Texas Southern at UTEP
Fan take
Texas Southern fans
UTEP fans
How they got here
Last two games
Texas Southern · 1-1
Picked #209 in the preseason · now #193 — better than expected.
1-1 in its last two, capped by a 12-point win over North Carolina Central as a 10.5-point underdog.
L 14–52 @ Prairie View A&M #117 of 669
lost by 38 as a 10.5-point underdog
W 42–30 vs North Carolina Central #204 of 669
won by 12 as a 10.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
UTEP · 2-10
Picked #212 in the preseason · now #122 — better than expected.
Three straight losses.
L 31–61 @ Delaware #146 of 668
lost by 30 as a 4.5-point underdog
L 31–34 vs New Mexico State #198 of 668
lost by 3 as a 4.5-point favorite
L 24–38 @ Missouri State #133 of 668
lost by 14 as a 7.5-point underdog
L 27–30 vs Jacksonville State #92 of 668
lost by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog
L 20–33 @ Kennesaw State #109 of 668
lost by 13 as a 12.5-point underdog
W 35–17 @ Sam Houston #195 of 668
won by 18 as a 3.5-point favorite
L 8–19 vs Liberty #65 of 668
lost by 11 as a 2-point underdog
L 11–30 vs Louisiana Tech #107 of 668
lost by 19 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 25–31 vs UL Monroe #112 of 668
lost by 6 as a 5.5-point favorite
L 10–27 @ TexasTop 25 #7 of 668
lost by 17 as a 40.5-point underdog
W 42–17 vs UT Martin #131 of 668
won by 25 as a 7.5-point favorite
L 16–28 @ Utah State #168 of 668
lost by 12 as a 5.5-point underdog
What’s at stake
Texas Southern
- Texas Southern needs 5 more wins in the final 8 to reach bowl eligibility.
- Texas Southern is still shaking off a 41-point loss.
UTEP
- UTEP is coming off a 41-point win.
The series
UTEP leads the series 4-0
4 meetings since 2001 · UTEP has won the last 4
- 2026UTEP 51–10
- 2007UTEP 52–12
- 2005UTEP 45–0
- 2001UTEP 52–6
Best players
UTEP
- Xavier Smith (S) · 10 tackles
- Isaiah Bogerty (LB) · 10 tackles
- Raymond Moore III (QB) · 142 rushing yards
The line, and the room
The model and the market don’t fully agree on UTEP’s chances here.
Home −27.5 · O/U 53.5
Conditions
93°F · 8 mph wind · Heavy Rain Shower
UTEP is worth +4.2 points (±3.4) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 51st percentile.
28% at home, 17% on the road against FBS opponents (10–26 home, 8–40 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.9 at home vs. away over 73 games — inside the ±5.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 677 miles to get here.
Texas Southern 10 – UTEP 51
Missed — picked Texas Southern, UTEP won.
Recent games
UTEP
- Wk 1Lat Oklahoma0-51
Texas Southern
- Wk 1Wvs North Carolina Central42-30
- Wk 1Lat Prairie View A&M14-52
Trajectory
UTEP upset the pregame pick, beating Texas Southern 51-10.