Richmond at Villanova

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Richmond
6-3 Lost last game
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Villanova
5-4 Won 3 straight
Sat, Nov 7 · 1:00 PM ET · Villanova StadiumAdd to calendar: Google · other

Richmond (6‑3) at Villanova (5‑4) — no line posted yet, but the model favors Villanova (74%).

How they got here

Last three games

Richmond · 6-3

Rated 179th in our preseason ratings, 208th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 14-33 @ Holy Cross No. 185 of 668 teams

lost by 19 as a 1.5-point favorite

Richmond lost 14-33 at Holy Cross. Chance to win started at 55%, low under 1%, high 79%.

W 13-6 vs Colgate No. 177 of 668 teams

won by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite

L 14-20 @ Fordham No. 245 of 668 teams

lost by 6 as an 8.5-point favorite

Richmond lost 14-20 at Fordham. Chance to win started at 65%, low 4%, high 86%.

W 40-31 @ Lafayette No. 238 of 668 teams

won by 9 as a 6.5-point favorite

Richmond won 40-31 at Lafayette. Chance to win started at 59%, low 6%, high 95%.

W 13-9 vs Furman No. 181 of 668 teams

won by 4 as a 3.5-point favorite

Richmond won 13-9 vs Furman. Chance to win started at 67%, low 61%, high better than 99%.

W 24-21 vs Georgetown No. 255 of 668 teams

won by 3 as a 15.5-point favorite

Richmond won 24-21 vs Georgetown. Chance to win started at 91%, low 63%, high better than 99%.

L 0-73 @ NC State No. 47 of 668 teams

lost by 73 as a 33.5-point underdog

Richmond lost 0-73 at NC State. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 2%.

W 28-21 @ Howard No. 235 of 668 teams

won by 7 as a 14-point favorite

Richmond won 28-21 at Howard. Chance to win started at 77%, low 77%, high 99%.

W 35-14 vs Bucknell No. 233 of 668 teams

won by 21 as a 12.5-point favorite

Richmond won 35-14 vs Bucknell. Chance to win started at 86%, low 86%, high better than 99%.

Last three games

Villanova · 5-4

Rated 137th in our preseason ratings, 162nd now.

Three straight wins, including a 6-point win over Lehigh as a 6.5-point underdog.

W 44-21 @ Lafayette No. 226 of 668 teams

won by 23 as a 7-point favorite

Villanova won 44-21 at Lafayette. Chance to win started at 65%, low 52%, high better than 99%.

W 24-18 vs Lehigh No. 137 of 668 teams

won by 6 as a 6.5-point underdog

Villanova won 24-18 vs Lehigh. Chance to win started at 37%, low 37%, high better than 99%.

W 38-17 @ Fordham No. 254 of 668 teams

won by 21 as a 7.5-point favorite

Villanova won 38-17 at Fordham. Chance to win started at 65%, low 64%, high better than 99%.

L 35-38 vs Morgan State No. 185 of 668 teams

lost by 3 as a 16.5-point favorite

Villanova lost 35-38 vs Morgan State. Chance to win started at 91%, low under 1%, high 94%.

L 21-28 vs Colgate No. 159 of 668 teams

lost by 7 as a 3-point favorite

W 20-16 @ Long Island University No. 230 of 668 teams

won by 4 as an 18.5-point favorite

Villanova won 20-16 at Long Island University. Chance to win started at 90%, low 47%, high 97%.

L 13-59 @ LouisvilleTop 25 No. 56 of 668 teams

lost by 46 as a 39.5-point underdog

Villanova lost 13-59 at Louisville. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 1%.

W 17-16 @ Bucknell No. 233 of 668 teams

won by 1 as a 22.5-point favorite

Villanova won 17-16 at Bucknell. Chance to win started at 91%, low 72%, high 99%.

L 32-35 vs William & Mary No. 180 of 668 teams

lost by 3 as a 12.5-point favorite

Villanova lost 32-35 vs William & Mary. Chance to win started at 87%, low under 1%, high 98%.

What’s at stake

Richmond

  • Richmond is 1 game back in Patriot with 2 left to make it up.
  • Richmond is still shaking off a 19-point loss.

Villanova

  • Villanova is 1 game back in Patriot with 2 left to make it up.
  • Villanova is coming off a 23-point win.

See this week’s biggest postseason implications ›

The series

Villanova leads the series 14-10

24 meetings since 1955 · Richmond won the last meeting

Villanova wonRichmond won1955: Villanova by 21958: Villanova by 71974: Richmond by 11976: Richmond by 171978: Villanova by 31979: Villanova by 61980: Richmond by 142003: Villanova by 292004: Villanova by 392005: Richmond by 182006: Villanova by 102007: Richmond by 82008: Villanova by 62009: Villanova by 12010: Villanova by 212012: Richmond by 112014: Richmond by 12015: Villanova by 12016: Richmond by 232017: Richmond by 222018: Villanova by 242019: Villanova by 72021: Villanova by 72022: Richmond by 1019552022
  • 2022Richmond 20-10
  • 2021Villanova 34-27
  • 2019Villanova 35-28
  • 2018Villanova 45-21
  • 2017Richmond 22-0

Home field

Villanova is worth +6.3 points (±12.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 86th percentile.

75% at home, 42% on the road against FBS opponents (3-1 home, 5-7 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.1 at home vs. away over 61 games — inside the ±8.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 207 miles to get here.

Week by week

Villanova

Wk 4: L 21-28 vs Colgate▼7ColgateWk 5: L 35-38 vs Morgan State▼3Morgan S…Wk 7: W 38-17 at Fordham▲21FordhamWk 8: W 24-18 vs Lehigh▲6LehighWk 9: W 44-21 at Lafayette▲23Lafayette
  • Wk 4Lvs Colgate21-28
  • Wk 5Lvs Morgan State35-38
  • Wk 7Wat Fordham38-17
  • Wk 8Wvs Lehigh24-18
  • Wk 9Wat Lafayette44-21

Richmond

Wk 4: W 13-9 vs Furman▲4FurmanWk 5: W 40-31 at Lafayette▲9LafayetteWk 6: L 14-20 at Fordham▼6FordhamWk 8: W 13-6 vs Colgate▲7ColgateWk 9: L 14-33 at Holy Cross▼19Holy Cro…
  • Wk 4Wvs Furman13-9
  • Wk 5Wat Lafayette40-31
  • Wk 6Lat Fordham14-20
  • Wk 8Wvs Colgate13-6
  • Wk 9Lat Holy Cross14-33

Power rating by week

Villanova is rated 4.3 points ahead as of week 10. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-5-7-10Wk 0Wk 5Wk 10VillanovaRichmond

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.