Western Michigan routs Monmouth 49-14
Team pages: Monmouth · Western Michigan
Western Michigan routed Monmouth 49-14. Share this game
We had Western Michigan favored. It won.
Next: Monmouth beat UAlbany 28-20, Sat Sep 19
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Western Michigan a 99% chance, and the closing betting line (Western Michigan was a 29.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.
Western Michigan led by 7 after the first quarter and by 21 at the half.
Western Michigan 49-14 Monmouth
Western Michigan wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Monmouth 14-49 Western MichiganMonmouth lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Western Michigan -29.5), at 98% for Western Michigan (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Western Michigan scored on 7 of its 13 drives; Monmouth on 2 of its 12.
Western Michigan’s drives are teal, Monmouth’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Western Michigan 49, Monmouth 14
Western Michigan covered −29.5 by 5.5. The total, 63, went over 54.5.
Monmouth leaders
- Passing Frankie Weaver 28 of 46, 273 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing Elijah Jennings 19 for 87 yds; Kenny Smith 18 for 69 yds
- Receiving Tra Neal 7 for 106 yds, 1 TD; Gavin Nelson 7 for 63 yds
Western Michigan leaders
- Passing Broc Lowry 14 of 20, 212 yds, 3 TD
- Rushing Broc Lowry 4 for 40 yds; Trey Petty 4 for 30 yds
- Receiving Aveion Chenault 4 for 101 yds; Egypt Nelson 3 for 39 yds, 1 TD
No rain and calm
80° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 4 mph from the west, gusts to 13
Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 55 other games played at Waldo Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 69°, with about 7 in 10 games between 58° and 77°.
September game-day temperatures at Waldo Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Kalamazoo airport, 4.3 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last two games
Monmouth · 1-1
Rated 164th in our preseason ratings, 168th now.
1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 31-24 vs Sacred Heart #207 of 668
won by 7 as an 11.5-point favorite
L 14-38 @ Tennessee Tech #116 of 668
lost by 24 as an 8.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Western Michigan · 10-4
Rated 24th in our preseason ratings, 21st now.
Three straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.
W 41-6 vs Kennesaw State #127 of 667
won by 35 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 23-13 vs Miami (OH) #83 of 667
won by 10 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 31-21 @ Eastern Michigan #138 of 667
won by 10 as a 9.5-point favorite
W 35-19 @ Northern Illinois #193 of 667
won by 16 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 17-13 vs Ohio #72 of 667
won by 4 as a 1.5-point favorite
W 24-21 vs Central Michigan #110 of 667
won by 3 as a 5.5-point favorite
L 17-26 @ Miami (OH) #81 of 667
lost by 9 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 42-0 vs Ball State #196 of 667
won by 42 as a 9.5-point favorite
W 21-3 @ Massachusetts #207 of 667
won by 18 as a 12.5-point favorite
W 47-14 vs Rhode Island #137 of 667
won by 33 as an 8.5-point favorite
W 14-13 vs Toledo #57 of 667
won by 1 as an 11.5-point underdog
L 0-38 @ IllinoisTop 25 #35 of 667
lost by 38 as a 27.5-point underdog
L 30-33 vs North TexasTop 25 #94 of 667
lost by 3 as a 12.5-point underdog
L 6-23 @ Michigan State #68 of 667
lost by 17 as a 22.5-point underdog
Week by week
Western Michigan
- Wk 1Lat Michigan12-13
Monmouth
- Wk 1Lat Tennessee Tech14-38
- Wk 1Wvs Sacred Heart31-24
The series
Western Michigan leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2019 · Western Michigan won the last meeting
- 2019Western Michigan 48-13
Each line is Western Michigan’s chance to win through that meeting.
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line agree on Western Michigan’s chances here.
Western Michigan favored by 29.5 · Total 54.5
How games like this usually go
Western Michigan by 29.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The spread moved 4 points toward Western Michigan.
The total rose 2 points.
Spread: −25.5 → −29.5 · Total: 52.5 → 54.5
The books’ cut: 3.3%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff
Warm and dry. Feels like 78° at kickoff.
Monmouth at Western Michigan · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Waldo Stadium, Kalamazoo
- 78°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 97weather score, Comfortable
- 2ndbest of the day's 7 kickoff times
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Waldo Stadium that day, a 7:30 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 97 at 7 pm.
- noon: 78, Mixed
- 1 pm: 74, Rough
- 2 pm: 73, Rough
- 3:30 pm: 73, Rough
- 6 pm: 90, Comfortable
- 7 pm: 97, Comfortable (this game)
- 7:30 pm: 100, Ideal
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
Western Michigan is worth +3.8 points (±4.3) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 44th percentile.
61% at home, 43% on the road against FBS opponents (23-15 home, 22-29 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.6 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±6.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 617 miles to get here.