No. 25 Virginia routs Norfolk State 59-3

Norfolk State1-23
No. 25 Virginia2-059Final
Fri, Sep 11 · Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, Va. · Crowd 46,918ACC Extra

No. 25 Virginia routed Norfolk State 59-3.

We had Virginia favored. It won.

Next: Norfolk State beat Hampton 42-21, Sat Sep 19

Next: Virginia lost to West Virginia 38-27, Sat Sep 19

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Virginia a 96% chance, and the closing betting line (Virginia was a 47.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Virginia led by 21 after the first quarter and by 25 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+56+56
Pick-sixVirginia · Q4 4:17
FinalVirginia 59-3 Norfolk StateVirginia wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4VirginiaWon59-3ScoresPick-sixChatter2 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4VirginiaWon59-3ScoresPick-sixChatter2 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4VirginiaLowest 0%Lost3-59ScoresPick-sixChatter2 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4VirginiaLowest 0%Lost3-59ScoresPick-sixChatter2 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute3 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

Virginia’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Virginia -47.5), at 100% for Virginia (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. The gray band is r/CFB game-thread activity.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Virginia’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 10:36Bailey intercepted by Hillman at the UVA13returned 50 yardsQ1, 10:36 · Virginia 0, Norfolk State 00-0score after the play0-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q1, 7:39Pribula 6-yd TD pass to GibsonVirginia goes ahead 7-0Q1, 7:39 · Virginia 7, Norfolk State 07-0score after the play7-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q1, 5:57Bailey intercepted by Hillman at the NSU22Q1, 5:57 · Virginia 7, Norfolk State 07-0score after the play7-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q1, 5:30Pribula 27-yd TD pass to MartinVirginia leads 14-0Q1, 5:30 · Virginia 14, Norfolk State 014-0score after the play14-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q1, 3:12Pribula 30-yd TD pass to GibsonVirginia leads 21-0Q1, 3:12 · Virginia 21, Norfolk State 021-0score after the play21-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q2, 6:21Pribula intercepted by Davis at the UVA36Q2, 6:21 · Virginia 21, Norfolk State 021-0score after the play21-0score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  7. Q3, 10:57Holstein 1-yd TD pass to ColemanVirginia leads 35-3Q3, 10:57 · Virginia 35, Norfolk State 335-3score after the play35-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  8. Q3, 7:21Holstein 5-yd TD pass to RobinsonVirginia leads 42-3Q3, 7:21 · Virginia 42, Norfolk State 342-3score after the play42-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  9. Q4, 14:54Geer 12-yd TD pass to RollisonVirginia leads 49-3Q4, 14:54 · Virginia 49, Norfolk State 349-3score after the play49-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  10. Q4, 4:17Jackson intercepted by Rowe at the NSU50 and returned for a TDVirginia leads 59-3Q4, 4:17 · Virginia 59, Norfolk State 359-3score after the play59-3score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football

Every drive

Virginia scored on 8 of its 12 drives; Norfolk State on 1 of its 13.

Virginia’s drives are teal, Norfolk State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Norfolk State: Interception, from 75 yards out to 29InterceptionVirginia: Touchdown, from 37 yards out to 0TouchdownNorfolk State: Interception, from 75 yards out to 85InterceptionVirginia: Touchdown, from 22 yards out to 0TouchdownNorfolk State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 71PuntVirginia: Touchdown, from 66 yards out to 0TouchdownNorfolk State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 61PuntVirginia: Punt, from 84 yards out to 57PuntQ2Norfolk State: Missed field goal, from 90 yards out to 14Missed FGVirginia: Interception, from 80 yards out to 62InterceptionNorfolk State: Field goal, from 36 yards out to 21Field goalVirginia: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownNorfolk State: End of half, from 89 yards out to 80End of halfQ3Virginia: Touchdown, from 59 yards out to 0TouchdownNorfolk State: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 68DownsVirginia: Touchdown, from 32 yards out to 0TouchdownNorfolk State: Punt, from 75 yards out to 74PuntVirginia: Punt, from 61 yards out to 62PuntNorfolk State: Punt, from 99 yards out to 96PuntVirginia: Touchdown, from 30 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Norfolk State: Punt, from 85 yards out to 65PuntVirginia: Field goal, from 67 yards out to 12Field goalNorfolk State: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 75 yards out to 56Interception TDNorfolk State: Punt, from 82 yards out to 79PuntVirginia: End of game, from 61 yards out to 14End of game
“The commentators just do not seem like they want to be here at all lol”
A Virginia fan

When fans got loud

Busy

Fans had the most to say in the opening quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.

FirstSecondThirdFourthVirginia fansNorfolk State fansusual

Never in doubt.

Box score

Virginia 59, Norfolk State 3

Virginia covered −47.5 by 8.5. The total, 62, went over 56.5.

Norfolk StateVirginiaTotal yardsNorfolk State 223Virginia 466223466Passing yardsNorfolk State 168Virginia 229168229Rushing yardsNorfolk State 55Virginia 23755237First downsNorfolk State 11Virginia 251125TurnoversNorfolk State 3Virginia 131Time of possessionNorfolk State 31:46Virginia 28:1431:4628:14
Team totalsNorfolk StateVirginia
Total yards223466
Passing18 of 34, 168 yds18 of 24, 229 yds
Rushing31 for 55 yds38 for 237 yds
First downs1125
Third down4 of 174 of 8
Fourth down0 of 21 of 1
Turnovers31
Penalties3 for 37 yds3 for 25 yds
Time of possession31:4628:14

Norfolk State leaders

  • Passing Deljay Bailey 15 of 25, 142 yds, 2 INT
  • Rushing Jalyn Daniels 6 for 22 yds; Ravon Moore 8 for 19 yds
  • Receiving Elyjah Mitchell 5 for 43 yds; Paul Billups II 2 for 37 yds

Virginia leaders

  • Passing Beau Pribula 12 of 14, 162 yds, 3 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Xay Davis 11 for 107 yds; Noah Vaughn 8 for 81 yds
  • Receiving Jacquon Gibson 2 for 36 yds, 2 TD; Kameron Courtney 3 for 35 yds

No rain and calm

76° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 2 mph from the north-northwest, gusts to 8

September game-day temperatures at Scott Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Virginia favoredNorfolk State favored100%Win chanceVirginiaRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Virginia favoredNorfolk State favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:45 left7:04 p.m.
Norfolk State 0, Virginia 0 · Virginia 100% to win
no rain · wind 3 mph from the north · 76°
Bailey 9-yd pass to Mitchell
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Charlottesville airport, 8.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Norfolk State · 1-1

Rated 246th in our preseason ratings, 247th now.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 56-0 vs Winston-Salem State #345 of 668

Norfolk State won 56-0 vs Winston-Salem State. Chance to win started at 59%, low 55%, high better than 99%.

Last three games · 2025 season

Virginia · 11-3

Rated 56th in our preseason ratings, 54th now.

2-1 in its last three, capped by a 6-point win over Missouri as a 4-point underdog.

W 13-7 @ MissouriTop 25 #20 of 667

won by 6 as a 4-point underdog

Virginia won 13-7 vs Missouri. Chance to win started at 30%, low 13%, high 95%.

L 20-27 vs Duke #58 of 667

lost by 7 as a 3.5-point favorite

Virginia lost 20-27 vs Duke. Chance to win started at 67%, low under 1%, high 74%.

W 27-7 vs Virginia Tech #80 of 667

won by 20 as a 9.5-point favorite

Virginia won 27-7 vs Virginia Tech. Chance to win started at 81%, low 76%, high better than 99%.

W 34-17 @ Duke #65 of 667

won by 17 as a 5.5-point underdog

Virginia won 34-17 at Duke. Chance to win started at 26%, low 25%, high better than 99%.

L 9-16 vs Wake Forest #55 of 667

lost by 7 as a 7.5-point favorite

Virginia lost 9-16 vs Wake Forest. Chance to win started at 74%, low 13%, high 90%.

W 31-21 @ California #85 of 667

won by 10 as a 5.5-point favorite

Virginia won 31-21 at California. Chance to win started at 56%, low 56%, high better than 99%.

W 17-16 @ North Carolina #89 of 667

won by 1 as a 12.5-point favorite

Virginia won 17-16 at North Carolina. Chance to win started at 74%, low 44%, high better than 99%.

W 22-20 vs Washington State #83 of 667

won by 2 as a 16.5-point favorite

Virginia won 22-20 vs Washington State. Chance to win started at 90%, low 26%, high 90%.

W 30-27 @ LouisvilleTop 25 #31 of 667

won by 3 as a 6.5-point underdog

Virginia won 30-27 at Louisville. Chance to win started at 26%, low 20%, high better than 99%.

W 46-38 vs Florida StateTop 25 #31 of 667

won by 8 as a 6.5-point underdog

Virginia won 46-38 vs Florida State. Chance to win started at 41%, low 21%, high better than 99%.

W 48-20 vs Stanford #89 of 667

won by 28 as a 16.5-point favorite

Virginia won 48-20 vs Stanford. Chance to win started at 91%, low 85%, high better than 99%.

W 55-16 vs William & Mary #176 of 667

won by 39 as a 29.5-point favorite

Virginia won 55-16 vs William & Mary. Chance to win started at 98%, low 97%, high better than 99%.

L 31-35 @ NC State #47 of 667

lost by 4 as a 2.5-point underdog

Virginia lost 31-35 at NC State. Chance to win started at 35%, low 5%, high 73%.

W 48-7 vs Coastal Carolina #111 of 667

won by 41 as a 13.5-point favorite

Virginia won 48-7 vs Coastal Carolina. Chance to win started at 87%, low 79%, high better than 99%.

Week by week

Virginia

  • Wk 1Wvs NC State34-8

Norfolk State

Wk 1: W 56-0 vs Winston-Salem State▲56Winston-Salem StateWk 1: L 10-31 at Old Dominion▼21Old Dominion
  • Wk 1Wvs Winston-Salem State56-0
  • Wk 1Lat Old Dominion10-31

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line agree on Virginia’s chances here.

50-50Model 96% · Line 100%Norfolk StateVirginia

Virginia favored by 47.5 · Total 56.5

How games like this usually go

Virginia by 47.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 3 points toward Virginia.

opened −44.5now −47.5

The total rose 2 points.

opened 54.5now 56.5

Spread: −44.5 → −47.5 · Total: 54.5 → 56.5

Home field

Virginia is worth +5.1 points (±3.4) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 66th percentile.

62% at home, 34% on the road against FBS opponents (29-18 home, 14-27 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.1 at home vs. away over 96 games — inside the ±5.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 148 miles to get here.

Where next