UTEP routs Texas Southern 51-10

Texas Southern1-210
UTEP1-151Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Sun Bowl, El Paso, Texas · Crowd 24,580MW+

UTEP routed Texas Southern 51-10.

We had Texas Southern favored. UTEP won.

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave UTEP a 56% chance, and the closing betting line (UTEP was a 27.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.

Fumble return TDUTEP · Q3 12:0479-yard TD runUTEP · Q4 0:48
FinalUTEP 51-10 Texas SouthernUTEP wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4UTEPWon51-10ScoresFumble return TD79-yard TD run
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4UTEPWon51-10ScoresFumble return TD79-yard TD run
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4UTEPLowest 0%Lost10-51ScoresFumble return TD79-yard TD run
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4UTEPLowest 0%Lost10-51ScoresFumble return TD79-yard TD run

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

UTEP’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (UTEP -27.5), at 97% for UTEP (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays.

Every drive

UTEP scored on 7 of its 12 drives; Texas Southern on 2 of its 13.

UTEP’s drives are teal, Texas Southern’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Texas Southern: Punt, from 75 yards out to 56PuntUTEP: Touchdown, from 83 yards out to 0TouchdownTexas Southern: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownUTEP: Punt, from 79 yards out to 71PuntTexas Southern: Field goal, from 70 yards out to 26Field goalQ2UTEP: Punt, from 73 yards out to 58PuntTexas Southern: Interception, from 75 yards out to 75InterceptionUTEP: Touchdown, from 37 yards out to 0TouchdownTexas Southern: Punt, from 79 yards out to 93PuntUTEP: Touchdown, from 38 yards out to 0TouchdownTexas Southern: End of half, from 75 yards out to 77End of halfQ3UTEP: Fumble Return returned for a touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0Fumble Return TDTexas Southern: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 87DownsUTEP: Touchdown, from 13 yards out to 0TouchdownTexas Southern: Punt, from 89 yards out to 86PuntUTEP: Touchdown, from 51 yards out to 0TouchdownTexas Southern: Punt, from 82 yards out to 78PuntUTEP: Punt, from 75 yards out to 62PuntTexas Southern: Punt, from 91 yards out to 100PuntUTEP: Field goal, from 83 yards out to 17Field goalQ4Texas Southern: Punt, from 75 yards out to 49PuntUTEP: Fumble, from 83 yards out to 69FumbleTexas Southern: Missed field goal, from 31 yards out to 14Missed FGUTEP: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownTexas Southern: End of game, from 75 yards out to 72End of game

Box score

UTEP 51, Texas Southern 10

UTEP covered −27.5 by 13.5. The total, 61, went over 53.5.

Texas SouthernUTEPTotal yardsTexas Southern 211UTEP 491211491Passing yardsTexas Southern 99UTEP 23999239Rushing yardsTexas Southern 112UTEP 252112252First downsTexas Southern 13UTEP 211321TurnoversTexas Southern 2UTEP 121Time of possessionTexas Southern 36:36UTEP 23:2436:3623:24
Team totalsTexas SouthernUTEP
Total yards211491
Passing13 of 22, 99 yds14 of 21, 239 yds
Rushing40 for 112 yds33 for 252 yds
First downs1321
Third down6 of 175 of 10
Fourth down1 of 11 of 1
Turnovers21
Penalties14 for 112 yds4 for 46 yds
Time of possession36:3623:24

Texas Southern leaders

  • Passing Cam'Ron McCoy 11 of 17, 85 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing Athean Renfro 13 for 45 yds, 1 TD; Jacob Washington 5 for 22 yds
  • Receiving Xavier Phipps 3 for 31 yds; Jaquan Mcgee 2 for 26 yds

UTEP leaders

  • Passing EJ Colson 14 of 21, 239 yds, 4 TD
  • Rushing Tavorus Jones 16 for 104 yds, 1 TD; Raymond Moore III 3 for 93 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Kam Thomas 2 for 92 yds, 1 TD; Carver Cheeks 3 for 39 yds, 1 TD

No rain and calm

95° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 8 mph from the west-southwest, gusts to 21

Warmer than every one of the 65 other games played at Sun Bowl since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 79°, with about 7 in 10 games between 71° and 85°.

September game-day temperatures at Sun Bowl

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4UTEP favoredTexas Southern favored100%Win chanceUTEPRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4UTEP favoredTexas Southern favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:54 left7:06 p.m.
Texas Southern 0, UTEP 0 · UTEP 97% to win
no rain · wind 3 mph from the west · 94°
McCoy incomplete to McGee
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at El Paso International Airport, 8.2 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Texas Southern · 1-1

Rated 209th in our preseason ratings, 205th now.

1-1 in its last two, including a 12-point win over North Carolina Central as a 10.5-point underdog.

L 14-52 @ Prairie View A&M #109 of 668

lost by 38 as a 10.5-point underdog

Texas Southern lost 14-52 at Prairie View A&M. Chance to win started at 9%, low under 1%, high 11%.

W 42-30 vs North Carolina Central #167 of 668

won by 12 as a 10.5-point underdog

Texas Southern won 42-30 vs North Carolina Central. Chance to win started at 30%, low 3%, high better than 99%.

Last three games · 2025 season

UTEP · 2-10

Rated 212th in our preseason ratings, 196th now, up 16 spots.

Three straight losses.

L 31-61 @ Delaware #150 of 667

lost by 30 as a 4.5-point underdog

UTEP lost 31-61 at Delaware. Chance to win started at 25%, low under 1%, high 37%.

L 31-34 vs New Mexico State #177 of 667

lost by 3 as a 4.5-point favorite

UTEP lost 31-34 vs New Mexico State. Chance to win started at 69%, low under 1%, high 99%.

L 24-38 @ Missouri State #124 of 667

lost by 14 as a 7.5-point underdog

UTEP lost 24-38 at Missouri State. Chance to win started at 22%, low under 1%, high 36%.

L 27-30 vs Jacksonville State #117 of 667

lost by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog

UTEP lost 27-30 vs Jacksonville State. Chance to win started at 54%, low 6%, high 61%.

L 20-33 @ Kennesaw State #103 of 667

lost by 13 as a 12.5-point underdog

UTEP lost 20-33 at Kennesaw State. Chance to win started at 16%, low under 1%, high 40%.

W 35-17 @ Sam Houston #199 of 667

won by 18 as a 3.5-point favorite

UTEP won 35-17 vs Sam Houston. Chance to win started at 47%, low 24%, high better than 99%.

L 8-19 vs Liberty #96 of 667

lost by 11 as a 1.5-point underdog

UTEP lost 8-19 vs Liberty. Chance to win started at 55%, low 1%, high 59%.

L 11-30 vs Louisiana Tech #93 of 667

lost by 19 as a 3.5-point underdog

UTEP lost 11-30 vs Louisiana Tech. Chance to win started at 49%, low under 1%, high 58%.

L 25-31 vs UL Monroe #131 of 667

lost by 6 as a 5.5-point favorite

UTEP lost 25-31 vs UL Monroe. Chance to win started at 68%, low under 1%, high 84%.

L 10-27 @ TexasTop 25 #6 of 667

lost by 17 as a 40.5-point underdog

UTEP lost 10-27 at Texas. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 2%.

W 42-17 vs UT Martin #122 of 667

won by 25 as a 7.5-point favorite

UTEP won 42-17 vs UT Martin. Chance to win started at 73%, low 71%, high better than 99%.

L 16-28 @ Utah State #135 of 667

lost by 12 as a 4.5-point underdog

UTEP lost 16-28 at Utah State. Chance to win started at 33%, low under 1%, high 49%.

Week by week

UTEP

  • Wk 1Lat Oklahoma0-51

Texas Southern

Wk 1: W 42-30 vs North Carolina Central▲12North Carolina CentralWk 1: L 14-52 at Prairie View A&M▼38Prairie View A&M
  • Wk 1Wvs North Carolina Central42-30
  • Wk 1Lat Prairie View A&M14-52

The series

UTEP leads the series 3-0

3 meetings since 2001 · UTEP has won the last 3

  • 2007UTEP 52-12
  • 2005UTEP 45-0
  • 2001UTEP 52-6

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on UTEP’s chances here.

50-50Model · 56%Line · 99%Texas SouthernUTEP

UTEP favored by 27.5 · Total 53.5

How games like this usually go

UTEP by 27.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward UTEP.

opened −25.5now −27.5

The total rose 1 point.

opened 52.5now 53.5

Spread: −25.5 → −27.5 · Total: 52.5 → 53.5

The books’ cut: 3.4%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 92° at kickoff.

Texas Southern at UTEP · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Sun Bowl, El Paso

  • 92°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 75weather score, Mixed
  • 2ndbest of the day's 5 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's five kickoff times. At Sun Bowl that day, a 8 pm kickoff would have scored 79, against 75 at 7 pm.

  • 1:30 pm: 49, Harsh
  • 4 pm: 51, Rough
  • 5 pm: 58, Rough
  • 7 pm: 75, Mixed (this game)
  • 8 pm: 79, Mixed

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

UTEP is worth +4.3 points (±3.4) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 55th percentile.

26% at home, 16% on the road against FBS opponents (10-29 home, 8-42 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.9 at home vs. away over 98 games — inside the ±5.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 677 miles to get here.

Where next