Purdue beats Indiana State 44-19
Team pages: Indiana State · Purdue
Purdue beat Indiana State 44-19. Share this game
We had Purdue favored. It won.
Next: Indiana State beat Eastern Illinois 42-35, Sat Sep 12
Top comment in the game thread
Watching Terrell get stuffed between the tackles repeatedly against Indiana State is brutal
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Purdue an 80% chance, and the closing betting line (Purdue was a 35.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.
Purdue led by 7 after the first quarter and by 10 at the half.
Favored the whole way: Purdue never fell below 98%.
Indiana State never had better than a 2% chance.
Purdue · Q4 14:48Purdue 44-19 Indiana State
Purdue wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Indiana State 19-44 PurdueIndiana State lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
- Q1 7:41Indiana State scores a field goal to tie the game at 3
Ya know what BTN if I ever get the itch to watch womens field hockey ill be sure to buy that subscription thanks
r/CFB game thread - Q1 0:47Fans debate if Terrell fumbled as Browne scores touchdown to lead 10-3Quoted at the top of the page.
That’s a fumble..
r/CFB game thread
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Purdue -35.5), at 99% for Purdue (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. The gray band is r/CFB game-thread activity, its loudest stretches in gold.Watch the plays
The bar and the arrow show Purdue’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
- Q1, 0:04Browne 6-yd TD pass to MagwoodPurdue goes ahead 10-3Q1, 0:04 · Purdue 10, Indiana State 310-3score after the play10-3score after the play▶Watch from this playCFB ON FOX
- Q2, 3:35Browne sacked for a 8-yd lossQ2, 3:35 · Purdue 13, Indiana State 613-6score after the play13-6score after the play▶Watch from this playCFB ON FOX
- Q3, 10:50Ijeboi 1-yd TD runPurdue leads 23-6Q3, 10:50 · Purdue 23, Indiana State 623-6score after the play23-6score after the play▶Watch from this playCFB ON FOX
- Q3, 8:28Browne 7-yd TD pass to HarrisPurdue leads 30-6Q3, 8:28 · Purdue 30, Indiana State 630-6score after the play30-6score after the play▶Watch from this playCFB ON FOX
- Q3, 0:21Browne 18-yd TD pass to WaseemPurdue leads 37-6Q3, 0:21 · Purdue 37, Indiana State 637-6score after the play37-6score after the play▶Watch from this playCFB ON FOX
- Q4, 14:48Allen intercepted by Saunders at the ISU35 and returned for a TDPurdue leads 44-6Q4, 14:48 · Purdue 44, Indiana State 644-6score after the play44-6score after the play▶Watch from this playCFB ON FOX
- Q4, 12:44Allen 45-yd TD pass to Reedcuts it to 44-12Q4, 12:44 · Purdue 44, Indiana State 1244-12score after the play44-12score after the play▶Watch from this playCFB ON FOX
Every drive
Purdue scored on 7 of its 10 drives; Indiana State on 4 of its 10.
Purdue’s drives are teal, Indiana State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
“Historically they're pretty bad, though. One playoff appearance this century and like 4 winning seasons.”
How fans reacted
Steady
The first quarter is when fans got loud.
The jump was steady; the crowd was quiet.
Box score
Purdue 44, Indiana State 19
Indiana State covered +35.5 by 10.5. The total, 63, went over 55.5.
| Team totals | Indiana State | Purdue |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 284 | 523 |
| Passing | 12 of 22, 218 yds | 27 of 34, 346 yds |
| Rushing | 24 for 66 yds | 40 for 177 yds |
| First downs | 12 | 28 |
| Third down | 4 of 12 | 6 of 11 |
| Fourth down | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| Penalties | 7 for 67 yds | 9 for 85 yds |
| Time of possession | 22:38 | 37:22 |
Indiana State leaders
- Passing Brady Allen 3 of 5, 117 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Elijah Owens 11 for 60 yds; Max McCool 5 for 10 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Jayden Reed 5 for 73 yds, 1 TD; Thomas Amankwaa 1 for 55 yds
Purdue leaders
- Passing Ryan Browne 23 of 29, 317 yds, 3 TD
- Rushing Fame Ijeboi 11 for 87 yds, 1 TD; Antonio Harris 6 for 32 yds
- Receiving Asaad Waseem 6 for 107 yds, 1 TD; Jesse Watson 2 for 57 yds
Feels like 89° to 103° through the game
92° at kickoff · feels like 89° to 103° · no rain recorded
A feels-like 103° is hotter than the peak in 99% of games since 2018.
Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.
Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 62 other games played at Ross-Ade Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 72°, with about 7 in 10 games between 63° and 80°.
September game-day temperatures at Ross-Ade Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Lafayette airport, 1.6 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Indiana State · 3-9
Rated 219th in our preseason ratings, 219th now.
Three straight losses.
L 17-31 vs Murray State #257 of 667
lost by 14 as a 13-point favorite
L 29-48 @ Youngstown State #142 of 667
lost by 19 as a 20.5-point underdog
L 20-52 vs Illinois State #136 of 667
lost by 32 as a 10.5-point underdog
W 24-12 @ South Dakota State #117 of 667
won by 12 as a 31-point underdog
L 17-46 @ North Dakota #75 of 667
lost by 29 as a 30-point underdog
L 7-38 vs North Dakota State #66 of 667
lost by 31 as a 33.5-point underdog
L 14-19 vs South Dakota #136 of 667
lost by 5 as a 15.5-point underdog
L 27-55 @ Southern Illinois #113 of 667
L 20-63 @ Montana #113 of 667
lost by 43 as a 21-point underdog
L 0-73 @ IndianaTop 25 #26 of 667
lost by 73 as a 47.5-point underdog
W 38-14 vs Eastern Illinois #229 of 667
won by 24 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 41-24 vs McKendree #356 of 667
Last three games · 2025 season
Purdue · 2-10
Rated 119th in our preseason ratings.
L 3-56 vs IndianaTop 25 #4 of 667
lost by 53 as a 28.5-point underdog
L 13-49 @ WashingtonTop 25 #19 of 667
lost by 36 as a 14.5-point underdog
L 10-34 vs Ohio StateTop 25 #1 of 667
lost by 24 as a 30.5-point underdog
L 16-21 @ MichiganTop 25 #17 of 667
lost by 5 as a 22.5-point underdog
L 24-27 vs Rutgers #77 of 667
lost by 3 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 0-19 @ Northwestern #58 of 667
lost by 19 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 20-27 @ Minnesota #59 of 667
lost by 7 as a 7.5-point underdog
L 27-43 vs IllinoisTop 25 #44 of 667
lost by 16 as a 7.5-point underdog
L 30-56 @ Notre DameTop 25 #3 of 667
lost by 26 as a 24.5-point underdog
L 17-33 vs USCTop 25 #20 of 667
lost by 16 as a 20.5-point underdog
W 34-17 vs Southern Illinois #183 of 667
won by 17 as a 22.5-point favorite
W 31-0 vs Ball State #176 of 667
won by 31 as a 16.5-point favorite
The series
Purdue leads the series 7-0
7 meetings since 1926 · Purdue has won the last 7
- 2024Purdue 49-0
- 2022Purdue 56-0
- 2015Purdue 38-14
- 2013Purdue 20-14
- 2006Purdue 60-35
Each line is Purdue’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Purdue’s chances here.
Purdue favored by 35.5 · Total 55.5
How games like this usually go
Purdue by 35.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The spread moved 1 point toward Purdue.
The total fell 1 point.
Spread: −34.5 → −35.5 · Total: 56.5 → 55.5
Home field
Purdue is worth +1.5 points (±4.3) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom tenth of FBS, 9th percentile.
37% at home, 34% on the road against FBS opponents (19-32 home, 14-27 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -1.6 at home vs. away over 96 games — inside the ±6.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 70 miles to get here.