Georgia Southern beats App State 19-3
Team pages: App State · Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern beat App State 19-3. Share this game
We had Georgia Southern favored. It won.
Next: App State vs Georgia State, Sat Nov 7 · 2:30 PM ET · App State favored by 5.5
Next: Georgia Southern vs Marshall, Sat Nov 7 · 3:30 PM ET · Georgia Southern favored by 10.5
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Georgia Southern a 68% chance, and the closing betting line (Georgia Southern was a 6-point favorite) put it at 69%.
Favored the whole way: Georgia Southern never fell below 67%.
App State never had better than a 33% chance.
Georgia Southern 19-3 App State
Georgia Southern wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.App State 3-19 Georgia SouthernApp State lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Georgia Southern -6), at 74% for Georgia Southern (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Georgia Southern scored on 5 of its 9 drives; App State on 1 of its 9.
Georgia Southern’s drives are teal, App State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
What it cost
App State’s chance to win the conference fell from 5% to 2%.
Win the conference
Before the game (October 30, 2026) → after this result alone, in our model. Other games that weekend move it too, so the team page may differ.
App State plays vs Georgia State on Sat Nov 7 with a 2% chance to win the conference. Georgia Southern plays vs Marshall on Sat Nov 7 with a 12% chance to win the conference.
Box score
Georgia Southern 19, App State 3
Georgia Southern covered −6 by 10. The total, 22, stayed under 54.5.
| Team totals | App State | Georgia Southern |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 222 | 436 |
| Passing | 16 of 29, 216 yds | 37 of 48, 334 yds |
| Rushing | 16 for 6 yds | 32 for 102 yds |
| First downs | 12 | 25 |
| Third down | 2 of 9 | 8 of 17 |
| Fourth down | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 |
| Penalties | 3 for 27 yds | 6 for 58 yds |
| Time of possession | 16:06 | 43:54 |
App State leaders
- Passing Malachi Singleton 15 of 28, 215 yds, 2 INT
- Rushing Jaquari Lewis 3 for 11 yds; Treyaun Webb 3 for 10 yds
- Receiving Sam Pickett III 4 for 86 yds; Chris Lofton 5 for 82 yds
Georgia Southern leaders
- Passing Max Johnson 36 of 47, 327 yds
- Rushing Weston Bryan 7 for 42 yds; Tyrese Woodgett 8 for 28 yds
- Receiving Alex Taylor 10 for 93 yds; Josh Dallas 7 for 86 yds
No rain through the game
70° at kickoff · no rain recorded
October game-day temperatures at Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Statesboro/bulloch Co airport, 5.6 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
This is Deeper Than Hate — see the full head-to-head history →
Recent games
Last three games
App State · 5-2
Rated 98th in our preseason ratings, 108th now.
2-1 in its last three, capped by a 3-point win over James Madison as a 12.5-point underdog.
Last three games
Georgia Southern · 3-4
Rated 99th in our preseason ratings, 74th now, up 25 spots.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 31-0 vs Charleston Southern No. 219 of 668 teams
won by 31 as a 28.5-point favorite
Week by week
Georgia Southern
- Wk 3Lat Jacksonville State27-31
- Wk 4Lvs Houston28-42
- Wk 5Wat Coastal Carolina31-24
- Wk 6Lvs James Madison24-27
- Wk 7Wat Old Dominion23-15
App State
- Wk 3Wvs Charlotte26-21
- Wk 4Lat NC State31-41
- Wk 6Lvs Old Dominion3-10
- Wk 7Wat Coastal Carolina35-32
- Wk 8Wvs James Madison34-31
Power rating by week
Georgia Southern is rated 3.2 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
Matchups
Biggest mismatch: App State’s rushing EPA against Georgia Southern, 80 points
Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
App State’s rushing EPA against Georgia Southern’s defense
App State offense, 8th percentile · Georgia Southern defense, 88th
Georgia Southern’s explosive plays against App State’s defense
Georgia Southern offense, 32nd percentile · App State defense, 85th
App State’s EPA/play against Georgia Southern’s defense
App State offense, 37th percentile · Georgia Southern defense, 70th
Season profile, all the rows
Season profile
The series
App State leads the series 14-10
24 meetings since 2003 · Georgia Southern has won the last 3
- 2025 · neutral siteGeorgia Southern 29-10
- 2025Georgia Southern 25-23
- 2024Georgia Southern 29-20
- 2023App State 55-27
- 2022Georgia Southern 51-48
Each line is Georgia Southern’s chance to win through that meeting. Georgia Southern is 2-1 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Georgia Southern fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (85th percentile among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.
Georgia Southern favored by 6 · Total 54.5
How games like this usually go
Georgia Southern by 6, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 426 games since 2025 with a favorite of 3.5 to 7.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 2.5 points toward Georgia Southern.
Spread: −3.5 → −6
The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
Georgia Southern is worth +6.7 points (±3.4) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 90th percentile.
64% at home, 37% on the road against FBS opponents (28-16 home, 19-32 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +6.3 at home vs. away over 104 games — outside the ±5.2 noise, one of the few buildings where results say more.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 263 miles to get here.
Last meeting in our History pages
- Georgia Southern 29, App State 10Jlab Birmingham Bowl · Dec 29, 2025
Our History pages cover 12 of their meetings since 2015.
Where next
Conference standings
Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.
- Georgia Southern4th2-1
- App State3rd2-1