Utah Tech at UC Davis

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Utah Tech
1-8 Lost last game
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UC Davis
5-4 Lost last game
Sat, Nov 7 · 7:00 PM ET · Aggie StadiumAdd to calendar: Google · other

Utah Tech (1‑8) travels to UC Davis (5‑4). No market line yet; the model gives UC Davis a 81% shot.

How they got here

Last three games

Utah Tech · 1-8

Rated 237th in our preseason ratings, 247th now.

1-2 in its last three, including a 17-point win over Cal Poly as a 15.5-point underdog.

L 27-34 vs Idaho State No. 138 of 668 teams

lost by 7 as a 16.5-point underdog

Utah Tech lost 27-34 vs Idaho State. Chance to win started at 33%, low under 1%, high 74%.

W 43-26 @ Cal Poly No. 228 of 668 teams

won by 17 as a 15.5-point underdog

Utah Tech won 43-26 at Cal Poly. Chance to win started at 10%, low 4%, high better than 99%.

L 14-30 @ Portland State No. 244 of 668 teams

lost by 16 as a 2.5-point underdog

Utah Tech lost 14-30 at Portland State. Chance to win started at 37%, low under 1%, high 46%.

L 33-46 vs Southern Utah No. 167 of 668 teams

lost by 13 as a 10.5-point underdog

Utah Tech lost 33-46 vs Southern Utah. Chance to win started at 30%, low under 1%, high 52%.

L 13-37 @ Northern Colorado No. 244 of 668 teams

lost by 24 as a 7.5-point underdog

L 23-35 vs Northern Arizona No. 158 of 668 teams

lost by 12 as a 16.5-point underdog

Utah Tech lost 23-35 vs Northern Arizona. Chance to win started at 18%, low under 1%, high 19%.

L 14-35 @ Montana No. 105 of 668 teams

lost by 21 as a 35.5-point underdog

Utah Tech lost 14-35 at Montana. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 2%.

L 7-63 @ BYUTop 25 No. 9 of 668 teams

lost by 56 as a 50.5-point underdog

Utah Tech lost 7-63 at BYU. Never had a real chance.

L 0-54 vs Montana State No. 92 of 668 teams

lost by 54 as a 32.5-point underdog

Utah Tech lost 0-54 vs Montana State. Chance to win started at 4%, low under 1%, high 5%.

Last three games

UC Davis · 5-4

Rated 116th in our preseason ratings, 175th now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 14-38 @ Weber State No. 164 of 668 teams

lost by 24 as a 1.5-point favorite

UC Davis lost 14-38 at Weber State. Chance to win started at 47%, low under 1%, high 53%.

W 33-6 vs Northern Colorado No. 239 of 668 teams

won by 27 as a 9.5-point favorite

UC Davis won 33-6 vs Northern Colorado. Chance to win started at 81%, low 80%, high better than 99%.

L 17-38 @ Southern Utah No. 156 of 668 teams

lost by 21 as a 4.5-point favorite

UC Davis lost 17-38 at Southern Utah. Chance to win started at 52%, low under 1%, high 83%.

W 49-38 vs Eastern Washington No. 196 of 668 teams

won by 11 as an 8.5-point favorite

UC Davis won 49-38 vs Eastern Washington. Chance to win started at 73%, low 72%, high better than 99%.

L 22-62 vs Montana No. 107 of 668 teams

lost by 40 as a 3-point favorite

UC Davis lost 22-62 vs Montana. Chance to win started at 65%, low under 1%, high 67%.

W 45-7 vs Stetson No. 259 of 668 teams

won by 38 as a 47.5-point favorite

UC Davis won 45-7 vs Stetson. Chance to win started at better than 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

L 10-56 @ SMUTop 25 No. 12 of 668 teams

lost by 46 as a 32.5-point underdog

UC Davis lost 10-56 at SMU. Chance to win started at 2%, low under 1%, high 3%.

W 49-17 @ San Diego No. 151 of 668 teams

won by 32 as a 14.5-point favorite

UC Davis won 49-17 at San Diego. Chance to win started at 81%, low 49%, high better than 99%.

W 31-24 @ Portland State No. 242 of 668 teams

won by 7 as a 25.5-point favorite

What’s at stake

Utah Tech

  • A win would be one of Utah Tech’s biggest of the season — a 72-spot gap in the power ratings.

UC Davis

  • UC Davis is still shaking off a 24-point loss.

See this week’s biggest postseason implications ›

The series

UC Davis leads the series 3-0

3 meetings since 2021 · UC Davis has won the last 3

  • 2025UC Davis 31-24
  • 2024UC Davis 32-14
  • 2021UC Davis 60-27

Home field

UC Davis is worth +8.3 points (±9.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 98th percentile.

67% at home, 23% on the road against FBS opponents (2-1 home, 3-10 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +6.0 at home vs. away over 55 games — inside the ±8.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 458 miles to get here.

Week by week

UC Davis

Wk 4: L 22-62 vs Montana▼40MontanaWk 5: W 49-38 vs Eastern Washington▲11E. Washi…Wk 7: L 17-38 at Southern Utah▼21S. UtahWk 8: W 33-6 vs Northern Colorado▲27N. Color…Wk 9: L 14-38 at Weber State▼24Weber St.
  • Wk 4Lvs Montana22-62
  • Wk 5Wvs Eastern Washington49-38
  • Wk 7Lat Southern Utah17-38
  • Wk 8Wvs Northern Colorado33-6
  • Wk 9Lat Weber State14-38

Utah Tech

Wk 4: L 13-37 at Northern Colorado▼24N. Color…Wk 5: L 33-46 vs Southern Utah▼13S. UtahWk 6: L 14-30 at Portland State▼16Portland…Wk 8: W 43-26 at Cal Poly▲17Cal PolyWk 9: L 27-34 vs Idaho State▼7Idaho St.
  • Wk 4Lat Northern Colorado13-37
  • Wk 5Lvs Southern Utah33-46
  • Wk 6Lat Portland State14-30
  • Wk 8Wat Cal Poly43-26
  • Wk 9Lvs Idaho State27-34

Power rating by week

UC Davis is rated 4.9 points ahead as of week 10. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-1-8-15Wk 0Wk 5Wk 10UC DavisUtah Tech

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.