No. 22 Houston routs Southern 77-6
No. 22 Houston routed Southern 77-6. Share this game
We had Houston favored. It won.
Top comment in the game thread
Texas power grid moment
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Houston a 99% chance, and the closing betting line (Houston was a 51.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.
Houston led by 28 after the first quarter and by 49 at the half.
Southern · Q3 4:38
Houston 77-6 SouthernHouston wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Southern 6-77 HoustonSouthern lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
- Q2 2:39Houston fans joke about ERCOT power outages as Hebert scores a touchdown
This Hebert kid is alright lol
r/CFB game threadQuoted at the top of the page. - Q3 13:43Henderson runs 54 yards for a touchdown, making it 56-0
OMG. Henderson. WOW !!!
r/CFB game thread - Q3 4:57Houston fans celebrate the 70-0 lead and predict a 105-point total
Texas Tech is leading Oregon State 14-7
r/CFB game thread - Q4 5:05Houston fans joke about using walk-ons and toddlers as the game winds down
We’re putting in people from the stands now
r/CFB game threadWe reached into the Sock drawer
r/CFB game thread
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Houston -51.5), at 100% for Houston (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. The gray band is r/CFB game-thread activity, its loudest stretches in gold. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.Watch the plays
The bar and the arrow show Houston’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
- Q1, 8:59Weigman 9-yd TD pass to OvermyerHouston goes ahead 7-0Q1, 8:59 · Houston 7, Southern 07-0score after the play7-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q1, 7:36Johnson sacked for a 10-yd lossfumblesQ1, 7:36 · Houston 7, Southern 07-0score after the play7-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q1, 6:52Sanford 9-yd TD runHouston leads 14-0Q1, 6:52 · Houston 14, Southern 014-0score after the play14-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q1, 0:28Weigman 8-yd TD pass to ThomasHouston leads 28-0Q1, 0:28 · Houston 28, Southern 028-0score after the play28-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 10:57Weigman 43-yd TD pass to YoungHouston leads 35-0Q2, 10:57 · Houston 35, Southern 035-0score after the play35-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 6:58Strother intercepted by Allen at the SU30Q2, 6:58 · Houston 35, Southern 035-0score after the play35-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 6:10Henderson 7-yd TD pass to YoungHouston leads 42-0Q2, 6:10 · Houston 42, Southern 042-0score after the play42-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q2, 1:36Henderson 20-yd TD pass to HebertHouston leads 49-0Q2, 1:36 · Houston 49, Southern 049-0score after the play49-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q3, 13:43Henderson 54-yd TD runHouston leads 56-0Q3, 13:43 · Houston 56, Southern 056-0score after the play56-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q3, 9:39Butler 9-yd TD runHouston leads 63-0Q3, 9:39 · Houston 63, Southern 063-0score after the play63-0score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q3, 4:38McCauley 79-yd TD pass to Clark, blockedcuts it to 70-6Q3, 4:38 · Houston 70, Southern 670-6score after the play70-6score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
- Q4, 5:56Carney 8-yd TD runHouston leads 77-6Q4, 5:56 · Houston 77, Southern 677-6score after the play77-6score after the play▶Watch from this playESPN College Football
Every drive
Houston scored on 11 of its 12 drives; Southern on 1 of its 12.
Houston’s drives are teal, Southern’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
“Yup. Went up 35-0 then put in Keisean.”
When fans got loud
Busy
The second quarter is when fans got loud.
The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.
Box score
Houston 77, Southern 6
Houston covered −51.5 by 19.5. The total, 83, went over 61.5.
| Team totals | Southern | Houston |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 121 | 591 |
| Passing | 10 of 20, 127 yds | 15 of 19, 203 yds |
| Rushing | 22 for -6 yds | 45 for 388 yds |
| First downs | 4 | 34 |
| Third down | 1 of 13 | 8 of 8 |
| Fourth down | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 |
| Penalties | 6 for 44 yds | 5 for 45 yds |
| Time of possession | 21:42 | 38:18 |
Southern leaders
- Passing Wyatt McCauley 2 of 3, 85 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing Amariyon Asberry 3 for 6 yds; Champ Davis 1 for 4 yds
- Receiving Wydell Clark Jr. 1 for 79 yds, 1 TD; Daejawn Smith 2 for 13 yds
Houston leaders
- Passing Conner Weigman 9 of 12, 120 yds, 3 TD
- Rushing Zane Smith 10 for 69 yds; John Hebert 5 for 65 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Koby Young 3 for 54 yds, 2 TD; Trent Walker 2 for 35 yds
Feels like 94° to 103° through the game
91° at kickoff · feels like 94° to 103° · no rain recorded
A feels-like 103° is hotter than the peak in 99% of games since 2018.
Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.
Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 56 other games played at TDECU Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window).
September game-day temperatures at TDECU Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Houston Dunn airport, 2.8 miles away, and Houston/will Hobby airport, 7.1 miles away. The paler thunder bar is thunder reported in the vicinity of an airport. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last two games
Southern · 1-1
Rated 201st in our preseason ratings, 217th now.
1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 34-15 vs Kentucky State #287 of 668
Last three games · 2025 season
Houston · 10-3
Rated 20th in our preseason ratings, 22nd now.
2-1 in its last three, including a 7-point win over Baylor as a 2.5-point underdog.
W 38-35 vs LSUTop 25 #38 of 667
won by 3 as a 1.5-point favorite
W 31-24 @ Baylor #63 of 667
won by 7 as a 2.5-point underdog
L 14-17 vs TCUTop 25 #46 of 667
lost by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 30-27 @ UCF #59 of 667
won by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog
L 35-45 vs West Virginia #83 of 667
lost by 10 as a 12.5-point favorite
W 24-16 @ Arizona StateTop 25 #43 of 667
won by 8 as a 7.5-point underdog
W 31-28 vs ArizonaTop 25 #69 of 667
won by 3 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 39-17 @ Oklahoma State #153 of 667
won by 22 as a 14.5-point favorite
L 11-35 vs Texas TechTop 25 #20 of 667
lost by 24 as an 11.5-point underdog
W 27-24 @ Oregon State #91 of 667
won by 3 as an 11.5-point favorite
W 36-20 vs Colorado #44 of 667
won by 16 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 35-9 @ Rice #125 of 667
won by 26 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 27-0 vs Stephen F. Austin #125 of 667
won by 27 as a 23.5-point favorite
Week by week
Houston
- Wk 1Wvs Oregon State33-20
Southern
- Wk 1Lat Alabama State17-30
- Wk 1Wvs Kentucky State34-15
The series
Houston leads the series 2-0
2 meetings since 2008 · Houston has won the last 2
- 2013Houston 62-13
- 2008 · neutral siteHouston 55-3
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line agree on Houston’s chances here.
Houston favored by 51.5 · Total 61.5
How games like this usually go
Houston by 51.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The total rose 1 point.
Total: 60.5 → 61.5
Weather at kickoff
Hot and dry. Feels like 99° at kickoff.
Southern at Houston · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · TDECU Stadium, Houston
- 99°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 49weather score, Harsh
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Kickoff times that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed. At TDECU Stadium that day, a 6:45 pm kickoff would have scored 55, against 49 at 6 pm.
- 11 am: 49, Harsh
- 2:30 pm: 28, Harsh
- 3:15 pm: 27, Harsh
- 6 pm: 49, Harsh (this game)
- 6:45 pm: 55, Rough
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
Houston has had no measurable home edge since 2018 — −0.7 points (±3.6), home against road — 0th percentile of FBS.
55% at home, 57% on the road against FBS opponents (24-20 home, 27-20 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -3.1 at home vs. away over 96 games — inside the ±5.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 255 miles to get here.