Monmouth at Western Michigan
Fan take
How they got here
Last two games
Monmouth · 1-1
Picked #162 in the preseason · now #172.
1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 31–24 vs Sacred Heart #205 of 669
won by 7 as a 11.5-point favorite
L 14–38 @ Tennessee Tech #128 of 669
lost by 24 as a 8.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Western Michigan · 10-4
Picked #24 in the preseason · now #13 — better than expected.
Three straight wins — but still hunting a ranked opponent.
W 41–6 vs Kennesaw State #124 of 668
won by 35 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 23–13 vs Miami (OH) #66 of 668
won by 10 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 31–21 @ Eastern Michigan #139 of 668
won by 10 as a 9.5-point favorite
W 35–19 @ Northern Illinois #186 of 668
won by 16 as a 7-point favorite
W 17–13 vs Ohio #66 of 668
won by 4 as a 1.5-point favorite
W 24–21 vs Central Michigan #92 of 668
won by 3 as a 5.5-point favorite
L 17–26 @ Miami (OH) #68 of 668
lost by 9 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 42–0 vs Ball State #218 of 668
won by 42 as a 9.5-point favorite
W 21–3 @ Massachusetts #198 of 668
won by 18 as a 12.5-point favorite
W 47–14 vs Rhode Island #129 of 668
won by 33 as a 8.5-point favorite
W 14–13 vs Toledo #50 of 668
won by 1 as a 11.5-point underdog
L 0–38 @ IllinoisTop 25 #25 of 668
lost by 38 as a 27.5-point underdog
L 30–33 vs North TexasTop 25 #105 of 668
lost by 3 as a 12.5-point underdog
L 6–23 @ Michigan State #71 of 668
lost by 17 as a 21.5-point underdog
What’s at stake
Monmouth
- Monmouth needs 5 more wins in the final 9 to reach bowl eligibility.
- Monmouth is still shaking off a 35-point loss.
Western Michigan
- A win puts Western Michigan a step closer to a 4% shot at the CFP field.
- Western Michigan is coming off a 35-point win.
The series
Western Michigan leads the series 2-0
2 meetings since 2019 · Western Michigan has won the last 2
- 2026Western Michigan 49–14
- 2019Western Michigan 48–13
Best players
Western Michigan
- Justyce Betts (LB) · 15 tackles
- Don-Ray Hall Jr. (WR) · 177 receiving yards
- Domanick Moon (LB) · 13 tackles
The line, and the room
The model and the market are in lockstep on Western Michigan’s chances here.
Home −29.5 · O/U 54.5
Conditions
78°F · 7 mph wind · Clear
Western Michigan is worth +4.1 points (±4.4) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 50th percentile.
61% at home, 40% on the road against FBS opponents (22–14 home, 19–29 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.7 at home vs. away over 74 games — inside the ±6.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 617 miles to get here.
Monmouth 14 – Western Michigan 49
Called it — picked Western Michigan to win.
Recent games
Western Michigan
- Wk 1Lat Michigan12-13
Monmouth
- Wk 1Lat Tennessee Tech14-38
- Wk 1Wvs Sacred Heart31-24
Trajectory
Western Michigan won 49-14, as picked pregame.