchdown, from 82 yards out to 0TouchdownTexas A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 80PuntLSU: Punt, from 76 yards out to 72PuntTexas A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 52PuntLSU: Punt, from 80 yards out to 76PuntTexas A&M: Field goal, from 68 yards out to 6Field goalQ2LSU: Punt, from 75 yards out to 48PuntTexas A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72PuntLSU: Touchdown, from 83 yards out to 0TouchdownTexas A&M: End of half, from 75 yards out to 61End of halfQ3Texas A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 79PuntLSU: Touchdown, from 79 yards out to 0TouchdownTexas A&M: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 66DownsLSU: Touchdown, from 34 yards out to 0TouchdownTexas A&M: Punt, from 75 yards out to 77PuntLSU: Interception, from 76 yards out to 76InterceptionTexas A&M: Field goal, from 40 yards out to 36Field goalLSU: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownTexas A&M: Interception, from 99 yards out to 94InterceptionQ4LSU: Missed field goal, from 19 yards out to 6Missed FGTexas A&M: Punt, from 80 yards out to 60PuntLSU: Punt, from 93 yards out to 68PuntTexas A&M: Interception, from 72 yards out to 53InterceptionLSU: Turned over on downs, from 58 yards out to 7DownsTexas A&M: End of game, from 93 yards out to 89End of game
“I just don't understand. Everyone and their mother can see this isn't going to work. So let's do it again!”
A Texas A&M fan

How fans reacted

Quiet

Fans had the most to say in the third quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was quiet; the crowd was busy.

FirstSecondThirdFourthLSU fansTexas A&M fansusual

Two crowds, one game

The words each side’s fans used far more than the other side, from the game thread.

LSU fans

leavitt“We just need to give sam leavitt some xanax with his magnesium supplements pre game so he keeps playing like this”

definitely“I'm so glad I don't gamble. Thought both Florida -3.5 and LSU -8.5 was wild. Shows what I know, would have definitely lost money.”

leg“Maybe having a bum leg will make Leavitt slow down a little bit and make throws like that. Hold notwithstanding”

atm“We were much better last year than this atm team. They’ll be lucky to win 7 games”

Texas A&M fans

reed“yo guys in my humble opinion I think the Heisman conversation this year should be between Marcel Reed VS John Mateer”

don“Reed is infinitely worse now than Weigman was when Elko pulled him. I don’t get it”

Both sets of fans kept coming back to: now, ball, back, every.

What it cost

LSU’s chance to make the playoff rose from 28% to 40%.

Make the playoff

Texas A&M · lost41% → ▼32%41%▼ 32%
LSU · won28% → ▲40%28%▲ 40%

Win the conference

Texas A&M · lost4% → ▼2%
LSU · won2% → ▲4%

Win the title

Texas A&M · lost4% → 4%
LSU · won2% → ▲3%

Before the game (September 25, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

LSU 35, Texas A&M 6

LSU covered −8.5 by 20.5. The total, 41, stayed under 52.5.

Texas A&MLSUTotal yardsTexas A&M 197LSU 506197506Passing yardsTexas A&M 106LSU 312106312Rushing yardsTexas A&M 91LSU 19491194First downsTexas A&M 11LSU 201120TurnoversTexas A&M 2LSU 121Time of possessionTexas A&M 29:41LSU 30:1929:4130:19
Team totalsTexas A&MLSU
Total yards197506
Passing10 of 27, 106 yds17 of 28, 312 yds
Rushing33 for 91 yds38 for 194 yds
First downs1120
Third down4 of 154 of 12
Fourth down0 of 11 of 2
Turnovers21
Penalties7 for 44 yds5 for 35 yds
Time of possession29:4130:19

Texas A&M leaders

  • Passing Marcel Reed 10 of 26, 106 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing Rueben Owens 11 for 62 yds; KJ Edwards 4 for 21 yds
  • Receiving Isaiah Horton 3 for 43 yds; Mario Craver 3 for 31 yds

LSU leaders

  • Passing Sam Leavitt 17 of 23, 312 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Dilin Jones 14 for 63 yds, 1 TD; Harlem Berry 7 for 58 yds
  • Receiving Jackson Harris 6 for 163 yds, 2 TD; Winston Watkins 5 for 107 yds

No rain and calm

82° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 3 mph from the north-northwest, gusts to 5

September game-day temperatures at Tiger Stadium (LA)

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4LSU favoredTexas A&M favored100%Win chanceLSURaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4LSU favoredTexas A&M favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:55 left6:45 p.m.
Texas A&M 0, LSU 0 · LSU 79% to win
no rain · wind 4 mph from the west-northwest · 83°
Jones 4-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Baton Rouge Metropolitan Airport, 8.9 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Texas A&M · 2-1

Rated 6th in our preseason ratings, 8th now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Last three games

LSU · 2-1

Rated 31st in our preseason ratings, 20th now, up 11 spots.

2-1 in its last three, one over ranked or top-40 competition.

Week by week

LSU

Wk 1: W 51-10 vs Clemson▲41ClemsonWk 2: W 45-14 vs Louisiana Tech▲31Louisiana TechWk 3: L 24-32 at Ole Miss▼8Ole Miss
  • Wk 1Wvs Clemson51-10
  • Wk 2Wvs Louisiana Tech45-14
  • Wk 3Lat Ole Miss24-32

Texas A&M

Wk 1: W 50-0 vs Missouri State▲50Missouri StateWk 2: W 48-20 vs Arizona State▲28Arizona StateWk 3: L 21-31 vs Kentucky▼10Kentucky
  • Wk 1Wvs Missouri State50-0
  • Wk 2Wvs Arizona State48-20
  • Wk 3Lvs Kentucky21-31

Power rating by week

Texas A&M is rated 3.3 points ahead as of week 3. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

15105Wk 0Wk 2Wk 3LSUTexas A&M

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Texas A&M’s passing EPA against LSU, 83 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Texas A&M’s passing EPA against LSU’s defense

    83 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Texas A&M offense, 16th percentile · LSU defense, 99th

  2. Texas A&M’s explosive plays against LSU’s defense

    78 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Texas A&M offense, 5th percentile · LSU defense, 83rd

  3. Texas A&M’s EPA/play against LSU’s defense

    70 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Texas A&M offense, 29th percentile · LSU defense, 99th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Texas A&MLSU
EPA/play, offense
Texas A&M · 29LSU · 82
EPA/play, defense
Texas A&M · 82LSU · 99
Success rate, offense
Texas A&M · 47LSU · 95
Success rate, defense
Texas A&M · 79LSU · 97
Explosive-play rate, offense
Texas A&M · 5LSU · 34
Explosive-play rate, defense
Texas A&M · 61LSU · 83
Rush EPA, offense
Texas A&M · 68LSU · 50
Rush EPA, defense
Texas A&M · 72LSU · 76
Pass EPA, offense
Texas A&M · 16LSU · 88
Pass EPA, defense
Texas A&M · 92LSU · 99

The series

LSU leads the series 36-24-3

63 meetings since 1906 · Texas A&M has won the last 2

LSU wonTexas A&M won1906: Texas A&M by 101907: Texas A&M by 61908: LSU by 261913: tie1914: Texas A&M by 541916: LSU by 131917: Texas A&M by 271920: tie1921: LSU by 61922: Texas A&M by 461923: Texas A&M by 281942: LSU by 91943: Texas A&M by 151943: LSU by 51944: Texas A&M by 71945: LSU by 191946: LSU by 241947: LSU by 61948: LSU by 11949: LSU by 341955: Texas A&M by 281956: Texas A&M by 31960: LSU by 91961: LSU by 91962: LSU by 211963: LSU by 81964: LSU by 31965: LSU by 101966: tie1967: LSU by 111968: LSU by 11969: LSU by 291970: Texas A&M by 21971: LSU by 371972: LSU by 251973: LSU by 51974: Texas A&M by 71975: Texas A&M by 311986: LSU by 181987: LSU by 141988: LSU by 271989: Texas A&M by 121990: LSU by 91991: Texas A&M by 381992: Texas A&M by 91993: Texas A&M by 241994: Texas A&M by 51995: Texas A&M by 162010: LSU by 172012: LSU by 52013: LSU by 242014: LSU by 62015: LSU by 122016: LSU by 152017: LSU by 242018: Texas A&M by 22019: LSU by 432020: Texas A&M by 132021: LSU by 32022: Texas A&M by 152023: LSU by 122024: Texas A&M by 152025: Texas A&M by 2419062025
  • 2025Texas A&M 49-25LSU lost 25-49 vs Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 55%, low under 1%, high 71%.
  • 2024Texas A&M 38-23LSU lost 23-38 at Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 48%, low under 1%, high 92%.
  • 2023LSU 42-30LSU won 42-30 vs Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 75%, low 23%, high better than 99%.
  • 2022Texas A&M 38-23LSU lost 23-38 at Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 73%, low 1%, high 78%.
  • 2021LSU 27-24LSU won 27-24 vs Texas A&M. Chance to win started at 28%, low 8%, high better than 99%.

Each line is LSU’s chance to win through that meeting. LSU is 2-0 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

LSU fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (13th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

  • Model · 56%
  • Line · 75%
  • LSU fans · 13th
  • Texas A&M fans · 11th

LSU favored by 8.5 · Total 52.5

How games like this usually go

LSU by 8.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 5.5 points toward LSU.

opened −3now −8.5

The total fell 5 points.

opened 57.5now 52.5

Spread: −3 → −8.5 · Total: 57.5 → 52.5

The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Warm and dry. Feels like 80° at kickoff.

Texas A&M at LSU · Saturday, Sept. 26, 2026 · Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge

  • 80°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 97weather score, Comfortable
  • Tiedfor the best of the day's 7 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Tiger Stadium that day, a 8 pm kickoff would have scored 99, against 97 at 6 pm.

  • 11 am: 71, Rough
  • 2:30 pm: 67, Rough
  • 3:15 pm: 69, Rough
  • 5 pm: 84, Mixed
  • 6 pm: 97, Comfortable (this game)
  • 7 pm: 97, Comfortable
  • 8 pm: 99, Comfortable

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

LSU is worth +7.1 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 92nd percentile.

82% at home, 50% on the road against FBS opponents (42-9 home, 19-19 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.6 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 307 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Our History pages cover 4 of their meetings since 2018.

Where next

Conference standings

Place in the conference, then conference record.

Full SEC standings