Giovanni Lopez

#3 · QB · Wake Forest6′0″ · 220 lb · Madison, AL · James Clemens

ZPR6917th of 119 QBs HeismanNo. 9in our model Last gameW 51–7vs Virginia · Oct 31

Nextvs MerrimackSat Nov 7 · 3:30 pm ET

Graded Solid or better in each of the last two games.

Last game: W 51-7 vs Virginia, Oct 31 · 13 of 21 for 229 yards, a touchdown · 13 carries for 64 yards. Started all eight of Wake Forest’s games.

Wake Forest’s next game: vs Merrimack, Sat Nov 7, 3:30 p.m. ET · ACC Network

Wake Forest has won five straight in the games played, 7-1 in all. A chain-mover.

Strongest: an interception on 0.5% of throws, 9th lowest of 158 starters.

Plays most like Kienholz, Louisville.

Passing yards

2,176

153 of 228, 67%

TD–INT

18–1

9.5 per throw

NCAA rating

172.4

9th of 119

ZPR

17th of 119

How ZPR works

One rough passing grade, against Miami.

No interceptions in the last five games.
1-1 against ranked teams, 268 passing yards a game.

Best by our grade: at California. Lowest: Miami, with 1 interception and sacked 3 times. Biggest game: Miami, No. 5. Best play: Completion for 15 yards, at Purdue, overtime 0:00. Win chance 25% to 52%.

Tap a game for its plays

Q1Q2Q3Q4

Akron

W 38–16·Unranked

Great

350 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT · Rush 7 for 39 · Sacked 0

Biggest swing: a Q1 completion added 14 points of win chance. Win chance: 54% to 69%.

Full game page

at Purdue

W 38–36·Unranked

Solid

Passing grade only · Strong start, faded late · 225 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT · Rush 13 for 59, 2 TD · Sacked 2

Thank you UNC. Lopez looks good
Wake Forest fan

Biggest swing: a Q4 completion added 26 points of win chance. Win chance: 23% to 49%.

Full game page

Miami

L 20–33·Ranked #5

Shaky

312 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT · Rush 7 for -8 · Sacked 3

Lopez is a legit good QB. I have no idea what UNC was doing with him last year
Wake Forest fan

Biggest swing: a Q1 completion added 31 points of win chance. It flipped the game for the team: 42% to 74%.

Full game page

at Louisville

W 30–27·Ranked #16

Solid

225 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT · Rush 8 for 15 · Sacked 3

Biggest swing: a Q2 completion added 27 points of win chance. It flipped the game for the team: 32% to 59%.

Full game page

Stanford

W 57–3·Unranked

Solid

Passing grade only · 265 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT · Rush 12 for 88, 3 TD · Sacked 1

Biggest swing: a Q1 completion added 17 points of win chance. Win chance: 66% to 83%.

Full game page

at NC State

W 38–14·Unranked

Solid

Slow start, strong finish · 303 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT · Rush 8 for 10, 1 TD · Sacked 1

Biggest swing: a Q3 completion added 28 points of win chance. It flipped the game for the team: 37% to 66%.

Full game page

at California

W 41–7·Unranked

Great

267 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT · Rush 8 for 51 · Sacked 0

Lopez can chill lol.
Wake Forest fan

Biggest swing: a Q1 completion added 25 points of win chance. It flipped the game for the team: 46% to 71%.

Full game page

Virginia

W 51–7·Unranked

Solid

Passing grade only · 229 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT · Rush 13 for 64 · Sacked 2

Biggest swing: a Q1 completion added 8 points of win chance. Win chance: 60% to 68%.

Full game page

Season

Fades after halftime

How to read this

Each column is a quarter. Blue and up is a good stretch for the quarterback, red and down a bad one, hatched means the game was already decided. A red cross is a turnover and a black dot a touchdown. The word on the right grades the whole game; on games with a lot of running it grades the passing only. A gold line means the r/CFB game thread kept naming the quarterback. Dashed outlines on the Season row are last season’s average. Tap a game to open its plays: each bar is one of the quarterback’s plays, up helped the team’s chance of winning and down hurt it, and the grey line is that chance.

The word grades the game against every FBS quarterback start, from Rough to Great, using the same throws as the season Zeitgeist Passer Rating and adjusting for the defense faced. Bars are points added per throw in that quarter. The Season row leaves out quarters after a game was decided.

Style of play

Chain-mover

Also: mobile, big-play arm

Why this word

Runs6.9 a gameRarelyA lot

Throws9.1 yards past the lineShortDeep

Completes66% by play-by-playFewerMore

Takes sacks5% of dropbacksRarelyOften

The dot is this quarterback, among this season’s starters; the tick is the middle.

Throws at a middling depth and runs some. 6.9 carries a game. Closest matches: Kienholz, Weigman, Jackson, Jackson.

Where the throws go

Behind the line15%typical 17%

Short46%typical 47%

Middle24%typical 22%

Deep15%typical 14%

Runs 6.9 times a game; 78% of starters run less.

Closest in style

Nearer the middle means more alike.

Kienholz Louisville · Dual-threat
2,094 yards, 12 TD, 3 INT so far. Both rarely throw behind the line and complete a lot.
Weigman Houston · Chain-mover
2,052 yards, 20 TD, 2 INT so far. Both score a lot and run a lot.
Jackson Texas State · Dual-threat
1,933 yards, 18 TD, 5 INT so far. Both rarely throw behind the line and score a lot.
Jackson North Texas · Precision passer
2,568 yards, 22 TD, 5 INT so far. Both score a lot and are efficient.

Compared with the 158 FBS starters this season for throws and running, and with 219 quarterbacks across 2 seasons for the matches, on how they play and how they have done.

This week

RecordWake Forest is 7-1, No. 14 in the AP poll (week 10).
What fans say
Over the last few games, Wake Forest fans have been high on Lopez.
“Lopez is a legit good QB. I have no idea what UNC was doing with him last year”
“Thank you UNC. Lopez looks good”
From r/CFB game threads. Read by AI.

What’s being said

4 stories this week, from 5 outlets.

Stories per day. W and L: the team’s results.

Gio Lopez helps No. 14 Wake Forest rout Virginia

Lexington Herald Leader +1 Oct 31

All 5 stories this season

Worth knowing

Giovanni Lopez has 318 rushing yards, already past last season's 133.
Giovanni Lopez has 1 interception in 228 throws, the 5th-fewest among FBS quarterbacks.

His most important play this season

Overtime, 0:00 · Wake Forest down 6, takes the leadGiovanni Lopez runs 3 yards for a touchdownWake Forest at Purdue, week 2Overtime, 0:00 · Wake Forest 38, Purdue 36Overtime two-point conversion for Wake ForestOvertime two-point conversion for Wake ForestGio Lopez 3 yd Run (Gio Lopez Run for Two-Point Conversion)Watch from this play

All 16 of his plays on video

Giovanni Lopez

QB · Wake Forest · #3

Filling the Shoesas of Nov 4

Giovanni Lopez takes over from Robby Ashford at Wake Forest.

2,176passing yards18passing TD318rushing yards

PRODUCES ABOVE PERCEPTION · PCTL GAP

+32

perception vs production percentile · 2026

The production (86th) is outrunning the reputation (54th). The recognition is the thing lagging behind.

Read the story so far

Giovanni Lopez arrived as a 3-star prospect. Giovanni Lopez lines up at QB for Wake Forest.

On the field, the headline is 2,176 pass yds, with 18 pass td.

Giovanni Lopez inherited the QB job from Robby Ashford (4-star).

The number to watch: +32 — produces above perception · pctl gap.

QB successionleap of faith

Inherited fromRobby Ashford 4★

AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-11-04

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2026	Wake Forest	153	228	67.1%	2,176	9.5	18	1	172.4	69
2025	North Carolina	170	261	65.1%	1,747	6.7	10	5	130.2	30
2024	South Alabama	205	311	65.9%	2,557	8.2	18	5	150.9	51
2023	South Alabama	41	61	67.2%	475	7.8	4	2	147.7	--
Career		569	861	66.1%	6,955	8.1	50	13	150.1	49

Season	Team
2026	Wake Forest	76	318	4.2	6	24
2025	North Carolina	86	133	1.5	3	17
2024	South Alabama	82	465	5.7	7	50
2023	South Alabama	18	154	8.6	2	27
Career		262	1,070	4.1	18	50

Last game (Wk 9): 229 passing yards, 1 passing TD.

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2026 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	Grade	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	SK	RUSH	Note
Wk 1	W 38-16vs Akron	Great	21/32	350	3	0	10.9	81.7	0	39	Season-high 350 yds
Wk 2	W 38-36@ Purdue	Solid	16/27	225	1	0	8.3	90.3	2	59
Wk 3	L 20-33vs No. 5 Miami	Shaky	29/46	312	3	1	6.8	72.7	3	-8	3 TD passes
Wk 4	W 30-27@ No. 16 Louisville	Solid	12/19	225	1	0	11.8	91.2	3	15
Wk 5	W 57-3vs Stanford	Solid	20/27	265	2	0	9.8	86.9	1	88	Clean 2-TD game
Wk 6	W 38-14@ NC State	Solid	26/33	303	3	0	9.2	93.1	1	10	3 TD passes
Wk 7	W 41-7@ California	Great	16/23	267	4	0	11.6	96.9	0	51	4 TD passes
Wk 9	W 51-7vs Virginia	Solid	13/21	229	1	0	10.9	88.1	2	64
Total			153/228	2176	18	1	9.5	—	12	318

The latest game

Oct. 31 · W 51-7 vs Virginia, play by play

13 of 21 for 229 yards and a touchdown; 10.9 yards an attempt, 8th-best in FBS that week. He was 6 of 9 on third and fourth down.

7 of 7 of his drives scored
6 of 9 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked twice
11 runs for 80 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
TD2 of 4, 49 yds1
FG1 of 1, 3 yds23
Second quarterbegan up 10-0
TD2 of 4, 25 yds
FG5 of 6, 72 yds
Third quarterbegan up 20-0
FG1 of 4, 23 yds
TD1 of 1, 10 yds
TD1 of 1, 47 yds4
FinalW 51-7

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
16-yard completion to Carlos Hernandez on 3rd and 10. First quarter, tied 0-0. Converted.
2
6-yard run on 3rd and 4. First quarter, up 7-0. Converted.
3
4-yard run on 3rd and 14. First quarter, up 7-0.
4
47-yard completion to Drayden Dickmann. Third quarter, up 30-0.

The season, game by game

W 51-7 vs VirginiaOct. 31229 yds13 of 21, 1 TDPlay by play just above · 10.9 yds an attempt, 8th in FBS

W 41-7 at CaliforniaOct. 17267 yds16 of 23, 4 TD11.6 yds an attempt, 4th in FBS

16 of 23 for 267 yards and 4 touchdowns; 11.6 yards an attempt, 4th-best in FBS that week.

Not drawn: the play-by-play doesn’t add up to the box score.

6 more games, with the play by play

W 38-14 at NC StateOct. 10303 yds26 of 33, 3 TD9.2 yds an attempt, 24th in FBS

Play by playOn the field

26 of 33 for 303 yards and 3 touchdowns. Wake Forest scored touchdowns on 5 of the 8 drives he played.

6 of 8 of his drives scored
9 of 12 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked once
7 runs for 21 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
TD1 of 1, 1 yds
Punt3 of 5, 16 yds123
Second quarterbegan tied 7-7
Punt1 of 2, 5 yds
FG6 of 9, 63 yds
Third quarterbegan down 14-10
TD6 of 7, 70 yds
TD3 of 3, 63 yds4
TD3 of 3, 59 yds
Fourth quarterbegan up 31-14
TD3 of 3, 26 yds
FinalW 38-14

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
7-yard completion to Carlos Hernandez on 3rd and 7. First quarter, tied 7-7. Converted.
2
5-yard run on 3rd and 5. First quarter, tied 7-7. Converted.
3
5-yard completion to Carlos Hernandez on 3rd and 10. First quarter, tied 7-7.
4
52-yard completion to Jack Foley. Third quarter, up 17-14.

10203040503652

leftmiddlerightno spot

a completionincompleteinterceptedsacked, below the line

Each pass sits where it was caught or thrown to, in yards past the line. The play text only says left, middle or right, so inside a lane marks are sorted, not placed.

W 57-3 vs StanfordOct. 3265 yds20 of 27, 2 TDBig game · 9.8 yds an attempt, 13th in FBS

Play by playOn the field

A big game: 20 of 27 for 265 yards and 2 touchdowns. Wake Forest scored touchdowns on 6 of the 8 drives he played.

6 of 8 of his drives scored
6 of 7 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked once
11 runs for 93 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
TD3 of 3, 43 yds1
TD4 of 4, 67 yds2
Second quarterbegan up 15-0
Punt0 of 2, 0 yds
Punt0 of 1, 0 yds
TD3 of 3, 41 yds
TD5 of 6, 57 yds
Third quarterbegan up 29-3
TD2 of 5, 13 yds
TD3 of 3, 44 yds3
FinalW 57-3

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
11-yard run on 3rd and 4. First quarter, tied 0-0. Converted.
2
5-yard touchdown run on 3rd and 5. First quarter, made it 15-0.
3
40-yard completion to Kameran Shanks. Third quarter, up 36-3.

10203040503340

leftmiddlerightno spot

a completionincompleteinterceptedsacked, below the line

Each pass sits where it was caught or thrown to, in yards past the line. The play text only says left, middle or right, so inside a lane marks are sorted, not placed.

W 30-27 at LouisvilleSept. 26225 yds12 of 19, 1 TD11.8 yds an attempt, 14th in FBS

Play by playOn the field

12 of 19 for 225 yards and a touchdown. He was 2 of 5 on third and fourth down.

6 of 11 of his drives scored
2 of 5 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked 3 times
4 runs for 29 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
Downs1 of 1, 7 yds
FG2 of 3, 9 yds1
TD3 of 6, 69 yds2
Second quarterbegan down 7-3
TD1 of 2, 77 yds34
TD1 of 1, 31 yds
Punt0 of 1, 0 yds
Third quarterbegan up 24-21
Punt0 of 1, 0 yds
FG2 of 2, 12 yds
Fourth quarterbegan tied 27-27
Fumble1 of 1, 8 yds
FG1 of 1, 12 yds
Punt—
FinalW 30-27

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
3-yard completion to Carlos Hernandez on 3rd and 8. First quarter, tied 0-0.
2
48-yard completion to Carlos Hernandez on 3rd and 15. Second quarter, down 7-3. Converted.
3
8-yard run on 3rd and 7. Second quarter, down 14-10. Converted.
4
77-yard touchdown pass to Carlos Hernandez. Second quarter, made it 17-14.

1020304050314877

leftmiddlerightno spot

a completionincompleteinterceptedsacked, below the line

Each pass sits where it was caught or thrown to, in yards past the line. The play text only says left, middle or right, so inside a lane marks are sorted, not placed.

L 20-33 vs MiamiSept. 18312 yds29 of 46, 3 TD, 1 INT6.8 yds an attempt, 79th in FBS

29 of 46 for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and an interception.

Not drawn: the play-by-play doesn’t add up to the box score.

W 38-36 at PurdueSept. 12225 yds16 of 27, 1 TD8.3 yds an attempt, 51st in FBS

Play by playOn the field

16 of 27 for 225 yards and a touchdown. He was 6 of 12 on third and fourth down.

7 of 9 of his drives scored
6 of 12 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked twice
11 runs for 71 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
TD3 of 4, 39 yds1
FG4 of 5, 47 yds2
Second quarterbegan tied 7-7
TD4 of 4, 60 yds34
Third quarterbegan up 17-10
FG2 of 4, 35 yds
Punt0 of 2, 0 yds
Fourth quarterbegan up 20-13
FG—
Punt0 of 3, 0 yds
Ot quarterbegan up 23-20
TD1 of 1, 24 yds
Ot quarterbegan tied 30-30
TD2 of 4, 20 yds
FinalW 38-36

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
13-yard completion to Antonio Meeks on 3rd and 6. First quarter, down 7-0. Converted.
2
Incomplete to Dominick Barry on 3rd and 8. Second quarter, tied 7-7.
3
25-yard completion to Carlos Hernandez. Second quarter, up 10-7.
4
1-yard touchdown run on 3rd and 1. Second quarter, made it 17-7.

1020304050

leftmiddlerightno spot

a completionincompleteinterceptedsacked, below the line

Each pass sits where it was caught or thrown to, in yards past the line. The play text only says left, middle or right, so inside a lane marks are sorted, not placed.

W 38-16 vs AkronSept. 3350 yds21 of 32, 3 TD10.9 yds an attempt, 26th in FBS

21 of 32 for 350 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Not drawn: the play-by-play doesn’t add up to the box score.

Highs and lows

Only games with 20 or more plays count for best and lowest.
Best by our grade	at California	W 41-7 · Graded great · 267 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT · Rush 8 for 51 · Sacked 0
Lowest by our grade	Miami	L 20-33 · Graded shaky · 312 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT · Rush 7 for -8 · Sacked 3
Biggest game	Miami	No. 5 at kickoff · L 20-33 · Graded shaky · 312 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT · Rush 7 for -8 · Sacked 3
Best play	at Purdue	Completion for 15 yards, overtime 0:00 · Win chance 25% to 52%

Where he ranks

10th among FBS quarterbacks in yards an attempt. 3rd among ACC quarterbacks in passer rating.

Stat	His	Nation	ACC
Passing yards	2,176	14th of 370	4th of 48
Yards an attempt	9.5	10th of 152	4th of 19
Touchdown passes	18	T-13th of 370	3rd of 48
Passer rating	172.4	11th of 152	3rd of 19
Completion percentage	67.1	T-34th of 152	7th of 19
Rushing yards	318	30th of 370	3rd of 48
Rushing touchdowns	6	T-16th of 370	4th of 48

Counting stats rank all FBS quarterbacks with a pass attempt; the rates rank those with at least 10 attempts a game.

All ACC quarterbacks

Rk	Quarterback	Yards	TD	INT	Att	Y/A
1	Kevin Jennings	2,433	21	5	251	9.7
2	Darian Mensah	2,425	25	1	233	10.4
3	Davis Warren	2,203	14	3	308	7.2
4	Giovanni Lopez	2,176	18	1	228	9.5
5	Ethan Grunkemeyer	2,140	17	2	262	8.2
6	Lincoln Kienholz	2,094	12	3	208	10.1
7	Ashton Daniels	1,968	14	11	214	9.2
8	CJ Bailey	1,955	13	4	244	8.0
9	Billy Edwards	1,871	15	5	235	8.0
10	Alberto Mendoza	1,795	10	6	240	7.5
11	Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele	1,751	11	6	264	6.6
12	Walker Eget	1,641	9	3	215	7.6
13	Beau Pribula	1,587	14	3	212	7.5
14	Mason McKenzie	1,450	8	7	201	7.2
15	Mason Heintschel	1,304	14	1	148	8.8
16	Tait Reynolds	1,287	3	3	211	6.1
17	Steven Angeli	1,186	7	5	171	6.9
18	Holden Geriner	886	4	2	132	6.7
19	Jackson Brousseau	701	3	0	120	5.8
20	Malachi Nelson	532	3	2	70	7.6
21	Amari Odom	391	6	2	47	8.3
22	Corey Dailey	316	3	3	35	9.0
23	Eli Holstein	282	3	0	34	8.3
24	Luke Nickel	204	3	1	20	10.2
25	Dan Mahan	175	3	1	22	8.0
26	Grady Adamson	135	1	0	27	5.0
27	Bryce Baker	127	1	0	14	9.1
28	Ty Hawkins	117	2	0	14	8.4
29	Christopher Vizzina	102	1	2	23	4.4
30	Steele Pizzella	85	0	0	9	9.4
31	Trent Pearman	80	0	2	13	6.2
32	Danny Lauter	74	1	0	11	6.7
33	Femi Babalola	49	0	0	5	9.8
34	Mike Mitchell Jr.	46	0	0	10	4.6
35	Cole Geer	45	1	0	7	6.4
36	Terry Walker III	44	0	0	4	11.0
37	Will Wilson	35	2	0	12	2.9
38	Dereon Coleman	30	0	0	6	5.0
39	Briggs Cherry	24	0	0	2	12.0
40	Miles O'Neill	22	0	0	6	3.7
41	Kevin Sperry	21	0	0	5	4.2
42	Davin Wydner	19	1	0	4	4.8
43	Charlie Fiser	8	0	0	2	4.0
44	Cole Leinart	5	0	0	1	5.0
45	Brock Bradley	0	0	0	1	0.0
46	Charlie Mirer	0	0	1	1	0.0
47	Grayson Wilson	-1	0	0	5	-0.2
48	Ryan Zimmerman	-1	0	0	1	-1.0

Sorted by passing yards. Gray: under 10 attempts a game, so not ranked on yards an attempt.

Passing yards2,1764th in the ACC this season; 24th among current FBS players over the whole career (6,955).

Touchdown passes183rd in the ACC this season; tied for 28th among current FBS players over the whole career (50).

Conference ranks count every player in the conference with a row in that stat, any position. Career ranks count current FBS players, from the games in our log.

Opponents faced, by strength

Ratings of the games shown run from -25 to +25 points against an average team (SP+ rating of each opponent).

Pass targets

Hernandez and Foley saw 107 of the 229 charted throws.

Receiver	Targets	Catches	Yards	Throw depth	After catch
Carlos Hernandez	73	57	856	7.5	7.8
Jack Foley	34	22	395	14.5	3.9
Kameran Shanks	29	17	254	9.9	5.6
Antonio Meeks	19	11	187	10.2	7.8
Kamrean Johnson	13	9	64	6.1	2.9
10 others	52	37	420	6.8	4.8
No receiver charted	9	The interception is among these

Play by play: 229 passes, 153 caught, 2,176 yards; the box score counts 228 attempts. Throw depth: average air yards per target. After catch: average yards after the catch per catch. Bar: targets; the blue part was caught.

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

153/228 (67.1%) · 18 TD · 1 INT

All 228 box-score attempts covered (play-by-play lists 229 passing plays)

224 of 229 attempts charted for true throw depth

Totals here are the box score's. Play-by-play lists 229 passing plays (153 completions) against the box score's 228 attempts (153 completions), and the depth buckets use play-by-play.

Adjusted ANY/A

10.056 of 185 QBs

Sack rate

5.0%84 of 185 QBs

Rarely sacked (84 of 185 QBs) and still 6 of 185 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

16% of attempts (36)

78%comp

Air -2.8 · YAC 8.5 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

47% of attempts (105)

69%comp

Air 4.4 · YAC 5.5 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

22% of attempts (50)

66%comp1 INT

Air 12.7 · YAC 3.9 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

15% of attempts (33)

48%comp

Air 29.2 · YAC 7.8 avg

Overall 67.1% completion on 228 attempts · 48% completion on 33 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2026 baseline

No situation moves him more than 41 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-33 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 4/97 (4.1%) · league sack rate 4.5%

Down 2

+16 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 5/79 (6.3%) · league sack rate 5.0%

Down 3+

+41 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 3/49 (6.1%) · league sack rate 8.3%

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Teams and coaches

2023South Alabama7-6HC: Kane Wommack · Balanced

2024South Alabama7-6HC: Major Applewhite · Balanced

2025North Carolina4-8HC: Bill Belichick · Balanced, slow tempo

2026Wake Forest7-1HC: Jake Dickert · Run-leaning

Our ratings

CFB Zeitgeist Score 82 (#4 of 145). Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

82All-Conference level #4 of 145?

13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: epa / dropback (98th percentile). Strength: interception rate (97th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

EPA / dropback#3 / 157 · 98th pct

0.48

Interception rate#5 / 157 · 97th pct

0.4%

Success rate#20 / 157 · 87th pct

49.4%

Explosive rate#31 / 157 · 81st pct

13.5%

Sack rate#67 / 157 · 58th pct

5.0%

Box-score rates (8)

Yards / att#10 / 159 · 94th pct

9.5

Interceptions#5 / 159 · 93rd pct

Fumbles lost#1 / 142 · 92nd pct

Pass yards#15 / 159 · 91st pct

2176

Rush TDs#12 / 159 · 91st pct

Pass TDs#14 / 159 · 90th pct

Rush yards#26 / 159 · 84th pct

318

Completion %#35 / 159 · 78th pct

67.1%

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

32nd → 98th percentile

Success rate

39th → 87th percentile

Explosive rate

7th → 81st percentile

Sack rate

26th → 58th percentile

Interception rate

57th → 97th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Zeitgeist Passer Rating

2026 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.

After 225 dropbacks

69Zeitgeist Passer Rating17th of 119 FBS QBs

NCAA passer rating 172.4 9th of 119 FBS QBs

Positive-play rate weight 24%

49.7%71st pct of FBS QBs

share of dropbacks that gained expected points · -1.8% schedule adj.

Yards per attempt weight 56%

8.9990th pct of FBS QBs

sacks excluded · -0.5 schedule adj.

Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)

6.4%38th pct of FBS QBs

the input passer rating cannot see · +1.0% schedule adj.

Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (15 of 240 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. How ZPR is built.

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2026 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home4g	289	2.2	9.6	0.2
Road4g	255	2.2	10.2	0.0

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-77g	278	2.4	9.8	0.1
Weeks 8+1g	229	1.0	10.9	0.0

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Jake Dickert

Pass share

45.3%

237 pass / 286 run

Plays / game

65.4

8 games

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Wake Forest’s two quarterbacks

Giovanni Lopez	Threw in all 8 games · 153 of 228, 2,176 yds, 18 TD, 1 INT · 9.5 yards an attempt on 228 attempts · ran for 318 yds, 6 TD
Steele Pizzella	Threw in 3 of 8 games · 6 of 9, 85 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · 9.4 yards an attempt on 9 attempts · ran for 52 yds, 1 TD

Box score. Every quarterback on the team who has thrown a pass this season.

Awards

Player standing · 2026

In the Heisman race (#9 in our model)

Our Heisman model ranks this player #9 right now. Heisman finalists are named in December.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score

82 · #4 of 145 QBs

Three-star recruit. Now #4 at the position.

Heisman trajectory

Our Heisman model · 2026 · week 10

#9

Weeks outside our model's top 25 sit on the baseline.

Peak #9 · week 10

Avg #19.3

Finalist chance 19%

#9 in our model as of week 10, the highest yet this season.

Starter

The No. 1,331 recruit in the country is starting at quarterback in the ACC.

Giovanni Lopez

Style of play

This week

What’s being said

Worth knowing

His most important play this season

In the news this week

What they’re talking about

In the news this season

What they’re talking about

Week by week

What was said at each stop

What fans said

In the game threads

Named in

Where to follow

Career stats

Game log

The latest game

The season, game by game

Highs and lows

Where he ranks

Pass targets

Passing profile

Situational

Teams and coaches

Our ratings

Splits

Wake Forest’s two quarterbacks

Awards

In the Heisman race (#9 in our model)

Heisman trajectory

#9

Starter

Four seasons, three schools

2023 5 games