Louisiana

The Napier years were the best run any Sun Belt program has ever produced. Four consecutive conference championships from 2018 to 2021. A 13-1 season and a No. 19 final ranking in 2021 that put Lafayette on the national map in a way that stuck. The Cajuns weren't a surprise mid-major; they were the Sun Belt's standard, playing physical trench football with an identity rooted in Cajun Acadiana and backed by a fanbase that treats Geaux Cajuns as a birthright. Then Napier left for Florida, and the question has been live ever since.

Michael Desormeaux, Napier's hand-picked successor, was supposed to be the continuity argument. Four seasons in, the answer is complicated: he maintained a 5-3 Sun Belt record in 2025 but finished 6-7 overall and lost the 68 Ventures Bowl 20-13 to Delaware — the program's first losing year in the modern FBS era of relevance. A bowl loss to Delaware is the kind of result that reopens every question Lafayette had thought it answered. The internal fracture is patient vs impatient: give Desormeaux the time to rebuild vs accept that the four-title window quietly closed when Napier walked.

The 2026 Sun Belt race is the most direct referendum Louisiana has had since the dynasty ended. The conference has caught up — James Madison arrived with a Playoff berth in 2025, Louisiana Tech joins the Sun Belt as a full member this July — and the Cajuns enter as a program trying to reclaim a standard it set, not claim one it's aiming for. That's a different kind of pressure than the Napier years knew. Desormeaux has to prove the blueprint survived the architect.

Update (Oct. 28, 2026): Louisiana is 5-3. It lost 49-30 at USC on Sept. 12, 32-31 at Louisiana Tech on Oct. 10, and 35-31 at Southern Miss on Oct. 24. The Oct. 24 loss to Southern Miss came as an 11.5-point favorite.