UConn beats Massachusetts 35-16
Team pages: Massachusetts · UConn
UConn beat Massachusetts 35-16. Share this game
We had UConn favored. It won.
Next: Massachusetts vs Ball State, Wed Nov 4
Next: UConn at Air Force, Sat Oct 31 · 3:00 PM ET · UConn underdog by 2.5
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave UConn a 69% chance, and the closing betting line (UConn was a 12.5-point favorite) put it at 84%.
Favored the whole way: UConn never fell below 74%.
Massachusetts never had better than a 25% chance.
UConn · Q3 6:44UConn 35-16 Massachusetts
UConn wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Massachusetts 16-35 UConnMassachusetts lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
UConn up 28-3 in the 3rd quarter vs a team from Massachusetts...
What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
- Q2 1:16Bowers runs 70 yards for a touchdown, extending UConn's lead to 21-3
TOUCHDOWN JUG
r/CFB game thread - Q3 6:44UConn fans celebrate 28-3 lead while mocking Rutgers and New England sports
Connecticut is not part of New England because if we were, our college sports teams would suck ass
r/CFB game thread
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (UConn -12.5), at 85% for UConn (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. The gray band is r/CFB game-thread activity, its loudest stretches in gold.Every drive
UConn scored on 4 of its 13 drives; Massachusetts on 3 of its 13.
UConn’s drives are teal, Massachusetts’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
When fans got loud
Loud
Fans peaked in the second quarter.
The jump was loud; the crowd was quiet.
Box score
UConn 35, Massachusetts 16
UConn covered −12.5 by 6.5. The total, 51, stayed under 53.5.
| Team totals | Massachusetts | UConn |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 303 | 438 |
| Passing | 26 of 44, 250 yds | 14 of 19, 173 yds |
| Rushing | 22 for 53 yds | 46 for 265 yds |
| First downs | 14 | 21 |
| Third down | 2 of 14 | 4 of 12 |
| Fourth down | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
| Penalties | 10 for 100 yds | 11 for 100 yds |
| Time of possession | 25:45 | 34:15 |
Massachusetts leaders
- Passing William Watson III 22 of 38, 205 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing Elijah Faulkner 6 for 15 yds; Justin Williams-Thomas 3 for 12 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Joseph Griffin Jr. 4 for 77 yds; Curtis Kimmons IV 5 for 33 yds, 1 TD
UConn leaders
- Passing Kalieb Osborne 14 of 19, 173 yds, 2 TD
- Rushing Cyncir Bowers 15 for 131 yds, 1 TD; Kalieb Osborne 15 for 66 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Jediyah Willoughby 3 for 65 yds, 1 TD; Cam Abshire 1 for 42 yds
No rain and calm
47° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 2 mph from the southeast, gusts to 6
Colder than 9 in 10 of the 56 other games played at Pratt & Whitney Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 58°, with about 7 in 10 games between 48° and 65°.
October game-day temperatures at Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Hartford/brainard airport, 2.2 miles away, and Hartford/bradley airport, 13 miles away. Wind and rain are airport readings near the stadium, not on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games
Massachusetts · 4-3
Rated 258th in our preseason ratings, 146th now, up 112 spots.
Three straight losses.
Last three games
UConn · 3-3
Rated 128th in our preseason ratings, 100th now, up 28 spots.
1-2 in its last three, capped by a 14-point win over Temple as a 3.5-point underdog.
Week by week
UConn
- Wk 2Lvs Maryland14-38
- Wk 3Wat Southern Miss48-20
- Wk 4Lat Miami (OH)21-24
- Wk 5Lvs Syracuse41-42
- Wk 6Wat Temple34-20
Massachusetts
- Wk 3Wvs Stonehill36-14
- Wk 4Wat Sacramento State35-6
- Wk 5Lvs Eastern Michigan14-38
- Wk 6Lvs Miami (OH)19-20
- Wk 7Lat Buffalo18-25
Power rating by week
UConn is rated 3.5 points ahead as of week 7. Our power rating by week; higher is better.
Matchups
Biggest mismatch: Massachusetts’s explosive plays against UConn, 37 points
Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
Massachusetts’s explosive plays against UConn’s defense
Massachusetts offense, 34th percentile · UConn defense, 71st
Massachusetts’s passing EPA against UConn’s defense
Massachusetts offense, 59th percentile · UConn defense, 35th
Season profile, all the rows
Season profile
The series
UConn leads the series 6-4
10 meetings since 1899 · UConn has won the last 3
- 2024UConn 47-42
- 2023UConn 31-18
- 2022UConn 27-10
- 2021Massachusetts 27-13
- 2019UConn 56-35
Each line is UConn’s chance to win through that meeting. UConn is 0-2 in the meetings since 2018 that were still close in the fourth quarter.
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Massachusetts fans are in a better mood than UConn fans (82nd percentile vs 24th among FBS fanbases), even with UConn favored.
- Model · 69%
- Line · 84%
- UConn fans · 24th
- Massachusetts fans · 82nd
UConn favored by 12.5 · Total 53.5
How games like this usually go
UConn by 12.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 415 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 3 points toward Massachusetts.
The total rose 4 points.
Spread: −15.5 → −12.5 · Total: 49.5 → 53.5
The books’ cut: 4.3%, the margin built into the odds
Home field
UConn is worth +5.1 points (±5.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 67th percentile.
39% at home, 25% on the road against FBS opponents (15-23 home, 11-33 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.9 at home vs. away over 90 games — inside the ±6.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 43 miles to get here.