Pittsburgh beats Georgia Tech 34-11

Georgia Tech2-611
Pittsburgh6-334Final
Sat, Oct 31 · Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, Pa. · Crowd 42,904ESPN2

Pittsburgh beat Georgia Tech 34-11.

We had Pittsburgh favored. It won.

Next: Georgia Tech vs Louisville, Sat Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET · Georgia Tech underdog by 14.5

Next: Pittsburgh vs Florida State, Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET

I think our o-line is actually so bad we broke Mendoza.
A Georgia Tech fan

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Pittsburgh an 83% chance, and the closing betting line (Pittsburgh was a 9.5-point favorite) put it at 78%.

Favored the whole way: Pittsburgh never fell below 78%.

Georgia Tech never had better than a 22% chance.

FinalPittsburgh 34-11 Georgia TechPittsburgh wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q496% at halfPittsburghWon34-11ScoresPittsburghG. TechPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quiet
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q496% at halfPittsburghWon34-11ScoresPittsbu…G. TechPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quiet
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q44% at halfPittsburghLowest 0%Lost11-34ScoresG. TechPittsburghGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quiet
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q44% at halfPittsburghLowest 0%Lost11-34ScoresG. TechPittsbu…Georgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudest stretchGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: loudGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: steadyGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietGeorgia Tech fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: steadyPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quietPittsburgh fans: quiet

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

unfortunately one of the funniest turnovers i've ever seen

Q2 0:38 · r/CFB game thread

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q1 5:24Georgia Tech fans abandon the game to watch the WNBA finals8pm EST, I'm going to put the WNBA final on and support the Atlanta Dream.r/CFB game thread
  2. Q2 11:39Georgia Tech fans blame the offensive line for Mendoza's sacks and fumblesI think our o-line is actually so bad we broke Mendoza.r/CFB game threadi think mendoza is frustrated w the line and giving up a bit lolr/CFB game thread
  3. Q2 10:01Georgia Tech fans blame coach Key for hiring unqualified staff and poor offensive line playhe’s pulled a dabo and hired his unqualified friends which is dragging down the whole teamr/CFB game threadHard to blame him. Frustrating thing is watching him transfer out liver/CFB game thread
  4. Q2 6:54Georgia Tech fans despair as Mendoza's run is overturned and Pitt scoresless than fifty total yards for tech yeah i’m sickenedr/CFB game threadThat’s a crazy call to make without looking at a view where you can actually see the ballr/CFB game thread
  5. Q2 0:38A player fumbled the ball in a funny way.
  6. Q3 15:00Mendoza fumbles, Pitt recovers; GT fans demand benchingYou have got to bench him now. Even if his name is Bobby Dodd Heismanr/CFB game thread
Pittsburgh’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Pittsburgh -9.5), at 82% for Pittsburgh (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a Pittsburgh or Georgia Tech flair (107 and 286); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Every drive

Pittsburgh scored on 6 of its 17 drives; Georgia Tech on 2 of its 16.

Pittsburgh’s drives are teal, Georgia Tech’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Pittsburgh: Punt, from 75 yards out to 42PuntGeorgia Tech: Punt, from 97 yards out to 98PuntPittsburgh: Field goal, from 31 yards out to 27Field goalGeorgia Tech: Punt, from 75 yards out to 57PuntPittsburgh: Touchdown, from 86 yards out to 0TouchdownQ2Georgia Tech: Punt, from 85 yards out to 80PuntPittsburgh: Punt, from 52 yards out to 53PuntGeorgia Tech: Punt, from 82 yards out to 89PuntPittsburgh: Fumble, from 64 yards out to 0FumbleGeorgia Tech: Turned over on downs, from 80 yards out to 61DownsPittsburgh: Touchdown, from 39 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia Tech: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72PuntPittsburgh: Punt, from 76 yards out to 72PuntGeorgia Tech: Turned over on downs, from 57 yards out to 51DownsPittsburgh: Fumble, from 49 yards out to 38FumbleGeorgia Tech: Field goal, from 62 yards out to 31Field goalPittsburgh: End of half, from 75 yards out to 76End of halfQ3Georgia Tech: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 43DownsPittsburgh: Punt, from 57 yards out to 55PuntGeorgia Tech: Punt, from 95 yards out to 79PuntPittsburgh: Punt, from 59 yards out to 58PuntGeorgia Tech: Punt, from 68 yards out to 66PuntPittsburgh: Field goal, from 88 yards out to 5Field goalGeorgia Tech: Fumble, from 74 yards out to 85FumbleQ4Pittsburgh: Turned over on downs, from 15 yards out to 1DownsGeorgia Tech: Punt, from 99 yards out to 97PuntPittsburgh: Touchdown, from 30 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia Tech: Fumble, from 75 yards out to 21FumblePittsburgh: Interception, from 79 yards out to 75InterceptionGeorgia Tech: Touchdown, from 18 yards out to 0TouchdownPittsburgh: Touchdown, from 44 yards out to 0TouchdownGeorgia Tech: Turned over on downs, from 68 yards out to 3DownsPittsburgh: End of game, from 97 yards out to 87End of game

When fans got loud

Busy

It was the second quarter that had fans talking the most.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.

FirstSecondThirdFourthPittsburgh fansGeorgia Tech fansusual

Box score

Pittsburgh 34, Georgia Tech 11

Pittsburgh covered −9.5 by 13.5. The total, 45, stayed under 54.5.

Georgia TechPittsburghTotal yardsGeorgia Tech 238Pittsburgh 461238461Passing yardsGeorgia Tech 143Pittsburgh 180143180Rushing yardsGeorgia Tech 95Pittsburgh 28195281First downsGeorgia Tech 17Pittsburgh 261726TurnoversGeorgia Tech 2Pittsburgh 323Time of possessionGeorgia Tech 25:39Pittsburgh 34:2125:3934:21
Team totalsGeorgia TechPittsburgh
Total yards238461
Passing22 of 43, 143 yds13 of 32, 180 yds
Rushing33 for 95 yds55 for 281 yds
First downs1726
Third down3 of 186 of 17
Fourth down1 of 51 of 2
Turnovers23
Penalties8 for 32 yds10 for 95 yds
Time of possession25:3934:21

Georgia Tech leaders

  • Passing Alberto Mendoza 16 of 25, 81 yds
  • Rushing Grady Adamson 6 for 63 yds, 1 TD; Justice Haynes 11 for 33 yds
  • Receiving Gavin Harris 3 for 41 yds; Jordan Allen 4 for 26 yds

Pittsburgh leaders

  • Passing Holden Geriner 13 of 30, 180 yds, 1 TD
  • Rushing Damon Ferguson Jr. 31 for 185 yds, 2 TD; La'Vell Wright 13 for 52 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Censere Lee 3 for 56 yds; Cataurus Hicks 3 for 49 yds, 1 TD

No rain and calm

53° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 4 mph from the east, gusts to 12

October game-day temperatures at Acrisure Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Pittsburgh favoredGeorgia Tech favored100%Win chancePittsburghRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Pittsburgh favoredGeorgia Tech favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:53 left7:36 p.m.
Georgia Tech 0, Pittsburgh 0 · Pittsburgh 82% to win
no rain · wind 2 mph from the north · 53°
Ferguson 7-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Pittsburgh/alleghen airport, 8.1 miles away, and Pittsburgh International airport, 12 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games

Georgia Tech · 2-5

Rated 74th in our preseason ratings, 113th now, down 39 spots.

1-2 in its last three, including a 3-point win over Duke as a 4.5-point underdog.

L 27-34 @ Stanford No. 115 of 668 teams

lost by 7 as a 3-point favorite

Georgia Tech lost 27-34 at Stanford. Chance to win started at 51%, low 4%, high 84%.

W 44-11 vs Mercer No. 169 of 668 teams

won by 33 as a 38.5-point favorite

Georgia Tech won 44-11 vs Mercer. Chance to win started at 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

L 24-45 vs TennesseeTop 25 No. 30 of 668 teams

lost by 21 as a 12.5-point underdog

Georgia Tech lost 24-45 vs Tennessee. Chance to win started at 23%, low under 1%, high 38%.

L 13-14 vs Colorado No. 156 of 668 teams

lost by 1 as a 6.5-point favorite

Georgia Tech lost 13-14 vs Colorado. Chance to win started at 72%, low under 1%, high 88%.

Last three games

Pittsburgh · 5-3

Rated 47th in our preseason ratings, 50th now.

Three straight losses.

L 23-52 @ MiamiTop 25 No. 5 of 668 teams

lost by 29 as a 20.5-point underdog

Pittsburgh lost 23-52 at Miami. Chance to win started at 6%, low under 1%, high 7%.

W 59-0 vs Bucknell No. 247 of 668 teams

won by 59 as a 54.5-point favorite

Pittsburgh won 59-0 vs Bucknell. Never in doubt.

W 27-13 vs Syracuse No. 125 of 668 teams

won by 14 as a 10.5-point favorite

Pittsburgh won 27-13 vs Syracuse. Chance to win started at 87%, low 74%, high better than 99%.

W 12-7 vs UCF No. 93 of 668 teams

won by 5 as a 7.5-point favorite

Week by week

Pittsburgh

Wk 4: W 59-0 vs Bucknell▲59BucknellWk 5: W 35-33 at Virginia Tech▲2Virginia…Wk 6: L 17-21 vs North Carolina▼4N. Carol…Wk 7: L 21-27 at Boston College▼6B. Colle…Wk 8: L 23-52 at Miami▼29Miami
  • Wk 4Wvs Bucknell59-0
  • Wk 5Wat Virginia Tech35-33
  • Wk 6Lvs North Carolina17-21
  • Wk 7Lat Boston College21-27
  • Wk 8Lat Miami23-52

Georgia Tech

Wk 3: W 44-11 vs Mercer▲33MercerWk 4: L 27-34 at Stanford▼7StanfordWk 6: W 28-25 vs Duke▲3DukeWk 7: L 24-34 at Virginia Tech▼10Virginia…Wk 8: L 27-49 vs Boston College▼22B. Colle…
  • Wk 3Wvs Mercer44-11
  • Wk 4Lat Stanford27-34
  • Wk 6Wvs Duke28-25
  • Wk 7Lat Virginia Tech24-34
  • Wk 8Lvs Boston College27-49

Power rating by week

Pittsburgh is rated 6.8 points ahead as of week 8. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

61-4Wk 0Wk 4Wk 8PittsburghGeorgia Tech

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Georgia Tech’s explosive plays against Pittsburgh, 72 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Georgia Tech’s explosive plays against Pittsburgh’s defense

    72 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Georgia Tech offense, 73rd percentile · Pittsburgh defense, 1st

  2. Georgia Tech’s success rate against Pittsburgh’s defense

    54 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Georgia Tech offense, 42nd percentile · Pittsburgh defense, 96th

  3. Georgia Tech’s rushing EPA against Pittsburgh’s defense

    41 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Georgia Tech offense, 56th percentile · Pittsburgh defense, 97th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Georgia TechPittsburgh
EPA/play, offense
Georgia Tech · 45Pittsburgh · 56
EPA/play, defense
Georgia Tech ·…Pittsburgh · 79
Success rate, offense
Georgia Tech · 42Pittsburgh · 62
Success rate, defense
Georgia Tech · 21Pittsburgh · 96
Explosive-play rate, offense
Georgia Tech · 73Pittsburgh · 30
Explosive-play rate, defense
Georgia Tech · 57Pittsburgh · 1
Rush EPA, offense
Georgia Tech · 56Pittsburgh · 45
Rush EPA, defense
Georgia Tech · 12Pittsburgh · 97
Pass EPA, offense
Georgia Tech · 42Pittsburgh · 46
Pass EPA, defense
Georgia Tech · 34Pittsburgh · 49

The series

Pittsburgh leads the series 12-6

18 meetings since 1918 · Pittsburgh won the last meeting

Pittsburgh wonGeorgia Tech won1918: Pittsburgh by 321919: Pittsburgh by 101920: Pittsburgh by 71955: Georgia Tech by 71956: Georgia Tech by 71974: Pittsburgh by 101976: Pittsburgh by 282013: Georgia Tech by 112014: Georgia Tech by 282015: Pittsburgh by 32016: Pittsburgh by 32017: Georgia Tech by 182018: Pittsburgh by 52019: Pittsburgh by 102020: Pittsburgh by 142021: Pittsburgh by 312022: Georgia Tech by 52025: Pittsburgh by 1419182025
  • 2025Pittsburgh 42-28Pittsburgh won 42-28 at Georgia Tech. Chance to win started at 36%, low 33%, high 99%.
  • 2022Georgia Tech 26-21Pittsburgh lost 21-26 vs Georgia Tech. Chance to win started at 92%, low under 1%, high 94%.
  • 2021Pittsburgh 52-21Pittsburgh won 52-21 at Georgia Tech. Chance to win started at 60%, low 54%, high better than 99%.
  • 2020Pittsburgh 34-20Pittsburgh won 34-20 at Georgia Tech. Chance to win started at 76%, low 51%, high 99%.
  • 2019Pittsburgh 20-10Pittsburgh won 20-10 at Georgia Tech. Chance to win started at 72%, low 72%, high 99%.

Each line is Pittsburgh’s chance to win through that meeting.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Pittsburgh fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (20th percentile among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

50-50Model 83% · Line 78%Pittsburgh fans · 20thGeorgia Tech fans · 4thGeorgia TechPittsburgh

Pittsburgh favored by 9.5 · Total 54.5

How games like this usually go

Pittsburgh by 9.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 448 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 2.5 points toward Pittsburgh.

opened −7now −9.5

The total rose 2 points.

opened 52.5now 54.5

Spread: −7 → −9.5 · Total: 52.5 → 54.5

The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds

Home field

Pittsburgh is worth +2.9 points (±3.8) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 26th percentile.

63% at home, 50% on the road against FBS opponents (32-19 home, 22-22 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.7 at home vs. away over 103 games — inside the ±5.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 520 miles to get here.

Last meeting in our History pages

Our History pages cover 3 of their meetings since 2016.

Where next

Conference standings

Going into this game: place in the conference, then conference record.

Full ACC standings