Alessio Milivojevic

#11 · QB · R-So. · Michigan State6′3″ · 223 lb · Naperville, IL · St. Francis

ZPR4374th of 119 QBs Last gameL 10–28at UCLA · Oct 24

Nextat MichiganSat Nov 7 · 7:30 pm ET

Did not play in Michigan State’s last game.

Kayd Coffman started the last one, L 10-28 at No. 9 UCLA, Oct 24.

Michigan State’s next game: at Michigan, Sat Nov 7, 7:30 p.m. ET

Outlets are asking

Who starts at Michigan?

Answered at kickoff, Sat Nov 7.

Michigan State has lost five straight in the games played. A balanced passer.

Strongest: an interception on 0.6% of throws, 12th lowest of 158 starters. Weakest: sacked on 9% of dropbacks, 19th highest of 158 starters.

Plays most like Turner, Marshall.

Passing yards

1,263

121 of 185, 65%

TD–INT

7–3

6.8 per throw

NCAA rating

132.0

87th of 119

ZPR

74th of 119

How ZPR works

Graded Solid against Northwestern, the last full game; solid or better in 5 of 7 graded games.

0-2 against ranked teams, 170 passing yards a game.

Best by our grade: Toledo. Lowest: at Wisconsin. Biggest game: at Notre Dame, No. 3.

Tap a game for its plays

Q1Q2Q3Q4

Toledo

W 30–20·Unranked

Solid

247 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT · Rush 6 for -5 · Sacked 3

Biggest swing: a Q4 completion added 23 points of win chance. Win chance: 64% to 87%.

Full game page

Eastern Michigan

W 35–7·Unranked

Shaky

170 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT · Rush 7 for 14 · Sacked 2

Biggest swing: a Q1 completion added 19 points of win chance. Win chance: 61% to 80%.

Full game page

at Notre Dame

L 10–27·Ranked #3

Solid

123 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT · Rush 8 for -20 · Sacked 3

None of the quarterback’s own plays moved the team's chance of winning by more than a few points.

Full game page

Nebraska

L 13–31·Unranked

Solid

Carried by the second quarter · 208 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT · Rush 6 for -24 · Lost a fumble · Sacked 4

None of the quarterback’s own plays moved the team's chance of winning by more than a few points.

Full game page

at Wisconsin

L 3–31·Unranked

Rough

103 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · Rush 4 for 7 · Sacked 1

Biggest swing: a Q1 incompletion cost the team 8 points of win chance. Win chance: 27% to 19%.

Full game page

Illinois

L 37–38·Unranked

Solid

196 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT · Rush 3 for -3 · Sacked 2

Biggest swing: a Q4 sack cost the team 17 points of win chance. It flipped the game against the team: 64% to 47%.

Full game page

Northwestern

L 21–24·Ranked #25

Solid

Slow start, strong finish · 216 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT · Rush 7 for 17, 1 TD · Lost a fumble · Sacked 1

Biggest swing: a Q2 completion added 19 points of win chance. Win chance: 59% to 77%.

Full game page

at UCLA

L 10–28·Ranked #9

Did not play

Season

Gets better after halftime

How to read this

Each column is a quarter. Blue and up is a good stretch for the quarterback, red and down a bad one, hatched means the game was already decided. A red cross is a turnover and a black dot a touchdown. The word on the right grades the whole game. A gold line means the r/CFB game thread kept naming the quarterback. Dashed outlines on the Season row are last season’s average. Tap a game to open its plays: each bar is one of the quarterback’s plays, up helped the team’s chance of winning and down hurt it, and the grey line is that chance.

The word grades the game against every FBS quarterback start, from Rough to Great, using the same throws as the season Zeitgeist Passer Rating and adjusting for the defense faced. Bars are points added per throw in that quarter. The Season row leaves out quarters after a game was decided.

Style of play

Balanced

Why this word

Runs2.9 a gameRarelyA lot

Throws7.7 yards past the lineShortDeep

Completes67% by play-by-playFewerMore

Takes sacks9% of dropbacksRarelyOften

The dot is this quarterback, among this season’s starters; the tick is the middle.

Throws at a middling depth and runs some. 2.9 carries a game. Closest matches: Turner, Alejado, Lowry, Mendoza.

Where the throws go

Behind the line11%typical 17%

Short59%typical 47%

Middle20%typical 22%

Deep9%typical 14%

Runs 2.9 times a game; 72% of starters run more.

Closest in style

Nearer the middle means more alike.

Turner Marshall · Balanced
608 yards, 2 TD, 3 INT so far. Both throw short and rarely run.
Alejado Hawai'i · Balanced
2,186 yards, 9 TD, 6 INT so far. Both are less efficient and rarely throw behind the line.
Lowry Western Michigan · Mobile passer
1,397 yards, 11 TD, 3 INT so far. Both protect the ball and are less efficient.
Mendoza Georgia Tech · Rhythm passer
1,795 yards, 10 TD, 6 INT so far. Both rarely run and throw short.

Compared with the 158 FBS starters this season for throws and running, and with 219 quarterbacks across 2 seasons for the matches, on how they play and how they have done.

This week

RecordMichigan State is 2-6.

What’s being said

3 stories this week, from 3 outlets.

Stories per day.

Michigan State Spartan fans say Alessio Milivojevic should still be starting quarterback

The Only Colors +1 Oct 31

All 50 stories this season

His most important play this season

Q4, 10:37 · Michigan State down 1, takes the leadAlessio Milivojevic finds Rodney Bullard Jr. for a 5-yard touchdownToledo at Michigan State, week 1Q4, 10:37 · Michigan State 27, Toledo 20Go-ahead touchdown for Michigan State in the fourth quarterGo-ahead touchdown for Michigan State in the fourth quarterA.Milivojevic pass complete short right to R.Bullard Jr. caught at TOL00, for 5 yards to the TOL00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN R.Bullard Jr. pass attempt SuccessfulWatch from this play

All 8 of his plays on video

Alessio Milivojevic

QB · Michigan State · #11

Played for two head coaches in three seasons at Michigan State. First career honor, 2025: Big Ten Freshman Player of the Week. On tape: 247 passing yards and 1 passing TD against Toledo, Week 1, 2026.

1,263 passing yards · 7 passing TD · 9 rushing yards

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2026	Michigan State	121	185	65.4%	1,263	6.8	7	3	132.0	43
2025	Michigan State	111	173	64.2%	1,267	7.3	10	3	141.3	42
2024	Michigan State	--	1	0.0%	--	0.0	0	1	−200.0	--
Career		232	359	64.6%	2,530	7.0	17	7	135.5	43

Season	Team
2026	Michigan State	41	−14	−0.3	1	13
2025	Michigan State	31	−59	−1.9	1	16
2024	Michigan State	--	--	--	--	--
Career		72	−73	−1.0	2	16

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2026 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	Grade	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	SK	RUSH	Note
Wk 1	W 30-20vs Toledo	Solid	26/34	247	1	0	7.3	87.3	3	-5	Season-high 247 yds
Wk 2	W 35-7vs Eastern Michigan	Shaky	12/20	170	2	0	8.5	85.1	2	14
Wk 3	L 10-27@ No. 3 Notre Dame	Solid	9/17	123	0	2	7.2	36.0	3	-20
Wk 4	L 13-31vs Nebraska	Solid	18/26	208	0	1	8.0	46.9	4	-24
Wk 5	L 3-31@ Wisconsin	Rough	15/32	103	0	0	3.2	57.0	1	7
Wk 6	L 37-38vs Illinois	Solid	22/26	196	2	0	7.5	76.4	2	-3
Wk 7	L 21-24vs No. 25 Northwestern	Solid	19/30	216	2	0	7.2	66.3	1	17
Total			121/185	1263	7	3	6.8	—	16	-14

The season, game by game

Highs and lows

Only games with 20 or more plays count for best and lowest.
Best by our grade	Toledo	W 30-20 · Graded solid · 247 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT · Rush 6 for -5 · Sacked 3
Lowest by our grade	at Wisconsin	L 3-31 · Graded rough · 103 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · Rush 4 for 7 · Sacked 1
Biggest game	at Notre Dame	No. 3 at kickoff · L 10-27 · Graded solid · 123 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT · Rush 8 for -20 · Sacked 3

Where he ranks

Stat	His	Nation	Big Ten
Passing yards	1,263	100th of 370	13th of 50
Yards an attempt	6.8	T-114th of 152	T-19th of 22
Touchdown passes	7	T-103rd of 370	T-17th of 50
Passer rating	132.0	103rd of 152	17th of 22
Completion percentage	65.4	T-55th of 152	8th of 22
Rushing yards	-14	T-344th of 370	T-44th of 50
Rushing touchdowns	1	T-117th of 370	T-14th of 50

Counting stats rank all FBS quarterbacks with a pass attempt; the rates rank those with at least 10 attempts a game.

All Big Ten quarterbacks

Rk	Quarterback	Yards	TD	INT	Att	Y/A
1	Jayden Maiava	2,525	20	5	296	8.5
2	Julian Sayin	2,007	19	4	192	10.5
3	Ryan Browne	1,964	11	5	250	7.9
4	Aidan Chiles	1,898	13	1	202	9.4
5	Josh Hoover	1,860	19	2	206	9.0
6	Rocco Becht	1,839	13	5	234	7.9
7	Anthony Colandrea	1,824	15	7	263	6.9
8	Malik Washington	1,805	9	7	289	6.2
9	Katin Houser	1,663	13	5	216	7.7
10	Drake Lindsey	1,592	10	6	259	6.1
11	Demond Williams Jr.	1,495	9	3	187	8.0
12	Colton Joseph	1,346	11	5	187	7.2
13	Alessio Milivojevic	1,263	7	3	185	6.8
14	Hank Brown	1,190	8	3	169	7.0
15	Dylan Raiola	1,097	9	2	145	7.6
16	Dylan Lonergan	1,066	10	6	127	8.4
17	Nico Iamaleava	982	4	4	116	8.5
18	Dante Moore	926	9	0	99	9.4
19	Bryce Underwood	924	5	6	124	7.5
20	Elijah Brown	714	7	3	99	7.2
21	Ty Dieffenbach	683	3	1	100	6.8
22	AJ Surace	662	7	5	83	8.0
23	Tommy Carr	503	2	1	68	7.4
24	Jeremy Hecklinski	472	4	2	67	7.0
25	Luke Fahey	463	3	2	51	9.1
26	Grant Wilson	230	3	0	22	10.5
27	Brock Thomas	228	1	1	40	5.7
28	Michael Clayton II	172	4	0	26	6.6
29	Jonas Williams	126	0	1	14	9.0
30	Alex Manske	102	0	0	14	7.3
31	Evans Chuba	96	1	0	14	6.9
32	Ryan Hopkins	93	0	1	13	7.2
33	TJ Lateef	82	1	0	11	7.5
34	Leo Hannan	67	0	1	15	4.5
35	Cardell Williams	63	1	0	7	9.0
36	Cam Fancher	59	0	1	11	5.4
37	Tavien St. Clair	52	1	1	7	7.4
38	Max Shikenjanski	50	0	0	3	16.7
39	Sean Ashenfelder	50	0	1	10	5.0
40	Kayd Coffman	42	1	1	10	4.2
41	Jack Capaldi	35	0	0	2	17.5
42	Brady Palmer	34	0	0	6	5.7
43	Akili Smith Jr.	31	0	0	4	7.8
44	Jimmy Sullivan	13	0	0	4	3.2
45	Tyler Cherry	10	0	0	3	3.3
46	Connor Barry	8	0	0	2	4.0
47	Carson Boyd	5	0	0	1	5.0
48	Madden Iamaleava	0	0	0	1	0.0
49	Nicco Marchiol	0	0	0	1	0.0
50	Daniel Kaelin	-1	0	0	2	-0.5

Sorted by passing yards. Gray: under 10 attempts a game, so not ranked on yards an attempt.

Opponents faced, by strength

Ratings of the games shown run from -15 to +25 points against an average team (SP+ rating of each opponent).

Pass targets

Bullard and Mccray saw 68 of the 185 charted throws.

Receiver	Targets	Catches	Yards	Throw depth	After catch
Rodney Bullard Jr.	35	21	253	11.8	2.5
Chrishon Mccray	33	25	243	7.8	4.0
Jayden Savoury	33	24	259	5.3	6.0
Fredrick Moore	32	19	207	8.4	3.1
Jaziun Patterson	9	7	47	1.8	4.6
11 others	38	25	269	6.2	4.2
No receiver charted	5	All three interceptions are among these

Play by play: 185 passes, 121 caught, 1,278 yards. Throw depth: average air yards per target. After catch: average yards after the catch per catch. Bar: targets; the blue part was caught.

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

121/185 (65.4%) · 7 TD · 3 INT

185 of 185 attempts matched to play-by-play

182 of 185 attempts charted for true throw depth

Adjusted ANY/A

5.68129 of 185 QBs

Sack rate

8.4%155 of 185 QBs

Sacked on 8.4% of dropbacks (155 of 185) and Adjusted ANY/A trails the field (129 of 185).

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

10% of attempts (19)

84%comp

Air -3.2 · YAC 8.1 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

59% of attempts (108)

70%comp1 INT

Air 4.4 · YAC 3.7 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

21% of attempts (39)

54%comp1 INT

Air 13.5 · YAC 2.3 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

9% of attempts (16)

31%comp1 INT

Air 29.2 · YAC 5.4 avg

Overall 65.4% completion on 185 attempts · 31% completion on 16 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Teams and coaches

2024Michigan State5-7HC: Jonathan Smith · Balanced, slow tempo

2025Michigan State4-8HC: Jonathan Smith · Balanced

2026Michigan State2-6HC: Pat Fitzgerald · Run-leaning

Our ratings

CFB Zeitgeist Score 35 (#111 of 145). Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

35Below cohort / limited sample #111 of 145 · through 7 games?

13 metrics · season cumulative

through 7 games score: the 2026 sample is not big enough yet. The rows below are 2026 so far. Concern: explosive rate (11th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Interception rate#51 / 157 · 68th pct

1.6%

Success rate#56 / 157 · 65th pct

44.5%

EPA / dropback#126 / 157 · 20th pct

0.02

Sack rate#133 / 157 · 16th pct

8.4%

Explosive rate#141 / 157 · 11th pct

7.0%

Box-score rates (8)

Interceptions#44 / 159 · 67th pct

Completion %#57 / 159 · 64th pct

65.4%

Pass yards#104 / 159 · 35th pct

1263

Fumbles lost#80 / 142 · 32nd pct

Rush TDs#98 / 159 · 30th pct

Pass TDs#108 / 159 · 28th pct

Yards / att#117 / 159 · 26th pct

6.8

Rush yards#141 / 159 · 11th pct

-14

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

21st → 20th percentile

Success rate

56th → 65th percentile

Explosive rate

43rd → 11th percentile

Sack rate

14th → 16th percentile

Interception rate

86th → 68th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Zeitgeist Passer Rating

2026 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.

After 179 dropbacks

43Zeitgeist Passer Rating74th of 119 FBS QBs

NCAA passer rating 132.0 87th of 119 FBS QBs

ZPR ranks this quarterback 13 places higher than passer rating does: the schedule adjustment credits the defenses faced.

Positive-play rate weight 24%

50.1%74th pct of FBS QBs

share of dropbacks that gained expected points · +0.4% schedule adj.

Yards per attempt weight 56%

7.4344th pct of FBS QBs

sacks excluded · +0.6 schedule adj.

Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)

9.5%4th pct of FBS QBs

the input passer rating cannot see · +0.6% schedule adj.

Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (21 of 200 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. How ZPR is built.

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2026 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home5g	207	1.4	7.7	0.2
Road2g	113	0.0	5.2	1.0

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-77g	180	1.0	7.0	0.4

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Pat Fitzgerald

Pass share

44.3%

222 pass / 279 run

Plays / game

62.6

8 games

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Michigan State’s quarterbacks

Alessio Milivojevic	Threw in 7 of 8 games · 121 of 185, 1,263 yds, 7 TD, 3 INT · 6.8 yards an attempt on 185 attempts · ran for -14 yds, 1 TD
Leo Hannan	Threw in 1 of 8 games · 9 of 15, 67 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT · 4.5 yards an attempt on 15 attempts · ran for -7 yds, 0 TD
Cam Fancher	Threw in 4 of 8 games · 8 of 11, 59 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT · 5.4 yards an attempt on 11 attempts · ran for 27 yds, 1 TD
Kayd Coffman	Threw in 1 of 8 games · 4 of 10, 42 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · 4.2 yards an attempt on 10 attempts · ran for -16 yds, 0 TD

Box score. Every quarterback on the team who has thrown a pass this season.

Who threw, quarter by quarter

Who threw in each quarter. Blue: Alessio Milivojevic. Gray: Cam Fancher, Kayd Coffman, Leo Hannan. From the play by play.

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTToledoEastern Michigan@ Notre DameNebraska@ WisconsinIllinoisNorthwestern@ UCLA

Awards

Player standing · 2026

Starter

185 pass attempts and 41 carries in 7 games, fewer passes and runs a game than most FBS quarterbacks who play every week.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score

35 · #111 of 145 QBs · through 7 games

Three-star recruit. Now #111 at the position.

2026 outlook

Outside shot for All-Big Ten

Based on 2025: #18 of 19 Big Ten QBs

How the All-Big Ten base rate is computed

A base rate for the rank, not a forecast of this player: 22% of returning players who ranked #11–20 at their position in their conference made an all-conference team the next season (95% confidence interval 19–25%).

Alessio Milivojevic

Style of play

This week

What’s being said

His most important play this season

In the news this week

What they’re talking about

In the news this season

What they’re talking about

Week by week

In the news across his career

What fans said

Latest stories

In the game threads

Where to follow

Career stats

Game log

The season, game by game

Highs and lows

Where he ranks

Pass targets

Passing profile

Teams and coaches

Our ratings

Splits

Michigan State’s quarterbacks

Who threw, quarter by quarter

Awards

Starter

Three seasons at Michigan State

2024