Sacramento State routs Mississippi Valley State 52-0
Team pages: Mississippi Valley State · Sacramento State
Sacramento State routed Mississippi Valley State 52-0. Share this game
We had Sacramento State favored. It won.
Next: Mississippi Valley State beat Lincoln (PA) 31-20, Sat Sep 12
Next: Sacramento State lost to Fresno State 49-3, Sat Sep 12
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Sacramento State an 85% chance, and the closing betting line (Sacramento State was a 38.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.
Sacramento State led by 14 after the first quarter and by 31 at the half.
Sacramento State 52-0 Mississippi Valley State
Sacramento State wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.Mississippi Valley State 0-52 Sacramento StateMississippi Valley State lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (Sacramento State -38.5), at 99% for Sacramento State (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
Sacramento State scored on 9 of its 15 drives; Mississippi Valley State on 0 of its 14.
Sacramento State’s drives are teal, Mississippi Valley State’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
Sacramento State 52, Mississippi Valley State 0
Sacramento State covered −38.5 by 13.5. The total, 52, stayed under 56.5.
| Team totals | Mississippi Valley State | Sacramento State |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 147 | 453 |
| Passing | 9 of 19, 43 yds | 19 of 29, 250 yds |
| Rushing | 34 for 104 yds | 41 for 203 yds |
| First downs | 6 | 26 |
| Third down | 2 of 15 | 7 of 14 |
| Fourth down | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Penalties | 11 for 117 yds | 4 for 35 yds |
| Time of possession | 26:52 | 33:08 |
Mississippi Valley State leaders
- Passing Jordan Davis 3 of 6, 24 yds
- Rushing Dezmond Ray 3 for 36 yds; Norman Taylor 5 for 25 yds
- Receiving Jackson Hampton 1 for 18 yds; Dezmond Ray 1 for 8 yds
Sacramento State leaders
- Passing Jackson Sharman 18 of 28, 247 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT
- Rushing Daniel Swinney 8 for 58 yds, 1 TD; Jaylen Patterson 3 for 50 yds, 1 TD
- Receiving Matthew Coleman 6 for 141 yds, 3 TD; Jace Wilson 3 for 48 yds, 1 TD
No rain and calm
78° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 7 mph from the south-southwest, gusts to 17
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Sacramento/executiv airport, 5.2 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
Mississippi Valley State · 2-10
Rated 253rd in our preseason ratings, 253rd now.
1-2 in its last three, capped by a 4-point win over Florida A&M as a 13.5-point underdog.
W 35-31 vs Florida A&M #220 of 667
won by 4 as a 13.5-point underdog
L 6-59 @ Prairie View A&M #98 of 667
lost by 53 as a 29.5-point underdog
L 3-41 vs Alabama State #88 of 667
lost by 38 as a 29.5-point underdog
L 3-42 vs Jackson State #78 of 667
lost by 39 as a 27.5-point underdog
L 34-42 @ Bethune-Cookman #192 of 667
lost by 8 as a 22-point underdog
L 10-32 @ Alcorn State #210 of 667
lost by 22 as a 10.5-point underdog
W 49-0 vs Lincoln (CA) #463 of 667
L 25-45 @ Alabama A&M #205 of 667
lost by 20 as a 21-point underdog
L 20-23 vs Texas Southern #235 of 667
lost by 3 as a 13.5-point underdog
L 3-56 @ SE Louisiana #149 of 667
lost by 53 as a 32.5-point underdog
L 3-59 @ Tarleton State #105 of 667
lost by 56 as a 44.5-point underdog
L 29-34 vs Southern #206 of 667
lost by 5 as a 12.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
Sacramento State · 7-5
Rated 131st in our preseason ratings, 131st now.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 27-31 @ UC Davis #110 of 667
lost by 4 as a 5-point underdog
W 23-20 vs Idaho #160 of 667
won by 3 as a 7-point favorite
W 52-24 @ Portland State #253 of 667
won by 28 as a 20.5-point favorite
W 35-13 @ Eastern Washington #207 of 667
won by 22 as an 8.5-point favorite
L 35-49 vs Montana #85 of 667
lost by 14 as a 6-point underdog
W 40-35 vs Northern Colorado #185 of 667
won by 5 as a 15-point favorite
W 55-27 @ Weber State #218 of 667
won by 28 as an 8.5-point favorite
L 24-32 vs Cal Poly #166 of 667
lost by 8 as an 18-point favorite
W 45-16 vs Central Arkansas #186 of 667
won by 29 as a 15.5-point favorite
W 49-28 vs Mercyhurst #259 of 667
won by 21 as a 21.5-point favorite
L 17-20 @ Nevada #146 of 667
lost by 3 as a 9.5-point underdog
L 3-20 @ South Dakota State #86 of 667
lost by 17 as an 11.5-point underdog
Week by week
Sacramento State
- Wk 1Lat Eastern Michigan17-28
Mississippi Valley State
- Wk 1Lat Nicholls10-44
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on Sacramento State’s chances here.
Sacramento State favored by 38.5 · Total 56.5
How games like this usually go
Sacramento State by 38.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.
The market
The spread moved 3 points toward Sacramento State.
Spread: −35.5 → −38.5
Home field
Sacramento State has been 9.5 points worse (±6.8) at home than on the road since 2018 — worse at home, 0th percentile.
0% at home, 17% on the road against FBS opponents (0-3 home, 2-10 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -4.3 at home vs. away over 59 games — inside the ±7.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 1,763 miles to get here.