Pennsylvania beats Bucknell 20-7
Team pages: Pennsylvania · Bucknell
Pennsylvania beat Bucknell 20-7. Share this game
We had Bucknell favored. Pennsylvania won.
Next: Pennsylvania lost to Lehigh 20-7, Sat Sep 26
How it swung
The turning point: Teodecki 1-yd TD run, Pennsylvania goes ahead 7-0 (Q1, 3:23). Pennsylvania went from 57% to 77% to win.
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Pennsylvania a 35% chance, and the closing betting line (Pennsylvania was a 3.5-point favorite) put it at 61%.
A tight one: Pennsylvania bottomed out at 46% and won.
Bucknell never had better than a 54% chance.
Pennsylvania 20-7 Bucknell
Pennsylvania wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Bucknell 7-20 PennsylvaniaBucknell lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 3:23Teodecki 1-yd TD run, Pennsylvania goes ahead 7-0Pennsylvania 57% → 77% (+20)
- 2Q1 0:38Teodecki 37-yd TD pass to Page, Pennsylvania leads 14-0Pennsylvania 79% → 89% (+10)
The two plays that swung it
- 1Q1 3:23Teodecki 1-yd TD run, Pennsylvania goes ahead 7-0Bucknell 43% → 23% (−20)
- 2Q1 0:38Teodecki 37-yd TD pass to Page, Pennsylvania leads 14-0Bucknell 21% → 11% (−10)
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Pennsylvania -3.5), at 52% for Pennsylvania (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Pennsylvania scored on 3 of its 14 drives; Bucknell on 0 of its 13.
Pennsylvania’s drives are teal, Bucknell’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Pennsylvania 20, Bucknell 7
Pennsylvania covered −3.5 by 9.5. The total, 27, stayed under 46.5.
Pennsylvania leaders
- Passing Miles Teodecki 18 of 34, 197 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Miles Teodecki 13 for 87 yds, 1 TD; Donte West 17 for 39 yds
- Receiving Luke Johnson 6 for 75 yds; Mason Page 1 for 37 yds, 1 TD
Bucknell leaders
- Passing Emmett Dowling 8 of 21, 76 yds, 1 INT
- Rushing Ty Brown-Stauffer 11 for 31 yds; Michael Cadden 6 for 16 yds
- Receiving Sam Milligan 3 for 43 yds; Jerry Harrison 1 for 20 yds
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Pennsylvania · 6-4
Rated 247th in our preseason ratings.
W 17-6 vs Princeton #213 of 667
won by 11 as a 3.5-point favorite
L 43-45 @ Harvard #132 of 667
lost by 2 as a 23-point underdog
L 17-39 vs Cornell #208 of 667
lost by 22 as an 8-point favorite
W 28-21 vs Brown #224 of 667
won by 7 as an 11.5-point favorite
L 13-35 @ Yale #174 of 667
lost by 22 as a 6.5-point underdog
W 35-21 @ Columbia #237 of 667
won by 14 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 28-9 vs Marist #237 of 667
won by 19 as a 16.5-point favorite
W 36-24 vs Dartmouth #205 of 667
won by 12 as a 3-point underdog
L 30-44 @ Lehigh #152 of 667
lost by 14 as a 9.5-point underdog
W 24-21 @ Stonehill #253 of 667
won by 3 as a 17.5-point favorite
Last three games
Bucknell · 1-2
Rated 236th in our preseason ratings, 235th now.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
Power rating by week
Bucknell is rated 1.8 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
The series
Pennsylvania leads the series 26-2
28 meetings since 1895 · Pennsylvania has won the last 12
- 2024Pennsylvania 31-21
- 2023Pennsylvania 37-21
- 2021Pennsylvania 30-6
- 2018Pennsylvania 34-17
- 2010Pennsylvania 31-10
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Bucknell’s chances here.
Pennsylvania favored by 3.5 · Total 46.5
How games like this usually go
Pennsylvania by 3.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 377 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 0.5 points toward Pennsylvania.
The total fell 2 points.
Spread: +3 → +3.5 · Total: 48.5 → 46.5
The books’ cut: 5.3%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
Home-field advantage: Bottom third of FBS.
0% at home, 0% on the road against FBS opponents (0-0 home, 0-7 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -3.6 at home vs. away over 51 games — inside the ±6.2 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 113 miles to get here.