South Alabama beats SE Louisiana 39-14
Team pages: SE Louisiana · South Alabama
South Alabama beat SE Louisiana 39-14. Share this game
We had South Alabama favored. It won.
Next: SE Louisiana beat North Alabama 30-25, Sat Sep 12
How it swung
Before kickoff, our ratings gave South Alabama an 88% chance, and the closing betting line (South Alabama was a 13.5-point favorite) put it at 86%.
Favored the whole way: South Alabama never fell below 89%.
SE Louisiana never had better than a 10% chance.
South Alabama 39-14 SE Louisiana
South Alabama wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
SE Louisiana 14-39 South Alabama
SE Louisiana lostMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
No single play moved the chance by 20 points.
How to read this chart
Starts from the pregame line (South Alabama -13.5), at 90% for South Alabama (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.Every drive
South Alabama scored on 7 of its 11 drives; SE Louisiana on 2 of its 10.
South Alabama’s drives are teal, SE Louisiana’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
Box score
South Alabama 39, SE Louisiana 14
South Alabama covered −13.5 by 11.5. The total, 53, stayed under 53.5.
| Team totals | SE Louisiana | South Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | 231 | 395 |
| Passing | 12 of 20, 186 yds | 18 of 27, 154 yds |
| Rushing | 17 for 45 yds | 59 for 241 yds |
| First downs | 11 | 27 |
| Third down | 0 of 7 | 7 of 17 |
| Fourth down | 0 of 1 | 2 of 4 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Penalties | 8 for 72 yds | 5 for 47 yds |
| Time of possession | 19:51 | 40:09 |
SE Louisiana leaders
- Passing Kyle Lowe 12 of 20, 186 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT
- Rushing Calvin Smith Jr. 8 for 38 yds; Kyree Paul 3 for 10 yds
- Receiving Chad Elzy Jr 2 for 70 yds; Lonnie Shinn 4 for 54 yds, 2 TD
South Alabama leaders
- Passing Bishop Davenport 18 of 27, 154 yds, 1 TD
- Rushing PJ Martin 18 for 69 yds, 1 TD; Keenan Phillips 13 for 66 yds
- Receiving Brendan Jenkins 5 for 78 yds, 1 TD; Jeremiah Jones-Thomas 5 for 38 yds
No rain and calm
84° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 4 mph from the southwest, gusts to 9
Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 42 other games played at Hancock Whitney Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window).
Game-day temperatures at Hancock Whitney Stadium
Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
Where this weather comes from
Measured at Mobile/bates Field, 3.2 miles away, and Mobile Downtown airport, 8.8 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.Before kickoff
Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Recent games
Last three games · 2025 season
SE Louisiana · 9-4
Rated 139th in our preseason ratings, 139th now.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 3-21 vs Illinois State #118 of 667
lost by 18 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 38-26 vs Nicholls #198 of 667
won by 12 as a 17.5-point favorite
W 10-7 @ Incarnate Word #155 of 667
won by 3 as a 5.5-point favorite
L 12-14 @ Lamar #150 of 667
lost by 2 as an 8-point favorite
W 59-14 vs East Texas A&M #205 of 667
won by 45 as a 17.5-point favorite
W 38-14 @ Houston Christian #252 of 667
won by 24 as a 21.5-point favorite
W 49-0 vs Northwestern State #263 of 667
won by 49 as a 31-point favorite
W 38-0 @ McNeese #243 of 667
W 45-31 vs UT Rio Grande Valley #188 of 667
won by 14 as an 18-point favorite
L 10-56 @ LSUTop 25 #12 of 667
lost by 46 as a 48.5-point underdog
W 56-3 vs Mississippi Valley State #250 of 667
won by 53 as a 32.5-point favorite
W 45-24 @ Murray State #257 of 667
won by 21 as a 21.5-point favorite
L 0-24 @ Louisiana Tech #172 of 667
lost by 24 as a 14.5-point underdog
Last three games · 2025 season
South Alabama · 4-8
Rated 60th in our preseason ratings.
L 26-49 @ Texas State #53 of 667
lost by 23 as a 9.5-point underdog
W 42-35 vs Southern Miss #108 of 667
won by 7 as a 2.5-point underdog
W 26-14 @ UL Monroe #205 of 667
won by 12 as a 4.5-point favorite
L 22-31 vs Louisiana #118 of 667
lost by 9 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 38-31 @ Georgia State #164 of 667
won by 7 as a 5.5-point favorite
L 14-15 vs Arkansas State #138 of 667
lost by 1 as an 8.5-point favorite
L 24-31 @ Troy #87 of 667
lost by 7 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 22-36 @ North TexasTop 25 #78 of 667
lost by 14 as an 11.5-point underdog
L 20-38 vs Coastal Carolina #118 of 667
lost by 18 as a 14.5-point favorite
L 15-31 @ AuburnTop 25 #15 of 667
lost by 16 as a 26.5-point underdog
L 31-33 vs TulaneTop 25 #48 of 667
lost by 2 as a 13.5-point underdog
W 38-21 vs Morgan State #189 of 667
won by 17 as a 28.5-point favorite
The series
South Alabama leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2023 · South Alabama won the last meeting
- 2023South Alabama 35-17
Each line is South Alabama’s chance to win through that meeting.
Line, fans and home field
The betting line, and the fans
Our model and the betting line agree on South Alabama’s chances here.
South Alabama favored by 13.5 · Total 53.5
How games like this usually go
South Alabama by 13.5, and it went to form
Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
The market
The spread moved 1 point toward South Alabama.
The total rose 1 point.
Spread: −12.5 → −13.5 · Total: 52.5 → 53.5
The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff
Hot and dry. Feels like 88° at kickoff.
SE Louisiana at South Alabama · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile
- 88°feels like at kickoff
- Dryno rain at kickoff
- 79weather score, Mixed
- 2ndbest of the day's 7 kickoff times
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Later kickoff times scored higher that Saturday
Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the second best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Hancock Whitney Stadium that day, a 7 pm kickoff would have scored 90, against 79 at 6 pm.
- 11 am: 54, Rough
- noon: 46, Harsh
- 2:30 pm: 48, Harsh
- 3:15 pm: 47, Harsh
- 4 pm: 55, Rough
- 6 pm: 79, Mixed (this game)
- 7 pm: 90, Comfortable
Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 5, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field
South Alabama is worth +3.5 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 39th percentile.
47% at home, 33% on the road against FBS opponents (20-23 home, 17-35 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +0.0 at home vs. away over 103 games — inside the ±6.0 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 136 miles to get here.