App State routs Maine 55-3

Team pages: Maine · App State

Maine1-13
App State1-055Final
Sat, Sep 5 · Kidd Brewer Stadium, Boone, N.C. · Crowd 33,664ESPN+

App State routed Maine 55-3.

We had App State favored. It won.

Next: Maine lost to Merrimack 23-14, Sat Sep 12

Next: App State beat East Carolina 27-24, Sat Sep 12

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave App State a 74% chance, and the closing betting line (App State was a 21-point favorite) put it at 95%.

FinalApp State 55-3 MaineApp State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4App StateWon55-3Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4App StateWon55-3Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4App StateLowest 0%Lost3-55Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4App StateLowest 0%Lost3-55Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

App State’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (App State -21), at 95% for App State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Watch the plays

The bar and the arrow show App State’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.

  1. Q2, 9:32Singleton 5-yd TD pass to FugittApp State leads 17-0Q2, 9:32 · App State 17, Maine 0▲2%App State’s chance to win, 98% to 100%▲2%App State’s chance to win, 98% to 100%Watch from this playSun Belt Conference
  2. Q2, 4:18Singleton 14-yd TD pass to PickettApp State leads 24-0Q2, 4:18 · App State 24, Maine 024-0score after the play24-0score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference
  3. Q2, 1:10Buehler intercepted by Pitts at the App State 30returned 15 yardsQ2, 1:10 · App State 24, Maine 024-0score after the play24-0score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference
  4. Q2, 0:07Singleton 7-yd TD pass to PickettApp State leads 31-0Q2, 0:07 · App State 31, Maine 031-0score after the play31-0score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference
  5. Q3, 11:52Buehler intercepted by Phares at the App State 31Q3, 11:52 · App State 31, Maine 031-0score after the play31-0score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference
  6. Q3, 9:14Lewis 12-yd TD runApp State leads 38-0Q3, 9:14 · App State 38, Maine 0▼2%App State’s chance to win, 100% to 98%▼2%App State’s chance to win, 100% to 98%Watch from this playSun Belt Conference
  7. Q4, 13:25Branch 36-yd TD runApp State leads 45-3Q4, 13:25 · App State 45, Maine 345-3score after the play45-3score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference
  8. Q4, 10:33Grier 28-yd TD runApp State leads 52-3Q4, 10:33 · App State 52, Maine 352-3score after the play52-3score after the playWatch from this playSun Belt Conference

Every drive

App State scored on 9 of its 10 drives; Maine on 1 of its 11.

App State’s drives are teal, Maine’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1App State: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 18FumbleMaine: Punt, from 82 yards out to 76PuntApp State: Touchdown, from 78 yards out to 0TouchdownMaine: Punt, from 75 yards out to 73PuntApp State: Field goal, from 87 yards out to 13Field goalQ2Maine: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67PuntApp State: Touchdown, from 70 yards out to 0TouchdownMaine: Punt, from 75 yards out to 71PuntApp State: Touchdown, from 40 yards out to 0TouchdownMaine: Interception, from 81 yards out to 28InterceptionApp State: Touchdown, from 55 yards out to 0TouchdownMaine: End of half, from 75 yards out to 74End of halfQ3Maine: Interception, from 75 yards out to 55InterceptionApp State: Touchdown, from 69 yards out to 0TouchdownMaine: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 23Field goalApp State: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Maine: Punt, from 75 yards out to 73PuntApp State: Touchdown, from 68 yards out to 0TouchdownMaine: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 30DownsApp State: Field goal, from 70 yards out to 14Field goalMaine: End of game, from 75 yards out to 33End of game

Box score

App State 55, Maine 3

App State covered −21 by 31. The total, 58, went over 53.5.

Maine leaders

  • Passing Eddie Buehler 18 of 32, 198 yds, 2 INT
  • Rushing Rashawn Marshall 13 for 37 yds; Aidan Winter 3 for 17 yds
  • Receiving Corey Rideout 1 for 47 yds; Ty'ee Stephens 2 for 29 yds

App State leaders

  • Passing Malachi Singleton 22 of 24, 291 yds, 3 TD
  • Rushing Jaquari Lewis 11 for 69 yds, 1 TD; Ja'Quez Cross 7 for 66 yds
  • Receiving Sam Pickett III 5 for 76 yds, 2 TD; Nate Branch 5 for 55 yds

No rain through the game

72° at kickoff · no rain recorded

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 63 other games played at Kidd Brewer Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window).

September game-day temperatures at Kidd Brewer Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4App State favoredMaine favored100%Win chanceApp StateRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airport
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4App State favoredMaine favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airport

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:55 left3:32 p.m.
Maine 0, App State 0 · App State 95% to win
no rain · 72°
Lewis 12-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Watauga_cnty_hosp_helip airport, 2.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Maine · 6-6

Rated 194th in our preseason ratings, 194th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 27-33 @ New Hampshire #124 of 667

lost by 6 as a 7.5-point underdog

L 13-45 vs Rhode Island #86 of 667

lost by 32 as a 4-point underdog

W 35-7 @ Hampton #264 of 667

won by 28 as a 14.5-point favorite

W 28-21 vs Stony Brook #170 of 667

won by 7 as a 1-point favorite

W 35-14 vs Elon #181 of 667

won by 21 as a 4.5-point underdog

W 20-13 @ Merrimack #210 of 667

won by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 34-14 @ Bryant #239 of 667

won by 20 as a 2.5-point underdog

W 37-30 vs North Carolina A&T #260 of 667

won by 7 as a 13.5-point favorite

L 17-45 @ Georgia Southern #100 of 667

lost by 28 as a 20.5-point underdog

Maine lost 17-45 at Georgia Southern. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 21%.

L 10-13 vs Stonehill #253 of 667

lost by 3 as a 21-point favorite

L 27-28 @ William & Mary #170 of 667

lost by 1 as a 7-point underdog

L 7-28 @ Liberty #98 of 667

lost by 21 as a 25.5-point underdog

Maine lost 7-28 at Liberty. Chance to win started at 4%, low under 1%, high 26%.

Last three games · 2025 season

App State · 5-8

Rated 98th in our preseason ratings.

L 10-29 vs Georgia Southern #112 of 667

lost by 19 as a 10-point underdog

App State lost 10-29 vs Georgia Southern. Chance to win started at 30%, low under 1%, high 30%.

L 29-30 vs Arkansas State #135 of 667

lost by 1 as a 1.5-point underdog

App State lost 29-30 vs Arkansas State. Chance to win started at 57%, low under 1%, high 89%.

W 26-24 vs Marshall #86 of 667

won by 2 as a 3.5-point underdog

App State won 26-24 vs Marshall. Chance to win started at 45%, low 17%, high 94%.

L 10-58 @ James MadisonTop 25 #26 of 667

lost by 48 as a 19.5-point underdog

App State lost 10-58 at James Madison. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 12%.

L 23-25 vs Georgia Southern #126 of 667

lost by 2 as a 4.5-point favorite

App State lost 23-25 vs Georgia Southern. Chance to win started at 68%, low 4%, high 73%.

L 21-24 @ Old Dominion #78 of 667

lost by 3 as a 12.5-point underdog

App State lost 21-24 at Old Dominion. Chance to win started at 15%, low under 1%, high 21%.

L 37-45 vs Coastal Carolina #133 of 667

lost by 8 as a 10.5-point favorite

App State lost 37-45 vs Coastal Carolina. Chance to win started at 83%, low 9%, high 97%.

W 41-20 @ Georgia State #141 of 667

won by 21 as a 2.5-point favorite

App State won 41-20 at Georgia State. Chance to win started at 50%, low 37%, high better than 99%.

W 27-23 vs Oregon State #100 of 667

won by 4 as a 2.5-point favorite

App State won 27-23 vs Oregon State. Chance to win started at 64%, low 55%, high better than 99%.

L 14-47 @ Boise StateTop 25 #55 of 667

lost by 33 as a 17.5-point underdog

App State lost 14-47 at Boise State. Chance to win started at 9%, low under 1%, high 9%.

L 22-38 @ Southern Miss #113 of 667

lost by 16 as a 2.5-point favorite

App State lost 22-38 at Southern Miss. Chance to win started at 50%, low under 1%, high 76%.

W 20-13 vs Lindenwood #197 of 667

won by 7 as a 29.5-point favorite

App State won 20-13 vs Lindenwood. Chance to win started at 99%, low 97%, high better than 99%.

W 34-11 @ Charlotte #145 of 667

won by 23 as an 8.5-point favorite

App State won 34-11 vs Charlotte. Chance to win started at 69%, low 55%, high better than 99%.

The series

Maine leads the series 1-0

1 meeting since 2011 · Maine won the last meeting

  • 2011 · neutral siteMaine 34-12

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on App State’s chances here.

50-50Model · 74%Line · 95%MaineApp State

App State favored by 21 · Total 53.5

How games like this usually go

App State by 21, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 251 games since 2025 with a favorite of 14.5 to 21.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 3.5 points toward App State.

opened −17.5now −21

Spread: −17.5 → −21

The books’ cut: 4.1%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Warm and dry. Feels like 78° at kickoff.

Maine at App State · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Kidd Brewer Stadium, Boone

  • 78°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 99weather score, Comfortable
  • Tiedfor the best of the day's 7 kickoff times

At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026.

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Kidd Brewer Stadium that day, a 2 pm, 6 pm, 7 pm or 7:45 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 99 at 3:30 pm.

  • noon: 94, Comfortable
  • 12:45 pm: 94, Comfortable
  • 2 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 3:30 pm: 99, Comfortable (this game)
  • 6 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 7 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 7:45 pm: 100, Ideal

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.

Home field

App State is worth +4.9 points (±3.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 64th percentile.

77% at home, 49% on the road against FBS opponents (33-10 home, 24-25 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.6 at home vs. away over 102 games — inside the ±5.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 908 miles to get here.

Where next