No. 12 Texas Tech beats Abilene Christian 33-10

Abilene Christian0-210
No. 12 Texas Tech1-033Final
Sat, Sep 5 · Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, Texas · Crowd 60,229FS1

No. 12 Texas Tech beat Abilene Christian 33-10.

We had Texas Tech favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

A touchdown pass??? For me???? For us???????

Q4 2:45 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 5

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Texas Tech a 98% chance, and the closing betting line (Texas Tech was a 45.5-point favorite) put it above 99%.

Texas Tech led by 14 after the first quarter and by 14 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+30+23

Favored the whole way: Texas Tech never fell below 99%.

Abilene Christian never had better than a 1% chance.

Kickoff return TDAbilene Christian · Q4 2:29
FinalTexas Tech 33-10 Abilene ChristianTexas Tech wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Texas TechWon33-10ScoresKickoff return TDChatter4 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute5 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute6 comments a minute4 comments a minute8 comments a minute7 comments a minute7 comments a minute16 comments a minute8 comments a minute7 comments a minute8 comments a minute11 comments a minute17 comments a minute12 comments a minute8 comments a minute6 comments a minute7 comments a minute6 comments a minute6 comments a minute9 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute11 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute6 comments a minute10 comments a minute6 comments a minute7 comments a minute6 comments a minute4 comments a minute8 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute13 comments a minute6 comments a minute12 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4Texas TechWon33-10ScoresKickoff return TDChatter4 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute5 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute6 comments a minute4 comments a minute8 comments a minute7 comments a minute7 comments a minute16 comments a minute8 comments a minute7 comments a minute8 comments a minute11 comments a minute17 comments a minute12 comments a minute8 comments a minute6 comments a minute7 comments a minute6 comments a minute6 comments a minute9 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute11 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute6 comments a minute10 comments a minute6 comments a minute7 comments a minute6 comments a minute4 comments a minute8 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute13 comments a minute6 comments a minute12 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Texas TechLowest 0%Lost10-33ScoresKickoff return TDChatter4 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute5 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute6 comments a minute4 comments a minute8 comments a minute7 comments a minute7 comments a minute16 comments a minute8 comments a minute7 comments a minute8 comments a minute11 comments a minute17 comments a minute12 comments a minute8 comments a minute6 comments a minute7 comments a minute6 comments a minute6 comments a minute9 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute11 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute6 comments a minute10 comments a minute6 comments a minute7 comments a minute6 comments a minute4 comments a minute8 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute13 comments a minute6 comments a minute12 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4Texas TechLowest 0%Lost10-33ScoresKickoff return TDChatter4 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute5 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute3 comments a minute6 comments a minute4 comments a minute8 comments a minute7 comments a minute7 comments a minute16 comments a minute8 comments a minute7 comments a minute8 comments a minute11 comments a minute17 comments a minute12 comments a minute8 comments a minute6 comments a minute7 comments a minute6 comments a minute6 comments a minute9 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute11 comments a minute4 comments a minute6 comments a minute3 comments a minute2 comments a minute6 comments a minute10 comments a minute6 comments a minute7 comments a minute6 comments a minute4 comments a minute8 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute13 comments a minute6 comments a minute12 comments a minute

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q4 2:45Hammond throws a 64-yard touchdown pass to SimmonsEvery single catch Malcom Simmons has ever made for this team has been a touchdown.r/CFB game threadQuoted at the top of the page.
Texas Tech’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Texas Tech -45.5), at 100% for Texas Tech (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. The gray band is r/CFB game-thread activity, its loudest stretches in gold.

Every drive

Texas Tech scored on 8 of its 12 drives; Abilene Christian on 1 of its 10.

Texas Tech’s drives are teal, Abilene Christian’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Texas Tech: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownAbilene Christian: Punt, from 75 yards out to 60PuntTexas Tech: Touchdown, from 87 yards out to 0TouchdownAbilene Christian: Punt, from 75 yards out to 42PuntQ2Texas Tech: Interception, from 97 yards out to 36InterceptionAbilene Christian: Punt, from 93 yards out to 86PuntTexas Tech: Field goal, from 49 yards out to 4Field goalAbilene Christian: Field goal, from 75 yards out to 24Field goalTexas Tech: End of half, from 76 yards out to 73End of halfQ3Abilene Christian: Interception, from 75 yards out to 75InterceptionTexas Tech: Field goal, from 13 yards out to 10Field goalAbilene Christian: Punt, from 75 yards out to 80PuntTexas Tech: Field goal, from 67 yards out to 15Field goalAbilene Christian: Missed field goal, from 75 yards out to 34Missed FGTexas Tech: Field goal, from 66 yards out to 26Field goalAbilene Christian: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 14DownsQ4Texas Tech: Punt, from 86 yards out to 81PuntAbilene Christian: Punt, from 70 yards out to 48PuntTexas Tech: Touchdown, from 91 yards out to 0TouchdownTexas Tech: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownTexas Tech: Punt, from 87 yards out to 81PuntAbilene Christian: End of game, from 70 yards out to 61End of game
“Yeah!!! The WR from Auburn helped us”
A Texas Tech fan

How fans reacted

Steady

It came down to the finish, and so did the noise.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was steady; the crowd was steady.

FirstSecondThirdFourthTexas Tech fansAbilene Christian fansusual

Box score

Texas Tech 33, Abilene Christian 10

Abilene Christian covered +45.5 by 22.5. The total, 43, stayed under 61.5.

Abilene ChristianTexas TechTotal yardsAbilene Christian 194Texas Tech 471194471Passing yardsAbilene Christian 119Texas Tech 298119298Rushing yardsAbilene Christian 75Texas Tech 17375173First downsAbilene Christian 15Texas Tech 261526TurnoversAbilene Christian 1Texas Tech 111Time of possessionAbilene Christian 27:48Texas Tech 32:1227:4832:12
Team totalsAbilene ChristianTexas Tech
Total yards194471
Passing18 of 32, 119 yds26 of 34, 298 yds
Rushing29 for 75 yds39 for 173 yds
First downs1526
Third down6 of 155 of 12
Fourth down0 of 11 of 1
Turnovers11
Penalties4 for 17 yds5 for 60 yds
Time of possession27:4832:12

Abilene Christian leaders

  • Passing John David Black 18 of 32, 119 yds, 1 INT
  • Rushing Alex Broome 10 for 52 yds; Rovaughn Banks Jr. 12 for 25 yds
  • Receiving Cristian Driver 8 for 93 yds; Brian Henry 2 for 7 yds

Texas Tech leaders

  • Passing Will Hammond 26 of 33, 298 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing J'Koby Williams 13 for 71 yds, 1 TD; Cameron Dickey 14 for 48 yds
  • Receiving Kenny Johnson 4 for 76 yds; Malcolm Simmons 1 for 64 yds, 1 TD

No rain, gusts to 25 mph

97° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 12 mph from the east-southeast, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 25

A 25 mph gust is stronger than the peak gust in 87% of games since 2018.

Every game's peak, with this game markedtypical game 16 mphThis game: 25 mph060 mph
Every game's peak, with this game markedtypical game 16 mphThis game: 25 mph060 mph

Each gray tick is one game. The black line is the typical game.

Warmer than 9 in 10 of the 63 other games played at Jones AT&T Stadium since 2016 (airport temperature during the game window). The usual here around this date is 78°, with about 7 in 10 games between 70° and 88°.

September game-day temperatures at Jones AT&T Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Texas Tech favoredAbilene Christian favored100%Win chanceTexas TechRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph25 mph gustTemperature and feels likedegrees F80°105°feels like 86°air 87°
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Texas Tech favoredAbilene Christian favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour204025 mph gustTemperature and feels like · degrees F80°105°feels like 86°air 87°

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:37 left6:06 p.m.
Abilene Christian 0, Texas Tech 0 · Texas Tech 100% to win
no rain · wind 13 mph from the southeast, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 25 · 97°
Hammond 9-yd pass to Williams
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Lubbock International Airport, 5.8 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Abilene Christian · 9-5

Rated 112th in our preseason ratings, 112th now.

2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

L 34-41 @ Stephen F. Austin #70 of 667

W 38-20 vs Lamar #157 of 667

won by 18 as a 12.5-point favorite

W 49-28 @ Central Arkansas #200 of 667

won by 21 as a 9.5-point favorite

W 17-10 @ Eastern Kentucky #192 of 667

won by 7 as a 9-point favorite

W 31-10 vs Utah Tech #231 of 667

won by 21 as a 20.5-point favorite

W 31-28 vs Tarleton State #72 of 667

won by 3 as a 13.5-point underdog

L 24-31 @ Southern Utah #157 of 667

lost by 7 as a 3-point favorite

W 30-13 @ West Georgia #172 of 667

won by 17 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 52-23 vs North Alabama #223 of 667

won by 29 as an 11.5-point favorite

L 7-38 @ Incarnate Word #134 of 667

lost by 31 as a 2-point underdog

W 45-31 vs Austin Peay #110 of 667

won by 14 as a 2-point underdog

L 21-42 @ TCUTop 25 #23 of 667

lost by 21 as a 41.5-point underdog

Abilene Christian lost 21-42 at TCU. Chance to win started at 1%, low under 1%, high 1%.

W 28-20 vs Stephen F. Austin #127 of 667

won by 8 as a 2.5-point underdog

L 7-35 @ Tulsa #136 of 667

lost by 28 as a 5.5-point underdog

Abilene Christian lost 7-35 at Tulsa. Chance to win started at 28%, low under 1%, high 41%.

Last three games · 2025 season

Texas Tech · 12-2

Rated 7th in our preseason ratings.

L 0-23 vs OregonTop 25 #3 of 667

lost by 23 as a 1.5-point favorite

Texas Tech lost 0-23 vs Oregon. Chance to win started at 67%, low under 1%, high 67%.

W 34-7 vs BYUTop 25 #28 of 667

won by 27 as a 13.5-point favorite

Texas Tech won 34-7 vs BYU. Chance to win started at 86%, low 67%, high better than 99%.

W 49-0 @ West Virginia #104 of 667

won by 49 as a 24.5-point favorite

Texas Tech won 49-0 at West Virginia. Chance to win started at 92%, low 92%, high better than 99%.

W 48-9 vs UCF #74 of 667

won by 39 as a 24.5-point favorite

Texas Tech won 48-9 vs UCF. Chance to win started at 96%, low 96%, high better than 99%.

W 29-7 vs BYUTop 25 #30 of 667

won by 22 as a 13.5-point favorite

Texas Tech won 29-7 vs BYU. Chance to win started at 88%, low 79%, high better than 99%.

W 43-20 @ Kansas StateTop 25 #35 of 667

won by 23 as a 7.5-point favorite

Texas Tech won 43-20 at Kansas State. Chance to win started at 64%, low 33%, high better than 99%.

W 42-0 vs Oklahoma State #184 of 667

won by 42 as a 35.5-point favorite

Texas Tech won 42-0 vs Oklahoma State. Chance to win started at 99%, low 99%, high better than 99%.

L 22-26 @ Arizona StateTop 25 #39 of 667

lost by 4 as an 8.5-point favorite

Texas Tech lost 22-26 at Arizona State. Chance to win started at 65%, low under 1%, high 89%.

W 42-17 vs Kansas #38 of 667

won by 25 as a 13.5-point favorite

Texas Tech won 42-17 vs Kansas. Chance to win started at 86%, low 82%, high better than 99%.

W 35-11 @ HoustonTop 25 #73 of 667

won by 24 as an 11.5-point favorite

Texas Tech won 35-11 at Houston. Chance to win started at 74%, low 74%, high better than 99%.

W 34-10 @ UtahTop 25 #37 of 667

won by 24 as a 3.5-point underdog

Texas Tech won 34-10 at Utah. Chance to win started at 32%, low 32%, high better than 99%.

W 45-14 vs Oregon State #90 of 667

won by 31 as a 23.5-point favorite

Texas Tech won 45-14 vs Oregon State. Chance to win started at 96%, low 95%, high better than 99%.

W 62-14 vs Kent State #231 of 667

won by 48 as a 47.5-point favorite

Texas Tech won 62-14 vs Kent State. Never in doubt.

W 67-7 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff #257 of 667

won by 60 as a 54.5-point favorite

Texas Tech won 67-7 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff. Never in doubt.

The series

Texas Tech leads the series 3-0

3 meetings since 1941 · Texas Tech has won the last 3

  • 2024Texas Tech 52-51Texas Tech won 52-51 vs Abilene Christian. Chance to win started at 98%, low 78%, high better than 99%.
  • 1949Texas Tech 20-0
  • 1941Texas Tech 34-0

Each line is Texas Tech’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line agree on Texas Tech’s chances here.

50-50Model 98% · Line 100%Abilene ChristianTexas Tech

Texas Tech favored by 45.5 · Total 61.5

How games like this usually go

Texas Tech by 45.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 3 points toward Texas Tech.

opened −42.5now −45.5

The total rose 2 points.

opened 59.5now 61.5

Spread: −42.5 → −45.5 · Total: 59.5 → 61.5

Weather at kickoff

Hot and dry. Feels like 93° at kickoff.

Abilene Christian at Texas Tech · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock

  • 93°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 62weather score, Rough
  • 3rdbest of the day's 7 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was the third best of the day's seven kickoff times. At Jones AT&T Stadium that day, a 7 pm kickoff would have scored 75, against 62 at 6 pm.

  • 11 am: 65, Rough
  • noon: 59, Rough
  • 2:30 pm: 50, Rough
  • 3:15 pm: 50, Rough
  • 4 pm: 49, Harsh
  • 6 pm: 62, Rough (this game)
  • 7 pm: 75, Mixed

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Texas Tech is worth +5.2 points (±4.2) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 69th percentile.

65% at home, 40% on the road against FBS opponents (30-16 home, 17-25 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +1.3 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±6.3 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 147 miles to get here.

Where next