Boston College upsets Georgia Tech 49-27

Boston College4-349
Georgia Tech2-527Final
Sat, Oct 24 · Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, Ga. · Crowd 47,239ACC Network

Boston College beat Georgia Tech 49-27 as a 6.5-point underdog, after its win chance fell to 10%.

Winners have been down to 10% or less in about 1 of every 11 games since 2018.

We had Georgia Tech favored. Boston College won.

Next: Boston College at Duke, Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 PM ET · Boston College underdog by 7

Next: Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh, Sat Oct 31 · 7:30 PM ET · Georgia Tech underdog by 7.5

thats it man im turning the game off
A Georgia Tech fan

How it swung

The turning point: Mendoza intercepted by Comella at the Boston College 38, returned 23 yards (Q3, 10:30). Boston College went from 42% to 59% to win.

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Boston College a 36% chance, and the closing betting line (Boston College was a 6.5-point underdog) put it at 30%.

Pick-sixBoston College · Q4 8:10
FinalBoston College 49-27 Georgia TechBoston College wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%10%25%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q427% at halfGeorgia TechLowest 10%Won49-2712+17+17ScoresPick-sixB. CollegeG. TechBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: loudBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: loudBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quiet
50%10%25%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q427% at halfGeorgia TechLowest 10%Won49-2712ScoresPick-sixBoston…G. TechBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: loudBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: loudBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quiet
50%10%25%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q473% at halfGeorgia TechLowest 0%High 90%Lost27-4912−17−17ScoresPick-sixG. TechB. CollegeGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: loudBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: loudBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quiet
50%10%25%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q473% at halfGeorgia TechLowest 0%High 90%Lost27-4912ScoresPick-sixG. TechBoston…Georgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: loudBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: loudBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: steadyBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quietBoston College fans: quiet

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q3 10:30InterceptionMendoza intercepted by Comella at the Boston College 38, returned 23 yardsBoston College 42% → 59% (+17)
  2. 2Q3 7:40McKenzie 6-yd TD run, Boston College leads 25-13Boston College 60% → 77% (+17)

The two plays that swung it

  1. 1Q3 10:30InterceptionMendoza intercepted by Comella at the Boston College 38, returned 23 yardsGeorgia Tech 58% → 41% (−17)
  2. 2Q3 7:40McKenzie 6-yd TD run, Boston College leads 25-13Georgia Tech 40% → 23% (−17)

BC kicker gotta be doing it on purpose

Q2 12:19 · A Georgia Tech fan · r/CFB game thread

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q1 7:31Fans decry soft roughing the passer flag on Mendoza pass to CorboRefs are flag-happy, good lordr/CFB game thread
  2. Q2 13:06Georgia Tech fans rip Key's decision to punt on third downHorrible decision and playcallr/CFB game threadCheck down 22? Nah throw into triple...r/CFB game thread
  3. Q2 12:19Boston College misses a field goal after MacCormack's touchdownWe're going to lose this game entirely because of missed kicks. This is unbelievabler/CFB game thread
  4. Q2 0:11Georgia Tech fans rip Brent Key's clock management after Birr's field goalA Key classicr/CFB game thread
  5. Q4 13:10Georgia Tech fans celebrate Haynes touchdown run as defense finally stops bleeding yardsPoor defense can’t catch their breathr/CFB game threadIf our defense could just do anything this game could be within reachr/CFB game thread
Boston College’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Georgia Tech -6.5), at 30% for Boston College (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Georgia Tech or Boston College flair (701 and 157); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show Boston College’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q1, 11:26Mendoza 4-yd TD pass to RocheGeorgia Tech goes ahead 7-0Q1, 11:26 · Boston College 0, Georgia Tech 7▼3%Boston College’s chance to win, 19% to 16%▼3%Boston College’s chance to win, 19% to 16%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  2. Q1, 8:05McKenzie sacked for a 1-yd lossQ1, 8:05 · Boston College 0, Georgia Tech 70-7score after the play0-7score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  3. Q2, 14:49McKenzie 25-yd TD pass to Boldincuts it to 10-6Q2, 14:49 · Boston College 6, Georgia Tech 10▲5%Boston College’s chance to win, 14% to 19%▲5%Boston College’s chance to win, 14% to 19%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  4. Q2, 11:03MacCormack 7-yd TD runBoston College goes ahead 12-10Q2, 11:03 · Boston College 12, Georgia Tech 10▲6%Boston College’s chance to win, 29% to 35%▲6%Boston College’s chance to win, 29% to 35%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  5. Q2, 7:20Mendoza sacked for a 8-yd lossQ2, 7:20 · Boston College 12, Georgia Tech 10▲7%Boston College’s chance to win, 31% to 38%▲7%Boston College’s chance to win, 31% to 38%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  6. Q3, 12:13MacCormack 2-yd TD runBoston College goes ahead 18-13Q3, 12:13 · Boston College 18, Georgia Tech 13▲12%Boston College’s chance to win, 36% to 48%▲12%Boston College’s chance to win, 36% to 48%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  7. Q3, 10:30Mendoza intercepted by Comella at the Boston College 38returned 23 yardsQ3, 10:30 · Boston College 18, Georgia Tech 13▲17%Boston College’s chance to win, 42% to 59%▲17%Boston College’s chance to win, 42% to 59%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  8. Q3, 7:40McKenzie 6-yd TD runBoston College leads 25-13Q3, 7:40 · Boston College 25, Georgia Tech 13▲17%Boston College’s chance to win, 60% to 77%▲17%Boston College’s chance to win, 60% to 77%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  9. Q4, 13:10Haynes 15-yd TD runcuts it to 28-20Q4, 13:10 · Boston College 28, Georgia Tech 20▼13%Boston College’s chance to win, 90% to 77%▼13%Boston College’s chance to win, 90% to 77%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  10. Q4, 9:34McKenzie 15-yd TD runBoston College leads 35-20Q4, 9:34 · Boston College 35, Georgia Tech 20▲9%Boston College’s chance to win, 88% to 97%▲9%Boston College’s chance to win, 88% to 97%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  11. Q4, 8:51Mendoza sacked for a 4-yd lossQ4, 8:51 · Boston College 35, Georgia Tech 2035-20score after the play35-20score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football
  12. Q4, 8:10Mendoza intercepted by Comella at the Georgia Tech 47returned for a TDQ4, 8:10 · Boston College 42, Georgia Tech 20▲2%Boston College’s chance to win, 97% to 99%▲2%Boston College’s chance to win, 97% to 99%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  13. Q4, 5:04Adamson 30-yd TD pass to Pensoncuts it to 42-27Q4, 5:04 · Boston College 42, Georgia Tech 27▲4%Boston College’s chance to win, 96% to 100%▲4%Boston College’s chance to win, 96% to 100%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  14. Q4, 3:14MacCormack 19-yd TD runBoston College leads 49-27Q4, 3:14 · Boston College 49, Georgia Tech 27▲6%Boston College’s chance to win, 94% to 100%▲6%Boston College’s chance to win, 94% to 100%Watch from this playESPN College Football
  15. Q4, 2:38Adamson sacked for a 7-yd lossQ4, 2:38 · Boston College 49, Georgia Tech 2749-27score after the play49-27score after the playWatch from this playESPN College Football

Every drive

Boston College scored on 7 of its 12 drives; Georgia Tech on 5 of its 12.

Boston College’s drives are teal, Georgia Tech’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Georgia Tech: Touchdown, from 79 yards out to 0TouchdownBoston College: Missed field goal, from 51 yards out to 30Missed FGGeorgia Tech: Field goal, from 70 yards out to 14Field goalBoston College: Touchdown, from 87 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Georgia Tech: Punt, from 78 yards out to 69PuntBoston College: Touchdown, from 50 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia Tech: Punt, from 72 yards out to 61PuntBoston College: Punt, from 80 yards out to 78PuntGeorgia Tech: Punt, from 50 yards out to 42PuntBoston College: Punt, from 99 yards out to 72PuntGeorgia Tech: Field goal, from 61 yards out to 2Field goalBoston College: End of half, from 75 yards out to 77End of halfQ3Boston College: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia Tech: Interception, from 75 yards out to 53InterceptionBoston College: Touchdown, from 39 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia Tech: Punt, from 73 yards out to 55PuntBoston College: Field goal, from 80 yards out to 5Field goalQ4Georgia Tech: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0TouchdownBoston College: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia Tech: Interception returned for a touchdown, from 72 yards out to 73Interception TDGeorgia Tech: Touchdown, from 78 yards out to 0TouchdownBoston College: Touchdown, from 45 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia Tech: Turned over on downs, from 67 yards out to 64DownsBoston College: End of game, from 36 yards out to 25End of game

From Georgia Tech’s side

Georgia Tech’s best moment: Haynes 15-yd TD run, cuts it to 28-20 (Q4 13:10). It lifted Georgia Tech’s win chance by 13 points.

How Georgia Tech fans took it: “We wouldn't hire fritz twice because he wanted a more concrete contract, and then we gave joffrey and key the worst contracts imaginaible” r/CFB game thread

When fans got loud

Busy

Fans saved their loudest stretch for the second quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was steady.

FirstSecondThirdFourthBoston College fansGeorgia Tech fansusual

The winner fell to 10%.

Box score

Boston College 49, Georgia Tech 27

Boston College covered +6.5 by 28.5. The total, 76, went over 50.5.

Boston CollegeGeorgia TechTotal yardsBoston College 500Georgia Tech 360500360Passing yardsBoston College 101Georgia Tech 259101259Rushing yardsBoston College 399Georgia Tech 101399101First downsBoston College 28Georgia Tech 222822TurnoversBoston College 0Georgia Tech 202Time of possessionBoston College 33:53Georgia Tech 26:0733:5326:07
Team totalsBoston CollegeGeorgia Tech
Total yards500360
Passing9 of 17, 101 yds24 of 33, 259 yds
Rushing47 for 399 yds28 for 101 yds
First downs2822
Third down4 of 92 of 11
Fourth down1 of 11 of 2
Turnovers02
Penalties9 for 91 yds5 for 59 yds
Time of possession33:5326:07

Boston College leaders

  • Passing Mason McKenzie 9 of 17, 101 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Mason McKenzie 16 for 170 yds, 2 TD; Bo MacCormack III 20 for 155 yds, 3 TD
  • Receiving Javarius Green 3 for 57 yds; Nedrick Boldin Jr. 1 for 25 yds, 1 TD

Georgia Tech leaders

  • Passing Alberto Mendoza 17 of 24, 186 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT
  • Rushing Justice Haynes 14 for 53 yds, 1 TD; Trelain Maddox 7 for 24 yds
  • Receiving Dalen Penson 5 for 88 yds, 1 TD; Jordan Allen 4 for 85 yds

No rain and calm

69° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 9 mph from the east-northeast, mostly across the field, gusts to 21

October game-day temperatures at Bobby Dodd Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Georgia Tech favoredBoston College favored0%Win chanceGeorgia TechRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Georgia Tech favoredBoston College favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

Third quarter, 10:30 left5:43 p.m.
Boston College 18, Georgia Tech 13 · Georgia Tech 41% to win
no rain · wind 9 mph from the east-northeast, mostly across the field · 68°
Mendoza intercepted by Comella at the Boston College 38, returned 23 yards

Jump to

Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Atlanta/fulton Co. airport, 7.3 miles away, and Atlanta/dekalb airport, 8.8 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Boston College · 3-3

Rated 130th in our preseason ratings, 116th now, up 14 spots.

1-2 in its last three, capped by a 6-point win over Pittsburgh as a 6.5-point underdog.

L 16-25 @ SMUTop 25 No. 27 of 668 teams

lost by 9 as a 21.5-point underdog

Boston College lost 16-25 at SMU. Chance to win started at 4%, low under 1%, high 14%.

Last three games

Georgia Tech · 2-4

Rated 74th in our preseason ratings, 89th now, down 15 spots.

1-2 in its last three, including a 3-point win over Duke as a 4.5-point underdog.

W 28-25 vs DukeTop 25 No. 52 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 4.5-point underdog

Georgia Tech won 28-25 vs Duke. Chance to win started at 45%, low 32%, high 98%.

L 27-34 @ Stanford No. 115 of 668 teams

lost by 7 as a 3-point favorite

Georgia Tech lost 27-34 at Stanford. Chance to win started at 51%, low 4%, high 84%.

W 44-11 vs Mercer No. 169 of 668 teams

won by 33 as a 38.5-point favorite

Georgia Tech won 44-11 vs Mercer. Chance to win started at 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

L 24-45 vs TennesseeTop 25 No. 30 of 668 teams

lost by 21 as a 12.5-point underdog

Georgia Tech lost 24-45 vs Tennessee. Chance to win started at 23%, low under 1%, high 38%.

L 13-14 vs Colorado No. 156 of 668 teams

lost by 1 as a 6.5-point favorite

Georgia Tech lost 13-14 vs Colorado. Chance to win started at 72%, low under 1%, high 88%.

Week by week

Georgia Tech

Wk 2: L 24-45 vs Tennessee▼21TennesseeWk 3: W 44-11 vs Mercer▲33MercerWk 4: L 27-34 at Stanford▼7StanfordWk 6: W 28-25 vs Duke▲3DukeWk 7: L 24-34 at Virginia Tech▼10Virginia…
  • Wk 2Lvs Tennessee24-45
  • Wk 3Wvs Mercer44-11
  • Wk 4Lat Stanford27-34
  • Wk 6Wvs Duke28-25
  • Wk 7Lat Virginia Tech24-34

Boston College

Wk 2: W 28-21 vs Rutgers▲7RutgersWk 3: W 22-16 vs Maine▲6MaineWk 4: L 14-21 vs Virginia Tech▼7Virginia…Wk 5: L 16-25 at SMU▼9SMUWk 7: W 27-21 vs Pittsburgh▲6Pittsbur…
  • Wk 2Wvs Rutgers28-21
  • Wk 3Wvs Maine22-16
  • Wk 4Lvs Virginia Tech14-21
  • Wk 5Lat SMU16-25
  • Wk 7Wvs Pittsburgh27-21

Power rating by week

Georgia Tech is rated 2.1 points ahead as of week 7. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

0-3-7Wk 0Wk 4Wk 7Georgia TechBoston College

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Boston College’s rushing EPA against Georgia Tech, 37 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Boston College’s rushing EPA against Georgia Tech’s defense

    37 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Boston College offense, 50th percentile · Georgia Tech defense, 13th

  2. Boston College’s explosive plays against Georgia Tech’s defense

    32 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Boston College offense, 69th percentile · Georgia Tech defense, 37th

  3. Boston College’s EPA/play against Georgia Tech’s defense

    20 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Boston College offense, 32nd percentile · Georgia Tech defense, 12th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Boston CollegeGeorgia Tech
EPA/play, offense
Boston College · 32Georgia Tech · 56
EPA/play, defense
Boston College · 73Georgia Tech · 12
Success rate, offense
Boston College · 38Georgia Tech · 61
Success rate, defense
Boston College · 48Georgia Tech · 19
Explosive-play rate, offense
Boston College · 69Georgia Tech · 59
Explosive-play rate, defense
Boston College · 68Georgia Tech · 37
Rush EPA, offense
Boston College · 50Georgia Tech · 51
Rush EPA, defense
Boston College · 52Georgia Tech ·…
Pass EPA, offense
Boston College · 34Georgia Tech · 61
Pass EPA, defense
Boston College · 52Georgia Tech · 23

The series

Georgia Tech leads the series 8-5

13 meetings since 1972 · Georgia Tech won the last meeting

Georgia Tech wonBoston College won1972: Georgia Tech by 321989: Georgia Tech by 11991: Georgia Tech by 161997: Georgia Tech by 281998: Boston College by 102007: Boston College by 142008: Georgia Tech by 32012: Georgia Tech by 202016: Georgia Tech by 32020: Boston College by 212021: Boston College by 112023: Boston College by 152025: Georgia Tech by 219722025
  • 2025Georgia Tech 36-34Georgia Tech won 36-34 at Boston College. Chance to win started at 83%, low 24%, high better than 99%.
  • 2023Boston College 38-23Georgia Tech lost 23-38 vs Boston College. Chance to win started at 72%, low 1%, high 83%.
  • 2021Boston College 41-30Georgia Tech lost 30-41 vs Boston College. Chance to win started at 44%, low under 1%, high 78%.
  • 2020Boston College 48-27Georgia Tech lost 27-48 at Boston College. Chance to win started at 45%, low under 1%, high 55%.
  • 2016 · neutral siteGeorgia Tech 17-14

Each line is Georgia Tech’s chance to win through that meeting. Georgia Tech is 1-2 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Georgia Tech fans are feeling it about like the typical fanbase this week (43rd percentile among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

50-50Model 64% · Line 70%Georgia Tech fans · 43rdBoston College fans · 46thBoston CollegeGeorgia Tech

Georgia Tech favored by 6.5 · Total 50.5

How games like this usually go

Georgia Tech by 6.5, on the usual path until Q3 10:24

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 395 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward Georgia Tech.

opened −4.5now −6.5

The total rose 1 point.

opened 49.5now 50.5

Spread: −4.5 → −6.5 · Total: 49.5 → 50.5

The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Georgia Tech has had no measurable home edge since 2018 — −0.3 points (±4.1), home against road — 1st percentile of FBS.

44% at home, 40% on the road against FBS opponents (20-25 home, 17-26 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -8.1 at home vs. away over 95 games — outside the ±6.1 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.

The visitors travel about 930 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Where next

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.

Full ACC standings