Air Force routs Duquesne 34-0
Air Force routed Duquesne 34-0. Share this game
We had Air Force favored. It won.
Next: Duquesne lost to Youngstown State 70-13, Sat Sep 12
Next: Air Force lost to North Dakota State 38-32, Sat Sep 12
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Air Force an 85% chance, and the closing betting line (Air Force was a 31.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.
Air Force led by 7 after the first quarter and by 20 at the half.
Air Force 34-0 Duquesne
Air Force wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
Duquesne 0-34 Air Force
Duquesne lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Air Force -31.5), at 98% for Air Force (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Air Force scored on 6 of its 9 drives; Duquesne on 0 of its 9.
Air Force’s drives are teal, Duquesne’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Air Force 34, Duquesne 0
Air Force covered −31.5 by 2.5. The total, 34, stayed under 55.5.
| Team totals | Duquesne | Air Force |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 107 | 450 |
| Passing | 9 of 22, 53 yds | 3 of 7, 19 yds |
| Rushing | 21 for 54 yds | 71 for 431 yds |
| First downs | 8 | 28 |
| Third down | 3 of 11 | 9 of 15 |
| Fourth down | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Penalties | 4 for 20 yds | 8 for 60 yds |
| Time of possession | 19:10 | 40:50 |
Duquesne leaders
- Passing Carson Camp 7 of 18, 42 yds, 2 INT
- Rushing Johness Davis 11 for 32 yds; Dazhaun Hopkins 5 for 15 yds
- Receiving Antwon Thomas 3 for 27 yds; Ryan Petras 3 for 16 yds
Air Force leaders
- Passing Liam Szarka 3 of 5, 19 yds
- Rushing Rocco Conti 10 for 74 yds; Kemper Hodges 6 for 72 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Matt Long 1 for 18 yds; Mason Hayes 1 for 1 yds
No rain through the game
85° at kickoff · no rain recorded
Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 57 other games played at Falcon Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 71°, with about 7 in 10 games between 58° and 80°.
September game-day temperatures at Falcon Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Air Force Academy airport, 2.5 miles away. The paler thunder bar is thunder reported in the vicinity of an airport. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Duquesne · 7-5
Rated 185th in our preseason ratings.
W 20-17 @ Robert Morris #238 of 667
won by 3 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 38-33 vs Central Connecticut #178 of 667
won by 5 as a 1.5-point underdog
L 11-29 @ Long Island University #174 of 667
lost by 18 as a 7-point favorite
L 13-24 @ Wagner #247 of 667
lost by 11 as a 23.5-point favorite
W 37-0 @ Mercyhurst #241 of 667
won by 37 as a 3-point favorite
W 52-7 vs Saint Francis #258 of 667
won by 45 as a 14.5-point favorite
W 34-14 vs Stonehill #244 of 667
won by 20 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 44-18 vs New Haven #264 of 667
won by 26 as an 18-point favorite
L 7-51 @ Akron #144 of 667
lost by 44 as a 10.5-point underdog
L 21-35 vs Lehigh #166 of 667
lost by 14 as a 7.5-point underdog
W 55-14 vs Lincoln (PA) #390 of 667
L 9-61 @ PittsburghTop 25 #67 of 667
lost by 52 as a 39.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Air Force · 4-8
Rated 80th in our preseason ratings.
W 42-21 @ Colorado State #195 of 667
won by 21 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 3-20 vs New Mexico #79 of 667
lost by 17 as a 3.5-point underdog
L 16-26 @ UConn #69 of 667
lost by 10 as a 7.5-point underdog
W 26-16 @ San José State #106 of 667
won by 10 as a 6.5-point underdog
L 17-20 vs Army #101 of 667
lost by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog
W 24-21 vs Wyoming #125 of 667
won by 3 as a 3.5-point favorite
L 48-51 @ UNLV #71 of 667
lost by 3 as a 7.5-point underdog
L 31-34 @ NavyTop 25 #82 of 667
lost by 3 as a 13.5-point underdog
L 35-44 vs Hawai'i #142 of 667
lost by 9 as a 6.5-point favorite
L 37-49 vs Boise StateTop 25 #53 of 667
lost by 12 as an 11.5-point underdog
L 30-49 @ Utah State #116 of 667
lost by 19 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 49-13 vs Bucknell #222 of 667
won by 36 as a 30.5-point favorite
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Air Force’s chances here.
Air Force favored by 31.5 · Total 55.5
How games like this usually go
Air Force by 31.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The spread moved 1 point toward Air Force.
The total fell 3 points.
Spread: −30.5 → −31.5 · Total: 58.5 → 55.5
The books’ cut: 3.2%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff
Hot and dry. Feels like 86° at kickoff.
Duquesne at Air Force · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Falcon Stadium, Colorado Springs
- 86°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 66weather score, Rough
- Roughestof the day's 6 kickoff times
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 6 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the roughest of the day's six kickoff times. At Falcon Stadium that day, a 7 pm or 8 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 66 at 11 am.
The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.
- 11 am: 66, Rough (this game)
- 4 pm: 82, Mixed
- 5 pm: 91, Comfortable
- 6 pm: 97, Comfortable
- 7 pm: 100, Ideal
- 8 pm: 100, Ideal
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
Air Force is worth +2.5 points (±3.4) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 23rd percentile.
63% at home, 51% on the road against FBS opponents (26-15 home, 22-21 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.7 at home vs. away over 92 games — inside the ±5.6 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
6,643 ft of altitude — real, and smaller than the folklore: high venues run a point or two better against the number, noisily. The visitors travel about 1,320 miles to get here.