South Dakota State routs Stetson 70-7
Team pages: Stetson · South Dakota State
South Dakota State routed Stetson 70-7. Share this game
Next: Stetson beat Webber International 45-10, Sat Sep 5
Next: South Dakota State lost to Northwestern 34-18, Sat Sep 5
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave South Dakota State an 87% chance, and the closing betting line (South Dakota State was a 50.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.
South Dakota State led by 21 after the first quarter and by 42 at the half.
South Dakota State 70-7 Stetson
South Dakota State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Stetson 7-70 South Dakota StateStetson lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (South Dakota State -50.5), at 100% for South Dakota State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
South Dakota State scored on 9 of its 12 drives; Stetson on 2 of its 13.
South Dakota State’s drives are teal, Stetson’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Never in doubt.
Box score
South Dakota State 70, Stetson 7
South Dakota State covered −50.5 by 12.5. The total, 77, went over 58.5.
Stetson leaders
- Passing Tom von Grote 17 of 26, 95 yds
- Rushing Chris Stephenson 13 for 69 yds, 1 TD; Troy Flowers 8 for 25 yds
- Receiving Malachi Townsend 5 for 44 yds; Shawne Jones 4 for 41 yds
South Dakota State leaders
- Passing Chase Mason 5 of 10, 157 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing James Basinger 8 for 110 yds, 1 TD; Corey Blair Jr. 8 for 107 yds, 2 TD
- Receiving Landon Dulaney 2 for 89 yds, 1 TD; Jack Smith 2 for 86 yds, 1 TD
Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Stetson · 3-9
Rated 264th in our preseason ratings.
L 8-42 vs San Diego #137 of 667
lost by 34 as a 22-point underdog
L 31-32 @ Valparaiso #277 of 667
lost by 1 as a 2.5-point underdog
L 13-41 @ Marist #230 of 667
lost by 28 as a 12.5-point underdog
L 10-52 vs St. Thomas (MN) #142 of 667
lost by 42 as a 25.5-point underdog
L 7-42 @ Presbyterian #139 of 667
lost by 35 as a 34.5-point underdog
W 21-14 vs Morehead State #259 of 667
won by 7 as a 7-point underdog
W 35-32 vs Davidson #257 of 667
won by 3 as a 6.5-point underdog
L 14-48 @ Dayton #196 of 667
lost by 34 as a 25.5-point underdog
L 7-59 vs Harvard #220 of 667
lost by 52 as a 35.5-point underdog
L 0-63 @ Chattanooga #165 of 667
lost by 63 as a 27.5-point underdog
W 59-13 vs Warner
L 21-31 vs Webber International
Last three games · 2025 season
South Dakota State · 9-5
Rated 105th in our preseason ratings.
L 29-50 @ Montana #65 of 667
W 41-3 vs New Hampshire #145 of 667
won by 38 as an 11-point favorite
W 34-31 @ North Dakota #93 of 667
won by 3 as a 9.5-point underdog
L 21-35 vs Illinois State #119 of 667
lost by 14 as a 3.5-point favorite
L 17-24 @ South Dakota #140 of 667
lost by 7 as a 7.5-point favorite
L 12-24 vs Indiana State #213 of 667
lost by 12 as a 31-point favorite
L 7-38 vs North Dakota State #53 of 667
lost by 31 as a 9-point underdog
W 35-14 @ Murray State #261 of 667
won by 21 as a 37.5-point favorite
W 31-3 vs Northern Iowa #230 of 667
won by 28 as a 28.5-point favorite
W 35-30 @ Youngstown State #167 of 667
won by 5 as a 15-point favorite
W 51-7 vs Mercyhurst #245 of 667
won by 44 as a 32.5-point favorite
W 37-21 vs Drake #189 of 667
won by 16 as a 34-point favorite
W 30-24 @ Montana State #84 of 667
won by 6 as a 3-point favorite
W 20-3 vs Sacramento State #115 of 667
won by 17 as an 11.5-point favorite
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on South Dakota State’s chances here.
South Dakota State favored by 50.5 · Total 58.5
How games like this usually go
South Dakota State by 50.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The spread moved 3 points toward South Dakota State.
The total rose 2 points.
Spread: −47.5 → −50.5 · Total: 56.5 → 58.5
Home field
South Dakota State is worth +6.3 points (±9.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 84th percentile.
75% at home, 47% on the road against FBS opponents (6-2 home, 7-8 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.4 at home vs. away over 58 games — inside the ±7.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 1,357 miles to get here.