South Dakota State routs Murray State 42-9

Team pages: Murray State · South Dakota State

Murray State1-79
South Dakota State6-242Final
Sat, Oct 24 · Dana J. Dykhouse Stadium, Brookings, S.D. · Crowd 19,302ESPN+

South Dakota State routed Murray State 42-9.

We had South Dakota State favored. It won.

Next: Murray State at Illinois State, Sat Oct 31 · 2:00 PM ET

Next: South Dakota State vs South Dakota, Sat Oct 31 · 4:00 PM ET

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave South Dakota State better than a 99% chance, and the closing betting line (South Dakota State was a 42.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

South Dakota State led by 14 after the first quarter and by 18 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+33+33
FinalSouth Dakota State 42-9 Murray StateSouth Dakota State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won42-9Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Won42-9Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost9-42Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Lowest 0%Lost9-42Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

South Dakota State’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (South Dakota State -42.5), at 99% for South Dakota State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

South Dakota State scored on 7 of its 11 drives; Murray State on 3 of its 12.

South Dakota State’s drives are teal, Murray State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1South Dakota State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67PuntMurray State: Punt, from 77 yards out to 55PuntSouth Dakota State: Touchdown, from 84 yards out to 0TouchdownMurray State: Punt, from 65 yards out to 73PuntSouth Dakota State: Touchdown, from 79 yards out to 0TouchdownMurray State: Punt, from 65 yards out to 60PuntQ2Murray State: Field goal, from 19 yards out to 14Field goalSouth Dakota State: Field goal, from 59 yards out to 27Field goalMurray State: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 78FumbleSouth Dakota State: Field goal, from 22 yards out to 3Field goalMurray State: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 7Field goalSouth Dakota State: Touchdown, from 57 yards out to 0TouchdownMurray State: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 36Field goalQ3Murray State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 75PuntSouth Dakota State: Punt, from 59 yards out to 33PuntMurray State: Missed field goal, from 80 yards out to 14Missed FGSouth Dakota State: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownMurray State: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 29DownsQ4South Dakota State: Touchdown, from 71 yards out to 0TouchdownMurray State: Punt, from 76 yards out to 66PuntSouth Dakota State: Punt, from 78 yards out to 78PuntMurray State: Turned over on downs, from 71 yards out to 35DownsSouth Dakota State: Uncategorized, from 65 yards out to 56Uncategorized

Never in doubt.

Box score

South Dakota State 42, Murray State 9

Murray State covered +42.5 by 9.5. The total, 51, stayed under 56.5.

Murray State leaders

  • Passing Baxter Wright 21 of 34, 174 yds
  • Rushing Jawaun Northington 10 for 45 yds; Tyrell Campbell 8 for 25 yds
  • Receiving Trey Firestone 6 for 78 yds; Jaxon Potter 5 for 63 yds

South Dakota State leaders

  • Passing Chase Mason 18 of 26, 197 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Josiah Johnson 16 for 92 yds, 2 TD; James Basinger 6 for 56 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Jack Smith 6 for 66 yds; Grahm Goering 5 for 59 yds, 1 TD

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Murray State · 1-6

Rated 254th in our preseason ratings, 261st now.

Three straight losses, each by 20 or more.

L 20-48 vs South Dakota No. 92 of 668 teams

lost by 28 as a 28.5-point underdog

Murray State lost 20-48 vs South Dakota. Chance to win started at 5%, low under 1%, high 12%.

L 28-55 @ North Dakota No. 110 of 668 teams

lost by 27 as a 37.5-point underdog

Murray State lost 28-55 at North Dakota. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 27%.

L 6-46 vs Southern Illinois No. 156 of 668 teams

lost by 40 as a 17.5-point underdog

Murray State lost 6-46 vs Southern Illinois. Chance to win started at 17%, low under 1%, high 29%.

L 0-59 @ Oklahoma StateTop 25 No. 192 of 668 teams

lost by 59 as a 56.5-point underdog

Murray State lost 0-59 at Oklahoma State. Never had a real chance.

W 27-18 vs Valparaiso No. 254 of 668 teams

won by 9 as a 14-point favorite

Murray State won 27-18 vs Valparaiso. Chance to win started at 89%, low 79%, high better than 99%.

L 14-38 @ Middle Tennessee No. 136 of 668 teams

lost by 24 as a 22.5-point underdog

Murray State lost 14-38 at Middle Tennessee. Chance to win started at 5%, low under 1%, high 7%.

L 14-28 vs Eastern Illinois No. 200 of 668 teams

lost by 14 as a 4.5-point favorite

Murray State lost 14-28 vs Eastern Illinois. Chance to win started at 67%, low under 1%, high 80%.

Last three games

South Dakota State · 5-2

Rated 105th in our preseason ratings, 86th now, up 19 spots.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 10-21 @ North Dakota No. 108 of 668 teams

lost by 11 as a 14-point favorite

South Dakota State lost 10-21 at North Dakota. Chance to win started at 78%, low under 1%, high 83%.

W 31-14 @ Illinois State No. 122 of 668 teams

won by 17 as a 2.5-point favorite

South Dakota State won 31-14 at Illinois State. Chance to win started at 50%, low 38%, high better than 99%.

W 42-7 vs Eastern Illinois No. 245 of 668 teams

won by 35 as a 34.5-point favorite

South Dakota State won 42-7 vs Eastern Illinois. Chance to win started at 99%, low 97%, high better than 99%.

W 27-20 vs Youngstown State No. 144 of 668 teams

won by 7 as a 9.5-point favorite

South Dakota State won 27-20 vs Youngstown State. Chance to win started at 80%, low 69%, high better than 99%.

W 57-14 vs New Haven No. 255 of 668 teams

won by 43 as a 42.5-point favorite

South Dakota State won 57-14 vs New Haven. Chance to win started at better than 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

L 18-34 @ NorthwesternTop 25 No. 14 of 668 teams

lost by 16 as a 14-point underdog

South Dakota State lost 18-34 at Northwestern. Chance to win started at 13%, low under 1%, high 19%.

W 70-7 vs Stetson No. 263 of 668 teams

won by 63 as a 50.5-point favorite

South Dakota State won 70-7 vs Stetson. Never in doubt.

Week by week

South Dakota State

Wk 2: W 57-14 vs New Haven▲43New HavenWk 3: W 27-20 vs Youngstown State▲7Youngsto…Wk 4: W 42-7 vs Eastern Illinois▲35E. Illin…Wk 5: W 31-14 at Illinois State▲17Illinois…Wk 7: L 10-21 at North Dakota▼11N. Dakota
  • Wk 2Wvs New Haven57-14
  • Wk 3Wvs Youngstown State27-20
  • Wk 4Wvs Eastern Illinois42-7
  • Wk 5Wat Illinois State31-14
  • Wk 7Lat North Dakota10-21

Murray State

Wk 2: W 27-18 vs Valparaiso▲9Valparai…Wk 3: L 0-59 at Oklahoma State▼59Oklahoma…Wk 4: L 6-46 vs Southern Illinois▼40S. Illin…Wk 5: L 28-55 at North Dakota▼27N. DakotaWk 7: L 20-48 vs South Dakota▼28S. Dakota
  • Wk 2Wvs Valparaiso27-18
  • Wk 3Lat Oklahoma State0-59
  • Wk 4Lvs Southern Illinois6-46
  • Wk 5Lat North Dakota28-55
  • Wk 7Lvs South Dakota20-48

Power rating by week

South Dakota State is rated 15.4 points ahead as of week 7. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

2-8-18Wk 0Wk 4Wk 7South Dakota StateMurray State

The series

South Dakota State leads the series 2-0

2 meetings since 2024 · South Dakota State has won the last 2

  • 2025South Dakota State 35-14
  • 2024South Dakota State 52-6

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line agree on South Dakota State’s chances here.

50-50Model 100% · Line 100%Murray StateSouth Dakota State

South Dakota State favored by 42.5 · Total 56.5

How games like this usually go

South Dakota State by 42.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 417 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward South Dakota State.

opened −40.5now −42.5

The total fell 1 point.

opened 57.5now 56.5

Spread: −40.5 → −42.5 · Total: 57.5 → 56.5

Home field

South Dakota State is worth +6.3 points (±9.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 83rd percentile.

75% at home, 47% on the road against FBS opponents (6-2 home, 7-8 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.7 at home vs. away over 59 games — inside the ±7.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 693 miles to get here.

Where next

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.