Nathan Hayes

#2 · QB · 5th-year · North Dakota State6′3″ · 228 lb · West Chicago, IL · St. Charles East

ZPR5547th of 119 QBsLast gameW 31–7vs UTEP · Oct 31
Nextat Hawai'iSat Nov 14 · 11:59 pm ET

North Dakota State is 7-2 in the nine games played. A gunslinger.

Strongest: sacked on 4% of dropbacks, 38th lowest of 158 starters. Weakest: an interception on 3.8% of throws, 19th highest of 158 starters.

Passing yards

1,710

145 of 228, 64%

TD–INT

13–8

7.5 per throw

NCAA rating

138.4

67th of 119

ZPR

55

47th of 119

How ZPR works

Solid or better in 8 of 9 graded games.

Best by our grade: at Air Force. Lowest: UTEP, with 1 interception. Costliest play: Interception, at UNLV, Q4 1:23. Win chance 29% to 4%.

Tap a game for its plays

Q1Q2Q3Q4

Season

Steady through the game

How to read this

Each column is a quarter. Blue and up is a good stretch for the quarterback, red and down a bad one, hatched means the game was already decided. A red cross is a turnover and a black dot a touchdown. The word on the right grades the whole game; on games with a lot of running it grades the passing only. A gold line means the r/CFB game thread kept naming the quarterback. Tap a game to open its plays: each bar is one of the quarterback’s plays, up helped the team’s chance of winning and down hurt it, and the grey line is that chance.

The word grades the game against every FBS quarterback start, from Rough to Great, using the same throws as the season Zeitgeist Passer Rating and adjusting for the defense faced. Bars are points added per throw in that quarter. The Season row leaves out quarters after a game was decided.

Style of play

Gunslinger

Also: explosive runner

Why this word
Runs4.2 a gameRarelyA lot
Throws10.2 yards past the lineShortDeep
Completes64%FewerMore
Takes sacks4% of dropbacksRarelyOften

The dot is this quarterback, among this season’s starters; the tick is the middle.

Throws at a middling depth and runs some. 4.2 carries a game. Closest matches: Raynor, Wilson, Curtis, Nelson.

Where the throws go

Behind the line15%typical 17%
Short46%typical 47%
Middle19%typical 22%
Deep19%typical 14%

Runs 4.2 times a game; 52% of starters run more.

Closest in style

RaynorWilsonCurtisNelsonThis QB

Nearer the middle means more alike.

  • Raynor Iowa State · Mobile passer
    1,416 yards, 10 TD, 5 INT so far. Both score a lot and rarely throw behind the line.
  • Wilson Colorado · Mobile passer
    1,164 yards, 7 TD, 7 INT so far. Both throw interceptions and throw deep.
  • Curtis Vanderbilt · Mobile passer
    1,489 yards, 8 TD, 8 INT so far. Both throw interceptions.
  • Nelson Syracuse · Balanced
    532 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT so far. Both throw deep and throw interceptions.

Compared with the 158 FBS starters this season for throws and running, and with 219 quarterbacks across 2 seasons for the matches, on how they play and how they have done.

This week

  • RecordNorth Dakota State is 7-2.
  • Last gameOct. 31 · a win over UTEP, 240 passing yards.
  • Fans after UTEP

    Nathan Hayes is simply not consistent.

    North Dakota State fan

  • Next gameat Hawai'i · Sat Nov 14

What’s being said

6 stories in the last 30 days, from 3 outlets.

Oct 10: 1Oct 14: 1Oct 17: 1Oct 19: 1Oct 25: 1Nov 1: 1L 7-13 at UNLVLW 31-17 vs NevadaWL 16-21 at New MexicoLW 31-7 vs UTEPWOct 6Nov 4Most in a day: 1
Oct 10: 1Oct 14: 1Oct 17: 1Oct 19: 1Oct 25: 1Nov 1: 1L 7-13 at UNLVLW 31-17 vs NevadaWL 16-21 at New MexicoLW 31-7 vs UTEPWOct 6Nov 4Most in a day: 1
Stories per day. W and L: the team’s results.

All 8 stories this season

Worth knowing

  • Nathan Hayes has 30.8 rushing yards a game at home, 18.5 on the road.

His most important play this season

  1. Q2, 14:08 · North Dakota State up 7Nathan Hayes runs 17 yards for a touchdownNorth Dakota State at Air Force, week 2Q2, 14:08 · North Dakota State 14, Air Force 0▼18%North Dakota State’s chance to win, 79% to 61%▼18%North Dakota State’s chance to win, 79% to 61%N.Hayes rush middle for 17 yards gain to the AF00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this playCFB ON FOX

All 5 of his plays on video

Nathan Hayes

QB · North Dakota State · Fr · #2

One game to point at: 240 passing yards and 21 rushing yards against UTEP — Week 9, 2026.

1,710 passing yards · 13 passing TD · 228 rushing yards