Cincinnati routs Western Carolina 62-10

Western Carolina1-210
Cincinnati2-062Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio · Crowd 34,827ESPN+

Cincinnati routed Western Carolina 62-10.

We had Cincinnati favored. It won.

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Cincinnati a 77% chance, and the closing betting line (Cincinnati was a 36.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Cincinnati led by 4 after the first quarter and by 18 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+52+52
FinalCincinnati 62-10 Western CarolinaCincinnati wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4CincinnatiWon62-10Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4CincinnatiWon62-10Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4CincinnatiLowest 0%Lost10-62Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4CincinnatiLowest 0%Lost10-62Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Cincinnati’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Cincinnati -36.5), at 99% for Cincinnati (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Cincinnati scored on 9 of its 11 drives; Western Carolina on 2 of its 12.

Cincinnati’s drives are teal, Western Carolina’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Western Carolina: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 15Field goalCincinnati: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownWestern Carolina: Punt, from 75 yards out to 58PuntCincinnati: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Western Carolina: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownCincinnati: Touchdown, from 81 yards out to 0TouchdownWestern Carolina: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72PuntCincinnati: Touchdown, from 85 yards out to 0TouchdownWestern Carolina: End of half, from 75 yards out to 49End of halfQ3Cincinnati: Punt, from 76 yards out to 65PuntWestern Carolina: Punt, from 88 yards out to 86PuntCincinnati: Touchdown, from 49 yards out to 0TouchdownWestern Carolina: Turned over on downs, from 74 yards out to 27DownsCincinnati: Touchdown, from 73 yards out to 0TouchdownWestern Carolina: Punt, from 83 yards out to 83PuntCincinnati: Touchdown, from 61 yards out to 0TouchdownWestern Carolina: Punt, from 91 yards out to 84PuntCincinnati: Touchdown, from 59 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Western Carolina: Interception, from 75 yards out to 72InterceptionCincinnati: Turned over on downs, from 32 yards out to 13DownsWestern Carolina: Punt, from 87 yards out to 85PuntCincinnati: Touchdown, from 57 yards out to 0TouchdownWestern Carolina: Uncategorized, from 75 yards out to 71Uncategorized

Box score

Cincinnati 62, Western Carolina 10

Cincinnati covered −36.5 by 15.5. The total, 72, went over 61.5.

Western CarolinaCincinnatiTotal yardsWestern Carolina 241Cincinnati 690241690Passing yardsWestern Carolina 167Cincinnati 272167272Rushing yardsWestern Carolina 74Cincinnati 41874418First downsWestern Carolina 13Cincinnati 321332TurnoversWestern Carolina 1Cincinnati 010Time of possessionWestern Carolina 27:23Cincinnati 32:3727:2332:37
Team totalsWestern CarolinaCincinnati
Total yards241690
Passing24 of 37, 167 yds28 of 31, 272 yds
Rushing20 for 74 yds49 for 418 yds
First downs1332
Third down2 of 128 of 11
Fourth down1 of 21 of 2
Turnovers10
Penalties5 for 45 yds11 for 105 yds
Time of possession27:2332:37

Western Carolina leaders

  • Passing Lex Thomas 23 of 32, 165 yds
  • Rushing Marlin Cochran 3 for 25 yds; Josh Perry 7 for 24 yds
  • Receiving Jake Young 5 for 49 yds; Jai Boyd 6 for 32 yds

Cincinnati leaders

  • Passing JC French 21 of 24, 245 yds, 2 TD
  • Rushing Gi'Bran Payne 12 for 102 yds, 2 TD; Zylan Perry 5 for 76 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Malachi Henry 3 for 87 yds; JaVonnie Gibson 5 for 79 yds, 1 TD

No rain and calm

77° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 2 mph from the northeast, gusts to 5

September game-day temperatures at Nippert Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Cincinnati favoredWestern Carolina favored100%Win chanceCincinnatiRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphThunder reported
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Cincinnati favoredWestern Carolina favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Thunder reported

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:50 left7:03 p.m.
Western Carolina 0, Cincinnati 0 · Cincinnati 99% to win
no rain · wind 4 mph from the east-northeast · 77°
Thomas 25-yd pass to Carlos
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Cincinnat/lunken airport, 5.6 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Western Carolina · 1-1

Rated 197th in our preseason ratings, 195th now.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 45-21 vs Eastern Kentucky #169 of 668

won by 24 as a 3-point favorite

Last three games · 2025 season

Cincinnati · 7-6

Rated 109th in our preseason ratings, 110th now.

Three straight losses.

L 13-35 vs NavyTop 25 #59 of 667

lost by 22 as a 7.5-point underdog

Cincinnati lost 13-35 vs Navy. Chance to win started at 35%, low under 1%, high 44%.

L 23-45 @ TCUTop 25 #40 of 667

lost by 22 as a 3.5-point underdog

Cincinnati lost 23-45 at TCU. Chance to win started at 32%, low under 1%, high 34%.

L 14-26 vs BYUTop 25 #25 of 667

lost by 12 as a 2.5-point underdog

Cincinnati lost 14-26 vs BYU. Chance to win started at 50%, low under 1%, high 56%.

L 24-30 vs ArizonaTop 25 #50 of 667

lost by 6 as a 6.5-point favorite

Cincinnati lost 24-30 vs Arizona. Chance to win started at 65%, low 5%, high 89%.

L 14-45 @ UtahTop 25 #9 of 667

lost by 31 as a 9.5-point underdog

Cincinnati lost 14-45 at Utah. Chance to win started at 20%, low under 1%, high 22%.

W 41-20 vs Baylor #40 of 667

won by 21 as a 3.5-point favorite

Cincinnati won 41-20 vs Baylor. Chance to win started at 65%, low 65%, high better than 99%.

W 49-17 @ Oklahoma State #170 of 667

won by 32 as a 23.5-point favorite

Cincinnati won 49-17 at Oklahoma State. Chance to win started at 91%, low 90%, high better than 99%.

W 20-11 vs UCF #57 of 667

won by 9 as a 10.5-point favorite

Cincinnati won 20-11 vs UCF. Chance to win started at 82%, low 76%, high better than 99%.

W 38-30 vs Iowa StateTop 25 #42 of 667

won by 8 as a 1.5-point favorite

Cincinnati won 38-30 vs Iowa State. Chance to win started at 57%, low 57%, high better than 99%.

W 37-34 @ Kansas #36 of 667

won by 3 as a 4.5-point underdog

Cincinnati won 37-34 at Kansas. Chance to win started at 30%, low 4%, high better than 99%.

W 70-0 vs Northwestern State #262 of 667

won by 70 as a 48.5-point favorite

Cincinnati won 70-0 vs Northwestern State. Never in doubt.

W 34-20 vs Bowling Green #97 of 667

won by 14 as a 21.5-point favorite

Cincinnati won 34-20 vs Bowling Green. Chance to win started at 93%, low 91%, high better than 99%.

L 17-20 vs NebraskaTop 25 #31 of 667

lost by 3 as a 5.5-point underdog

Cincinnati lost 17-20 vs Nebraska. Chance to win started at 43%, low 3%, high 59%.

Week by week

Cincinnati

  • Wk 1Wvs Boston College34-15

Western Carolina

Wk 1: W 45-21 vs Eastern Kentucky▲24Eastern KentuckyWk 1: L 19-28 at Campbell▼9Campbell
  • Wk 1Wvs Eastern Kentucky45-21
  • Wk 1Lat Campbell19-28

The series

Cincinnati leads the series 1-0

1 meeting since 2005 · Cincinnati won the last meeting

  • 2005Cincinnati 7-3

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Cincinnati’s chances here.

50-50Model · 77%Line · 100%Western CarolinaCincinnati

Cincinnati favored by 36.5 · Total 61.5

How games like this usually go

Cincinnati by 36.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The total rose 1 point.

opened 60.5now 61.5

Total: 60.5 → 61.5

Weather at kickoff

Warm and dry. Feels like 77° at kickoff.

Western Carolina at Cincinnati · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati

  • 77°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 97weather score, Comfortable
  • Tiedfor the best of the day's 7 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Nippert Stadium that day, a 3:30 pm kickoff would have scored 44, against 97 at 7 pm.

  • noon: 84, Mixed
  • 1 pm: 80, Mixed
  • 2 pm: 68, Rough
  • 3:30 pm: 44, Harsh
  • 6 pm: 85, Mixed
  • 7 pm: 97, Comfortable (this game)
  • 7:30 pm: 97, Comfortable

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Cincinnati is worth +5.8 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 79th percentile.

76% at home, 58% on the road against FBS opponents (37-12 home, 25-18 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.6 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±5.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 274 miles to get here.

Where next