Wagner at James Madison
Fan take
How they got here
Last two games
Wagner · 1-1
Picked #221 in the preseason · now #261.
1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 31–7 vs Southern Connecticut State #312 of 669
L 7–28 vs Robert Morris #238 of 669
lost by 21 as a 5.5-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
James Madison · 12-2
Picked #83 in the preseason · now #89.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 34–51 @ OregonTop 25 #3 of 668
lost by 17 as a 20.5-point underdog
W 31–14 vs Troy #109 of 668
won by 17 as a 22.5-point favorite
W 59–10 @ Coastal Carolina #183 of 668
won by 49 as a 24.5-point favorite
W 24–20 vs Washington State #67 of 668
won by 4 as a 15.5-point favorite
W 58–10 vs App State #158 of 668
won by 48 as a 19.5-point favorite
W 35–23 @ Marshall #88 of 668
won by 12 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 52–20 @ Texas State #81 of 668
won by 32 as a 7-point favorite
W 63–27 vs Old Dominion #53 of 668
won by 36 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 24–14 vs Louisiana #94 of 668
won by 10 as a 18.5-point favorite
W 14–7 @ Georgia State #148 of 668
won by 7 as a 18.5-point favorite
W 35–10 vs Georgia Southern #93 of 668
won by 25 as a 16.5-point favorite
W 31–13 @ Liberty #58 of 668
won by 18 as a 7.5-point favorite
L 14–28 @ LouisvilleTop 25 #28 of 668
lost by 14 as a 15.5-point underdog
W 45–10 vs Weber State #135 of 668
won by 35 as a 27.5-point favorite
What’s at stake
Wagner
- Wagner needs 5 more wins in the final 9 to reach bowl eligibility.
- Wagner is still shaking off a 84-point loss.
James Madison
- A win puts James Madison a step closer to a 4% shot at the CFP field.
- James Madison is coming off a 84-point win.
The series
James Madison leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2026 · James Madison won the last meeting
- 2026James Madison 87–3
Best players
James Madison
- Ken Willis (CB) · 14 tackles
- Jayon Harvey (S) · 12 tackles
- Nakian Jackson (LB) · 10 tackles
The line, and the room
The model and the market don’t fully agree on James Madison’s chances here.
Home −46.5 · O/U 56.5
Conditions
75°F · 2 mph wind · Rain
James Madison is worth +6.4 points (±4.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 86th percentile.
87% at home, 62% on the road against FBS opponents (20–3 home, 18–11 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.0 at home vs. away over 53 games — inside the ±9.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 296 miles to get here.
Wagner 3 – James Madison 87
Called it — picked James Madison to win.
Recent games
James Madison
- Wk 1Wvs Liberty20-13
Wagner
- Wk 1Lvs Robert Morris7-28
- Wk 1Wvs Southern Connecticut State31-7
Trajectory
James Madison won 87-3, as picked pregame.